Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Iowa
Missouri Valley
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#164
Expected Predictive Rating-0.6#174
Pace62.4#327
Improvement+5.5#10

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#229
First Shot+0.7#158
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#333
Layup/Dunks-6.3#345
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#37
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#48
Freethrows-0.2#206
Improvement+0.6#149

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#129
First Shot-0.8#192
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#9
Layups/Dunks+2.1#79
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#340
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#168
Freethrows+0.6#134
Improvement+4.9#12
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 21.0 - 3.01.0 - 5.0
Quad 36.0 - 12.07.0 - 17.0
Quad 47.0 - 1.014.0 - 18.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 150   @ Texas Arlington L 65-74 34%     0 - 1 -5.2 -6.3 +1.5
  Nov 16, 2018 128   Penn L 71-78 38%     0 - 2 -4.1 -0.2 -3.7
  Nov 17, 2018 260   Eastern Kentucky W 90-85 70%     1 - 2 -0.8 +2.4 -4.0
  Nov 19, 2018 122   Old Dominion W 54-53 36%     2 - 2 +4.5 -6.0 +10.6
  Nov 23, 2018 122   @ Old Dominion L 65-72 26%     2 - 3 -0.8 +4.1 -5.4
  Nov 28, 2018 37   @ Utah St. L 52-71 10%     2 - 4 -5.1 -12.5 +6.6
  Dec 01, 2018 92   South Dakota St. L 50-82 29%     2 - 5 -26.7 -22.2 -5.2
  Dec 15, 2018 36   Iowa L 54-77 14%     2 - 6 -11.7 -14.7 +2.1
  Dec 19, 2018 113   Grand Canyon L 62-73 44%     2 - 7 -9.7 -3.7 -7.3
  Dec 22, 2018 258   North Dakota W 64-62 78%     3 - 7 -6.5 -5.4 -0.9
  Dec 29, 2018 166   Stony Brook L 63-73 61%     3 - 8 -13.3 -7.0 -6.4
  Jan 02, 2019 158   @ Bradley W 65-47 37%     4 - 8 1 - 0 +21.1 +9.4 +15.4
  Jan 05, 2019 143   Southern Illinois L 51-58 53%     4 - 9 1 - 1 -8.1 -12.3 +2.9
  Jan 08, 2019 186   @ Illinois St. L 69-70 44%     4 - 10 1 - 2 +0.3 +3.8 -3.6
  Jan 13, 2019 123   Drake W 57-54 46%     5 - 10 2 - 2 +3.6 -4.9 +9.1
  Jan 16, 2019 202   Indiana St. W 69-64 69%     6 - 10 3 - 2 -0.3 -2.4 +2.3
  Jan 19, 2019 200   @ Valparaiso L 66-75 48%     6 - 11 3 - 3 -8.7 +5.0 -14.9
  Jan 23, 2019 143   @ Southern Illinois L 62-70 32%     6 - 12 3 - 4 -3.6 -7.3 +3.7
  Jan 26, 2019 223   Evansville W 81-74 72%     7 - 12 4 - 4 +0.7 +7.0 -6.2
  Jan 30, 2019 125   @ Loyola Chicago L 60-61 27%     7 - 13 4 - 5 +4.9 +3.8 +1.0
  Feb 02, 2019 172   Missouri St. W 64-59 62%     8 - 13 5 - 5 +1.5 +6.4 -3.5
  Feb 06, 2019 158   Bradley L 71-79 58%     8 - 14 5 - 6 -10.4 +4.5 -15.5
  Feb 09, 2019 123   @ Drake L 77-83 27%     8 - 15 5 - 7 +0.1 +4.9 -4.6
  Feb 13, 2019 186   Illinois St. W 77-64 65%     9 - 15 6 - 7 +8.7 +10.5 -0.5
  Feb 17, 2019 223   @ Evansville W 73-58 52%     10 - 15 7 - 7 +14.3 +7.9 +7.8
  Feb 20, 2019 172   @ Missouri St. W 63-43 41%     11 - 15 8 - 7 +22.1 -3.0 +26.7
  Feb 23, 2019 200   Valparaiso W 64-53 68%     12 - 15 9 - 7 +5.7 -3.1 +9.7
  Feb 27, 2019 125   Loyola Chicago L 55-56 47%     12 - 16 9 - 8 -0.6 -6.7 +5.9
  Mar 02, 2019 202   @ Indiana St. L 54-71 48%     12 - 17 9 - 9 -16.8 -14.8 -2.9
  Mar 08, 2019 143   Southern Illinois W 61-58 42%     13 - 17 +4.7 -5.8 +10.7
  Mar 09, 2019 123   Drake W 60-58 36%     14 - 17 +5.4 -6.3 +11.8
  Mar 10, 2019 158   Bradley L 54-57 47%     14 - 18 -2.7 -9.9 +6.9
Projected Record 14.0 - 18.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%