Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Asheville
Big South
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.1#111
Expected Predictive Rating+3.4#111
Pace67.6#186
Improvement+0.7#136

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#121
First Shot+4.1#64
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#321
Layup/Dunks+1.0#135
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#73
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#122
Freethrows-0.8#225
Improvement+1.3#108

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#129
First Shot+1.7#121
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#228
Layups/Dunks-3.3#301
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#31
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#160
Freethrows+2.0#62
Improvement-0.5#217
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 51   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 65-80 18%     0 - 1 -2.2 +4.0 -7.2
  Nov 14, 2016 55   @ Georgia L 46-60 19%     0 - 2 -1.8 -17.0 +14.6
  Nov 17, 2016 238   @ South Carolina Upstate W 73-57 70%     1 - 2 +13.8 +16.0 +1.9
  Nov 20, 2016 178   Siena W 92-80 73%     2 - 2 +8.8 +9.9 -1.9
  Nov 22, 2016 106   @ Furman W 64-58 38%     3 - 2 +12.2 -1.7 +14.3
  Nov 25, 2016 6   @ Kansas L 57-95 5%     3 - 3 -16.0 -3.9 -14.4
  Dec 03, 2016 201   @ Coastal Carolina W 79-77 OT 61%     4 - 3 +2.3 +5.9 -3.6
  Dec 06, 2016 141   @ Elon W 78-67 47%     5 - 3 +14.8 +10.6 +4.4
  Dec 17, 2016 317   Western Carolina W 59-57 92%     6 - 3 -10.9 -13.7 +2.9
  Dec 19, 2016 120   UNC Greensboro L 73-75 62%     6 - 4 -1.9 +3.1 -5.2
  Dec 22, 2016 71   @ Ohio St. L 77-79 24%     6 - 5 +8.3 +9.3 -1.0
  Dec 29, 2016 298   @ Radford L 77-80 OT 81%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -9.2 -0.5 -8.6
  Dec 31, 2016 180   Gardner-Webb W 90-85 OT 73%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +1.8 +8.9 -7.5
  Jan 03, 2017 214   @ Liberty W 70-57 65%     8 - 6 2 - 1 +12.2 +11.2 +3.2
  Jan 07, 2017 269   High Point W 88-58 87%     9 - 6 3 - 1 +20.9 +13.5 +7.9
  Jan 11, 2017 347   Longwood W 89-68 97%     10 - 6 4 - 1 +0.7 +10.8 -9.0
  Jan 14, 2017 311   @ Charleston Southern W 76-67 84%     11 - 6 5 - 1 +1.6 -0.1 +2.3
  Jan 19, 2017 115   @ Winthrop L 73-76 41%     11 - 7 5 - 2 +2.5 +0.5 +2.1
  Jan 21, 2017 287   Campbell W 72-56 89%     12 - 7 6 - 2 +5.5 +1.1 +6.2
  Jan 26, 2017 350   @ Presbyterian W 73-47 96%     13 - 7 7 - 2 +8.7 +4.0 +8.5
  Jan 28, 2017 298   Radford W 80-69 90%     14 - 7 8 - 2 -0.3 +6.7 -6.6
  Feb 01, 2017 311   Charleston Southern W 91-73 92%     15 - 7 9 - 2 +5.5 -1.3 +5.0
  Feb 04, 2017 269   @ High Point W 74-71 75%     16 - 7 10 - 2 -1.0 +4.5 -5.4
  Feb 09, 2017 115   Winthrop W 104-101 2OT 60%     17 - 7 11 - 2 +3.4 +11.1 -8.3
  Feb 11, 2017 347   @ Longwood W 91-69 95%     18 - 7 12 - 2 +6.8 +2.3 +2.5
  Feb 15, 2017 350   Presbyterian W 89-48 98%     19 - 7 13 - 2 +18.6 +17.3 +6.1
  Feb 18, 2017 287   @ Campbell W 66-53 79%     20 - 7 14 - 2 +7.6 -0.6 +10.1
  Feb 23, 2017 180   @ Gardner-Webb L 76-81 55%     20 - 8 14 - 3 -3.2 +0.2 -3.1
  Feb 25, 2017 214   Liberty W 63-45 80%     21 - 8 15 - 3 +12.1 -2.5 +16.9
  Mar 02, 2017 287   Campbell L 79-81 85%     21 - 9 -9.9 +5.9 -16.0
Projected Record 21.0 - 9.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%