Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida Gulf Coast
Atlantic Sun
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#220
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#218
Pace70.5#132
Improvement+2.8#73

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#237
First Shot-1.1#213
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#239
Layup/Dunks+1.2#139
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#339
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#83
Freethrows-0.9#244
Improvement+0.4#163

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#203
First Shot+0.7#151
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#328
Layups/Dunks+0.5#155
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#59
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#293
Freethrows+1.4#68
Improvement+2.4#70
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 3.00.0 - 5.0
Quad 21.0 - 2.01.0 - 7.0
Quad 32.0 - 7.03.0 - 14.0
Quad 49.0 - 4.012.0 - 18.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 186   @ Illinois St. L 66-74 33%     0 - 1 -6.7 -6.1 -0.5
  Nov 11, 2018 5   @ Michigan St. L 82-106 1%     0 - 2 +0.2 +7.1 -3.2
  Nov 16, 2018 92   South Dakota St. W 84-78 29%     1 - 2 +8.6 +1.7 +6.3
  Nov 19, 2018 68   Toledo L 62-90 16%     1 - 3 -20.5 -7.7 -12.5
  Nov 20, 2018 163   Colorado St. L 74-82 38%     1 - 4 -8.3 -4.6 -3.4
  Nov 21, 2018 148   Texas San Antonio L 65-76 33%     1 - 5 -9.8 -9.0 -0.6
  Nov 25, 2018 165   @ Florida Atlantic L 68-85 29%     1 - 6 -14.7 -1.4 -13.0
  Nov 28, 2018 210   Florida International L 80-81 58%     1 - 7 -6.5 +0.1 -6.5
  Dec 02, 2018 136   Colgate L 56-74 39%     1 - 8 -18.5 -18.8 +0.1
  Dec 05, 2018 286   @ Oral Roberts W 96-76 54%     2 - 8 +15.8 +21.9 -5.3
  Dec 16, 2018 230   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 76-53 42%     3 - 8 +21.8 +9.7 +13.1
  Dec 22, 2018 28   Florida L 56-77 7%     3 - 9 -7.9 -7.3 -1.0
  Dec 29, 2018 41   @ Mississippi L 57-87 7%     3 - 10 -16.4 -6.7 -11.5
  Jan 05, 2019 90   Liberty L 63-81 28%     3 - 11 0 - 1 -15.3 -0.2 -17.7
  Jan 08, 2019 301   @ North Alabama L 56-61 58%     3 - 12 0 - 2 -10.5 -13.2 +2.4
  Jan 12, 2019 189   @ North Florida L 66-87 34%     3 - 13 0 - 3 -20.0 -13.6 -4.1
  Jan 19, 2019 340   @ Kennesaw St. W 72-59 78%     4 - 13 1 - 3 +1.5 -7.7 +8.7
  Jan 21, 2019 330   Stetson W 87-65 85%     5 - 13 2 - 3 +7.5 +0.7 +5.4
  Jan 24, 2019 57   @ Lipscomb L 81-89 10%     5 - 14 2 - 4 +3.1 +2.6 +1.6
  Jan 27, 2019 189   North Florida W 88-80 55%     6 - 14 3 - 4 +3.4 +4.6 -1.9
  Jan 30, 2019 188   @ NJIT L 54-66 33%     6 - 15 3 - 5 -10.9 -14.5 +3.2
  Feb 02, 2019 264   Jacksonville W 73-60 70%     7 - 15 4 - 5 +4.2 -5.7 +9.4
  Feb 06, 2019 301   North Alabama W 71-64 77%     8 - 15 5 - 5 -4.0 -3.1 -0.8
  Feb 09, 2019 90   @ Liberty L 67-74 14%     8 - 16 5 - 6 +1.2 +6.0 -5.7
  Feb 13, 2019 188   NJIT W 57-55 54%     9 - 16 6 - 6 -2.4 -8.9 +6.8
  Feb 16, 2019 330   @ Stetson L 55-67 71%     9 - 17 6 - 7 -21.0 -13.9 -9.1
  Feb 20, 2019 57   Lipscomb W 67-61 20%     10 - 17 7 - 7 +11.6 -3.3 +14.8
  Feb 23, 2019 340   Kennesaw St. W 78-56 90%     11 - 17 8 - 7 +4.9 -7.3 +10.7
  Mar 01, 2019 264   @ Jacksonville W 77-74 50%     12 - 17 9 - 7 -0.2 +10.3 -10.2
  Mar 04, 2019 188   NJIT L 78-83 54%     12 - 18 -9.4 +4.7 -14.2
Projected Record 12.0 - 18.0 9.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 100.0
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%