Pre-tourney Rankings
Austin Peay
Ohio Valley
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.9#140
Expected Predictive Rating+1.6#141
Pace71.1#116
Improvement+1.1#141

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#66
First Shot+2.1#116
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#38
Layup/Dunks-1.6#235
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#212
Freethrows+0.4#151
Improvement+4.6#18

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#242
First Shot-2.3#237
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#198
Layups/Dunks-1.9#263
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#159
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#165
Freethrows-0.9#247
Improvement-3.5#319
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 3.00.0 - 4.0
Quad 22.0 - 3.02.0 - 7.0
Quad 30.0 - 1.02.0 - 8.0
Quad 418.0 - 3.020.0 - 11.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 20   @ Mississippi St. L 67-95 8%     0 - 1 -10.4 -3.8 -4.5
  Nov 12, 2018 120   @ South Florida L 70-74 OT 33%     0 - 2 +2.4 -5.8 +8.7
  Nov 16, 2018 325   Central Connecticut St. W 80-78 88%     1 - 2 -9.1 +6.0 -14.9
  Nov 18, 2018 196   Campbell L 72-78 65%     1 - 3 -8.2 -4.6 -3.6
  Nov 24, 2018 179   @ Ohio L 82-85 OT 51%     1 - 4 -1.3 -2.5 +1.8
  Nov 29, 2018 249   @ Troy W 79-74 OT 67%     2 - 4 +2.4 -6.0 +7.8
  Dec 01, 2018 348   @ Alabama A&M W 73-61 91%     3 - 4 -1.2 -8.7 +6.4
  Dec 15, 2018 182   Purdue Fort Wayne W 95-68 72%     4 - 4 +22.9 +14.9 +7.1
  Dec 21, 2018 196   Campbell W 88-75 65%     5 - 4 +10.8 +2.0 +7.5
  Dec 22, 2018 90   Liberty W 75-66 37%     6 - 4 +14.5 +17.7 -1.6
  Dec 28, 2018 52   @ Arkansas L 65-76 17%     6 - 5 +1.0 -2.4 +3.5
  Jan 03, 2019 260   Eastern Kentucky W 93-75 84%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +9.4 +6.2 +1.1
  Jan 05, 2019 262   Morehead St. W 81-67 84%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +5.3 +1.0 +4.1
  Jan 10, 2019 317   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 78-60 79%     9 - 5 3 - 0 +11.2 +7.2 +5.3
  Jan 12, 2019 297   @ Tennessee Martin W 72-70 75%     10 - 5 4 - 0 -3.3 -8.4 +5.0
  Jan 17, 2019 329   @ SIU Edwardsville W 79-71 84%     11 - 5 5 - 0 -0.9 -7.0 +5.2
  Jan 19, 2019 313   @ Eastern Illinois L 83-85 79%     11 - 6 5 - 1 -8.5 +7.6 -16.2
  Jan 24, 2019 311   Tennessee St. W 89-74 90%     12 - 6 6 - 1 +3.0 +5.7 -3.5
  Jan 26, 2019 54   Belmont L 92-96 34%     12 - 7 6 - 2 +2.2 +12.7 -10.2
  Jan 31, 2019 326   @ Tennessee Tech W 77-66 83%     13 - 7 7 - 2 +2.6 +1.8 +0.3
  Feb 02, 2019 129   @ Jacksonville St. W 74-71 36%     14 - 7 8 - 2 +8.6 +0.8 +7.7
  Feb 07, 2019 329   SIU Edwardsville W 80-45 93%     15 - 7 9 - 2 +20.6 +3.5 +18.7
  Feb 09, 2019 313   Eastern Illinois W 94-86 90%     16 - 7 10 - 2 -4.1 +13.4 -17.5
  Feb 14, 2019 56   Murray St. L 71-73 36%     16 - 8 10 - 3 +3.6 +8.9 -5.5
  Feb 16, 2019 262   @ Morehead St. W 73-70 69%     17 - 8 11 - 3 -0.1 -4.0 +3.8
  Feb 21, 2019 317   Southeast Missouri St. W 83-70 90%     18 - 8 12 - 3 +0.7 +7.4 -6.2
  Feb 23, 2019 297   Tennessee Martin W 92-78 88%     19 - 8 13 - 3 +3.2 +9.4 -6.3
  Feb 28, 2019 260   @ Eastern Kentucky L 80-82 68%     19 - 9 13 - 4 -5.0 +5.9 -10.9
  Mar 02, 2019 56   @ Murray St. L 83-94 19%     19 - 10 13 - 5 +0.1 +10.4 -9.6
  Mar 07, 2019 262   Morehead St. W 95-81 77%     20 - 10 +8.1 +18.9 -10.6
  Mar 08, 2019 54   Belmont L 67-83 25%     20 - 11 -7.0 -0.6 -7.3
Projected Record 20.0 - 11.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%