Pre-tourney Rankings
Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#219
Expected Predictive Rating-4.0#223
Pace67.1#222
Improvement+6.0#7

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#138
First Shot+2.0#124
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#215
Layup/Dunks+2.6#80
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#272
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#140
Freethrows-0.1#194
Improvement+3.4#41

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#296
First Shot-2.6#243
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#329
Layups/Dunks-3.5#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#162
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#207
Freethrows+1.3#82
Improvement+2.6#64
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four93.0% n/a n/a
First Round63.2% n/a n/a
Second Round0.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 20.0 - 2.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 31.0 - 2.01.0 - 5.0
Quad 417.0 - 8.018.0 - 13.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 74   @ Rutgers L 55-90 12%     0 - 1 -25.4 -14.1 -9.2
  Nov 21, 2018 173   @ Princeton W 77-66 30%     1 - 1 +13.1 +12.1 +1.5
  Nov 25, 2018 299   Lafayette L 76-80 77%     1 - 2 -14.9 -1.1 -13.9
  Nov 27, 2018 64   @ Providence L 59-69 10%     1 - 3 +0.5 -2.8 +2.8
  Dec 01, 2018 243   @ Holy Cross L 49-67 46%     1 - 4 -20.2 -24.5 +4.0
  Dec 12, 2018 242   Army W 93-84 67%     2 - 4 +1.3 +9.7 -9.4
  Dec 15, 2018 188   NJIT L 80-90 55%     2 - 5 -14.4 +9.0 -23.7
  Dec 19, 2018 305   St. Peter's W 83-74 78%     3 - 5 -2.4 +3.8 -6.5
  Dec 21, 2018 225   @ Massachusetts L 84-85 41%     3 - 6 -1.8 +6.3 -8.0
  Dec 29, 2018 120   @ South Florida L 54-60 18%     3 - 7 +0.4 -7.6 +7.4
  Jan 03, 2019 274   @ Robert Morris L 62-69 52%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -10.7 -11.3 +0.8
  Jan 05, 2019 259   @ St. Francis (PA) W 79-61 49%     4 - 8 1 - 1 +15.1 +2.4 +13.0
  Jan 10, 2019 325   Central Connecticut St. L 96-103 2OT 84%     4 - 9 1 - 2 -20.8 -3.1 -16.3
  Jan 12, 2019 314   @ Wagner L 60-66 63%     4 - 10 1 - 3 -12.6 -5.9 -7.4
  Jan 19, 2019 256   @ LIU Brooklyn L 77-79 48%     4 - 11 1 - 4 -4.8 +4.9 -9.7
  Jan 21, 2019 327   Mount St. Mary's W 87-69 84%     5 - 11 2 - 4 +3.9 +15.8 -10.4
  Jan 24, 2019 285   St. Francis Brooklyn W 60-58 73%     6 - 11 3 - 4 -7.7 -8.0 +0.5
  Jan 26, 2019 322   @ Bryant W 78-63 68%     7 - 11 4 - 4 +7.0 +5.6 +2.6
  Jan 31, 2019 256   LIU Brooklyn W 80-77 69%     8 - 11 5 - 4 -5.3 +2.8 -8.2
  Feb 02, 2019 274   Robert Morris W 97-94 2OT 72%     9 - 11 6 - 4 -6.2 +7.9 -14.6
  Feb 07, 2019 246   @ Sacred Heart L 63-69 47%     9 - 12 6 - 5 -8.4 -12.4 +3.9
  Feb 09, 2019 285   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 84-73 54%     10 - 12 7 - 5 +6.8 +8.7 -2.2
  Feb 14, 2019 259   St. Francis (PA) L 62-87 69%     10 - 13 7 - 6 -33.5 -18.5 -15.2
  Feb 16, 2019 322   Bryant W 97-84 83%     11 - 13 8 - 6 -0.6 +13.4 -14.3
  Feb 21, 2019 246   Sacred Heart W 81-63 67%     12 - 13 9 - 6 +10.1 +5.1 +5.6
  Feb 23, 2019 314   Wagner W 74-66 80%     13 - 13 10 - 6 -4.1 +8.6 -11.6
  Feb 28, 2019 327   @ Mount St. Mary's W 65-59 70%     14 - 13 11 - 6 -2.5 -8.4 +6.1
  Mar 02, 2019 325   @ Central Connecticut St. W 70-58 69%     15 - 13 12 - 6 +3.7 -1.4 +6.1
  Mar 06, 2019 314   Wagner W 84-46 80%     16 - 13 +25.9 +13.3 +15.1
  Mar 09, 2019 274   Robert Morris W 66-62 72%     17 - 13 -5.2 +2.5 -7.1
  Mar 12, 2019 259   @ St. Francis (PA) W 85-76 49%     18 - 13 +6.1 +14.3 -7.5
Projected Record 18.0 - 13.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0