Preseason Rankings
Hawaii
Big West
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#201
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.4#195
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#260
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#143
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 6.9% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.4 15.1
.500 or above 52.7% 61.6% 33.7%
.500 or above in Conference 58.3% 63.3% 47.5%
Conference Champion 6.9% 8.5% 3.7%
Last Place in Conference 4.1% 3.0% 6.3%
First Four1.1% 1.2% 0.8%
First Round5.3% 6.4% 3.0%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Portland (Home) - 67.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.60.0 - 0.6
Quad 1b0.1 - 1.20.1 - 1.8
Quad 20.6 - 3.10.8 - 4.8
Quad 32.5 - 5.23.3 - 10.0
Quad 410.5 - 4.113.8 - 14.2


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 241   Portland W 69-67 68%    
  Nov 11, 2018 132   North Texas L 67-72 44%    
  Nov 18, 2018 326   Northern Arizona W 72-64 84%    
  Nov 22, 2018 87   Utah L 63-71 23%    
  Nov 23, 2018 52   Seton Hall L 66-78 15%    
  Nov 25, 2018 91   Fresno St. L 64-72 24%    
  Nov 28, 2018 50   @ UCLA L 68-80 10%    
  Dec 16, 2018 344   Mississippi Valley W 76-64 90%    
  Dec 22, 2018 139   UNLV L 73-77 45%    
  Dec 23, 2018 84   Colorado L 65-73 33%    
  Dec 25, 2018 103   Rhode Island L 66-72 39%    
  Dec 29, 2018 349   Alabama A&M W 73-59 92%    
  Jan 09, 2019 143   Cal St. Fullerton L 68-72 48%    
  Jan 17, 2019 342   @ Cal St. Northridge W 72-60 76%    
  Jan 19, 2019 282   @ UC Riverside W 69-65 53%    
  Jan 23, 2019 90   UC Irvine L 63-71 34%    
  Jan 26, 2019 131   UC Davis L 65-70 44%    
  Jan 31, 2019 189   Long Beach St. L 74-75 56%    
  Feb 02, 2019 177   UC Santa Barbara L 68-70 55%    
  Feb 07, 2019 189   @ Long Beach St. L 74-75 37%    
  Feb 09, 2019 90   @ UC Irvine L 63-71 19%    
  Feb 14, 2019 317   Cal Poly W 71-64 80%    
  Feb 16, 2019 282   UC Riverside W 69-65 72%    
  Feb 21, 2019 177   @ UC Santa Barbara L 68-70 35%    
  Feb 23, 2019 317   @ Cal Poly W 71-64 62%    
  Mar 02, 2019 342   Cal St. Northridge W 72-60 88%    
  Mar 07, 2019 131   @ UC Davis L 65-70 26%    
  Mar 09, 2019 143   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 68-72 29%    
Projected Record 13.8 - 14.2 8.1 - 7.9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.7 2.5 1.5 0.7 0.1 6.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.0 3.8 1.2 0.2 10.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.4 3.6 0.8 0.0 12.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.8 7.0 3.4 0.5 0.0 15.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 5.0 7.0 3.1 0.4 0.0 16.8 5th
6th 0.2 1.9 5.8 6.1 2.2 0.2 16.4 6th
7th 0.4 2.5 4.6 3.6 1.0 0.1 12.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.0 2.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.0 9th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.9 5.3 7.9 11.0 12.8 13.5 13.1 10.6 8.6 6.3 3.7 1.7 0.7 0.1 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.7    0.6 0.0
14-2 86.8% 1.5    1.2 0.3 0.0
13-3 66.4% 2.5    1.4 1.0 0.1 0.0
12-4 26.8% 1.7    0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0
11-5 5.3% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 6.9% 6.9 4.0 2.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 87.9% 78.3% 9.7% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 44.4%
15-1 0.7% 49.8% 45.1% 4.7% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 8.6%
14-2 1.7% 31.6% 31.4% 0.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2 0.3%
13-3 3.7% 20.9% 20.9% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.9 0.0%
12-4 6.3% 17.5% 17.5% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 5.2
11-5 8.6% 11.4% 11.4% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 7.6
10-6 10.6% 6.6% 6.6% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 9.9
9-7 13.1% 4.0% 4.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 12.5
8-8 13.5% 2.4% 2.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 13.1
7-9 12.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 12.6
6-10 11.0% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.9
5-11 7.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 7.9
4-12 5.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.3
3-13 2.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.9
2-14 1.3% 1.3
1-15 0.5% 0.5
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.8% 5.7% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.6 1.7 94.2 0.1%