Pre-tourney Rankings
Houston Baptist
Southland
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#284
Expected Predictive Rating-8.1#295
Pace81.7#12
Improvement-0.6#211

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#205
First Shot-1.1#210
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#164
Layup/Dunks+4.2#35
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#273
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#316
Freethrows+1.2#92
Improvement-0.5#205

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#324
First Shot-4.8#308
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#294
Layups/Dunks-3.3#305
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#224
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#137
Freethrows-1.9#300
Improvement-0.1#193
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 20.0 - 4.00.0 - 5.0
Quad 31.0 - 5.01.0 - 10.0
Quad 49.0 - 8.010.0 - 18.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 98   @ Arizona L 60-90 9%     0 - 1 -22.1 -11.1 -9.3
  Nov 10, 2018 244   Fordham W 75-72 54%     1 - 1 -4.8 +1.5 -6.3
  Nov 17, 2018 14   @ Wisconsin L 59-96 2%     1 - 2 -18.3 -2.3 -15.0
  Nov 23, 2018 153   @ Wake Forest W 93-91 OT 16%     2 - 2 +5.7 +10.6 -5.2
  Nov 26, 2018 148   Texas San Antonio L 82-86 30%     2 - 3 -5.5 -3.4 -1.6
  Dec 01, 2018 144   @ Louisiana Tech L 78-85 15%     2 - 4 -2.6 +5.3 -7.7
  Dec 08, 2018 138   @ Texas St. L 80-90 14%     2 - 5 -5.0 +10.8 -15.6
  Dec 17, 2018 159   @ Samford L 61-85 18%     2 - 6 -21.0 -12.2 -8.5
  Dec 19, 2018 66   @ Miami (FL) L 73-80 6%     2 - 7 +3.5 +4.3 -0.8
  Jan 02, 2019 224   Lamar W 88-82 OT 48%     3 - 7 1 - 0 -0.3 -6.4 +4.8
  Jan 05, 2019 253   @ New Orleans L 76-81 OT 34%     3 - 8 1 - 1 -7.7 -5.4 -1.6
  Jan 12, 2019 306   @ Nicholls St. L 76-77 47%     3 - 9 1 - 2 -7.2 -1.5 -5.7
  Jan 16, 2019 157   @ Abilene Christian L 68-75 17%     3 - 10 1 - 3 -3.9 -1.2 -2.7
  Jan 19, 2019 177   Sam Houston St. L 65-71 38%     3 - 11 1 - 4 -9.7 -15.8 +6.6
  Jan 23, 2019 237   SE Louisiana L 67-70 51%     3 - 12 1 - 5 -10.2 -9.2 -1.0
  Jan 26, 2019 331   @ McNeese St. L 73-79 58%     3 - 13 1 - 6 -15.0 -10.0 -4.6
  Jan 30, 2019 344   @ Incarnate Word W 96-92 70%     4 - 13 2 - 6 -8.3 +3.3 -12.1
  Feb 02, 2019 288   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 73-72 61%     5 - 13 3 - 6 -8.9 -6.5 -2.5
  Feb 06, 2019 302   Stephen F. Austin L 77-79 67%     5 - 14 3 - 7 -13.3 -4.2 -9.0
  Feb 13, 2019 303   @ Central Arkansas W 75-71 46%     6 - 14 4 - 7 -1.8 -8.2 +6.1
  Feb 16, 2019 306   Nicholls St. W 88-82 68%     7 - 14 5 - 7 -5.8 -3.2 -3.3
  Feb 20, 2019 337   Northwestern St. W 92-54 82%     8 - 14 6 - 7 +21.4 +3.6 +13.6
  Feb 23, 2019 177   @ Sam Houston St. L 113-119 2OT 20%     8 - 15 6 - 8 -4.1 +7.6 -10.0
  Feb 27, 2019 224   @ Lamar L 75-110 28%     8 - 16 6 - 9 -35.8 -5.1 -28.0
  Mar 02, 2019 331   McNeese St. W 86-65 77%     9 - 16 7 - 9 +6.4 +2.0 +3.7
  Mar 06, 2019 344   Incarnate Word W 118-111 85%     10 - 16 8 - 9 -10.9 +17.9 -29.6
  Mar 09, 2019 288   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69-76 40%     10 - 17 8 - 10 -11.4 -2.2 -9.2
  Mar 13, 2019 224   Lamar L 79-81 37%     10 - 18 -5.6 -0.3 -5.2
Projected Record 10.0 - 18.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%