Preseason Rankings
Utah
Pac-12
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.7#87
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.0#306
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#103
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#75
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 1.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.2% 1.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 3.1% 1.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.4% 16.9% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 12.4% 12.8% 1.2%
Average Seed 9.2 9.2 11.3
.500 or above 59.4% 60.5% 26.5%
.500 or above in Conference 47.5% 48.1% 25.5%
Conference Champion 4.6% 4.8% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.2% 6.8% 19.2%
First Four3.6% 3.7% 0.5%
First Round14.6% 15.0% 1.8%
Second Round6.9% 7.1% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen2.3% 2.3% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maine (Home) - 97.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.4 - 3.20.4 - 3.2
Quad 1b1.0 - 3.01.4 - 6.2
Quad 23.2 - 4.74.6 - 10.9
Quad 35.0 - 2.99.6 - 13.8
Quad 46.1 - 0.515.7 - 14.3


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 327   Maine W 78-61 97%    
  Nov 12, 2018 68   @ Minnesota L 71-73 31%    
  Nov 15, 2018 344   Mississippi Valley W 80-60 98%    
  Nov 22, 2018 201   Hawaii W 71-63 77%    
  Nov 23, 2018 114   Grand Canyon W 68-66 58%    
  Nov 25, 2018 62   Northwestern L 64-67 40%    
  Dec 01, 2018 98   Tulsa W 69-68 64%    
  Dec 08, 2018 63   BYU L 66-69 41%    
  Dec 15, 2018 3   @ Kentucky L 65-78 9%    
  Dec 17, 2018 352   Florida A&M W 78-55 99%    
  Dec 21, 2018 326   Northern Arizona W 75-59 96%    
  Dec 29, 2018 7   Nevada L 68-79 24%    
  Jan 03, 2019 43   @ Arizona St. L 73-77 27%    
  Jan 05, 2019 66   @ Arizona L 69-71 35%    
  Jan 10, 2019 42   Washington L 68-73 45%    
  Jan 12, 2019 191   Washington St. W 74-67 80%    
  Jan 20, 2019 84   Colorado L 67-68 59%    
  Jan 24, 2019 108   @ Stanford W 71-69 47%    
  Jan 26, 2019 198   @ California W 72-64 66%    
  Jan 31, 2019 17   Oregon L 64-72 35%    
  Feb 02, 2019 82   Oregon St. L 66-67 59%    
  Feb 06, 2019 58   @ USC L 68-71 31%    
  Feb 09, 2019 50   @ UCLA L 71-75 28%    
  Feb 14, 2019 66   Arizona L 69-71 53%    
  Feb 16, 2019 43   Arizona St. L 73-77 45%    
  Feb 20, 2019 42   @ Washington L 68-73 27%    
  Feb 23, 2019 191   @ Washington St. W 74-67 63%    
  Mar 02, 2019 84   @ Colorado L 67-68 39%    
  Mar 07, 2019 58   USC L 68-71 50%    
  Mar 09, 2019 50   UCLA L 71-75 47%    
Projected Record 15.7 - 14.3 8.3 - 9.7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.1 4.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.1 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 7.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 8.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.5 2.2 0.3 0.0 9.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.9 2.7 0.5 0.0 10.2 6th
7th 0.3 2.1 4.7 3.1 0.3 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.8 3.3 0.5 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.4 3.4 0.7 0.0 11.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.3 3.9 2.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 10.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 2.1 2.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 7.4 11th
12th 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.1 3.8 12th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.0 3.7 5.8 8.1 9.8 11.3 11.0 11.2 10.0 8.4 6.8 4.7 3.3 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.1 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 94.7% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 92.7% 0.9    0.8 0.2 0.0
15-3 73.7% 1.3    0.8 0.4 0.1
14-4 38.1% 1.3    0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 14.4% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 61.0% 39.0% 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.3% 100.0% 46.5% 53.5% 3.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.0% 99.8% 19.8% 80.0% 4.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
15-3 1.7% 90.6% 21.1% 69.4% 6.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 88.0%
14-4 3.3% 80.0% 14.0% 66.0% 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 76.7%
13-5 4.7% 66.0% 11.9% 54.0% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.6 61.4%
12-6 6.8% 44.5% 10.3% 34.2% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.8 38.1%
11-7 8.4% 27.2% 7.3% 19.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.1 21.5%
10-8 10.0% 11.4% 4.5% 6.9% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.8 7.2%
9-9 11.2% 5.5% 3.1% 2.3% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.6 2.4%
8-10 11.0% 2.4% 2.2% 0.2% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 10.7 0.2%
7-11 11.3% 1.2% 1.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.2
6-12 9.8% 1.5% 1.5% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.6
5-13 8.1% 1.3% 1.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 8.0
4-14 5.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.0 5.7
3-15 3.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.7
2-16 2.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.9
1-17 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 0.8
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 16.4% 4.6% 11.8% 9.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.4 2.1 2.3 3.2 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.3 83.6 12.4%