IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Portland
West Coast
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.4	#241
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.2	#250
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.9	#223

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.5	#265

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.4%	0.7%	0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.1	13.5	14.9

.500 or above	27.5%	44.9%	19.3%
.500 or above in Conference	16.6%	23.8%	13.2%
Conference Champion	0.1%	0.3%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	31.5%	22.7%	35.7%

First Four	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
First Round	0.3%	0.5%	0.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Hawaii (Away) - 32.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 1.5	0.0 - 1.5
Quad 1b	0.1 - 1.7	0.2 - 3.3
Quad 2	0.6 - 3.7	0.8 - 7.0
Quad 3	2.9 - 6.2	3.7 - 13.1
Quad 4	8.3 - 3.9	12.0 - 17.0

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2018	201	@ Hawaii	L	67-69	32%
Nov 10, 2018	132	North Texas	L	67-74	26%
Nov 17, 2018	342	@ Cal St. Northridge	W	72-62	72%
Nov 21, 2018	334	South Carolina Upstate	W	79-72	83%
Nov 23, 2018	317	Cal Poly	W	72-67	76%
Nov 24, 2018	203	Texas St.	L	63-65	53%
Nov 28, 2018	84	@ Colorado	L	65-75	12%
Dec 05, 2018	246	@ Portland St.	W	78-77	41%
Dec 08, 2018	257	Sacramento St.	W	69-68	64%
Dec 15, 2018	296	Grambling St.	W	74-71	70%
Dec 17, 2018	244	Seattle	W	70-69	62%
Dec 21, 2018	352	Florida A&M	W	75-62	92%
Dec 29, 2018	143	@ Cal St. Fullerton	L	68-74	22%
Jan 05, 2019	165	@ Loyola Marymount	L	70-74	27%
Jan 10, 2019	63	@ BYU	L	63-76	9%
Jan 12, 2019	168	Pacific	L	68-72	46%
Jan 17, 2019	121	San Diego	L	65-73	35%
Jan 19, 2019	5	Gonzaga	L	62-85	5%
Jan 24, 2019	137	@ San Francisco	L	64-71	21%
Jan 26, 2019	168	@ Pacific	L	68-72	27%
Jan 31, 2019	234	Pepperdine	L	71-72	59%
Feb 02, 2019	217	@ Santa Clara	L	66-67	36%
Feb 07, 2019	63	BYU	L	63-76	22%
Feb 09, 2019	165	Loyola Marymount	L	70-74	46%
Feb 16, 2019	137	San Francisco	L	64-71	39%
Feb 21, 2019	121	@ San Diego	L	65-73	19%
Feb 23, 2019	234	@ Pepperdine	L	71-72	39%
Feb 28, 2019	59	@ St. Mary's	L	61-74	10%
Mar 02, 2019	217	Santa Clara	L	66-67	56%
Projected Record						12.0 - 17.0	5.0 - 11.0

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1	1st
2nd									0.0	0.0	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0			1.4	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.2	1.0	1.4	0.8	0.2	0.1					3.6	3rd
4th							0.0	0.4	2.2	2.4	0.9	0.2	0.0						6.2	4th
5th						0.0	0.6	3.2	3.2	1.0	0.0								8.0	5th
6th						0.6	4.4	5.4	1.3	0.1									11.8	6th
7th				0.0	0.7	4.9	5.9	1.6	0.0										13.2	7th
8th			0.0	1.2	5.7	6.7	1.7	0.1											15.3	8th
9th		0.3	2.7	7.2	7.1	1.6	0.1												18.9	9th
10th	2.2	5.7	7.5	4.8	1.3	0.0													21.4	10th

Total	2.2	5.9	10.2	13.2	14.8	13.9	12.6	10.7	6.9	4.6	2.6	1.4	0.7	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.0			Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-1	66.3%	0.0		0.0	0.0
14-2	6.3%	0.0		0.0
13-3	7.8%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
12-4	6.2%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-5	0.1%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.0%
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.1%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.0%																		0.0
15-1	0.0%		33.7%		33.7%	6.1							0.0				0.0							0.0		33.7%
14-2	0.0%		45.3%	43.8%	1.6%	12.0												0.0	0.0		0.0			0.0		2.8%
13-3	0.3%		10.4%	10.4%		12.1												0.0		0.0	0.0			0.2
12-4	0.7%		6.1%	2.2%	3.9%	12.3												0.0	0.0		0.0			0.7		4.0%
11-5	1.4%		0.3%	0.3%		13.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		1.4
10-6	2.6%		2.6%	2.6%		14.0													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		2.6
9-7	4.6%		1.2%	1.2%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	4.5
8-8	6.9%		0.3%	0.3%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.0	6.9
7-9	10.7%		0.5%	0.5%		15.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	10.6
6-10	12.6%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	12.5
5-11	13.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	13.9
4-12	14.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	14.8
3-13	13.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	13.2
2-14	10.2%																							10.2
1-15	5.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	5.9
0-16	2.2%																							2.2

Total	100%		0.4%	0.3%	0.0%	14.1							0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	99.6		0.0%