Preseason Rankings
Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#165
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.4#219
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#108
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#252
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 4.8% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% 2.3% 0.4%
Average Seed 11.5 11.0 12.3
.500 or above 45.4% 66.4% 36.1%
.500 or above in Conference 39.4% 51.9% 33.8%
Conference Champion 1.3% 2.5% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 12.0% 7.5% 14.0%
First Four0.4% 1.1% 0.1%
First Round2.2% 4.3% 1.2%
Second Round0.6% 1.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNLV (Away) - 30.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.1 - 2.10.1 - 2.1
Quad 1b0.2 - 1.60.3 - 3.7
Quad 21.1 - 3.61.4 - 7.3
Quad 33.5 - 4.94.9 - 12.2
Quad 48.2 - 2.713.1 - 14.9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 139   @ UNLV L 77-79 31%    
  Nov 13, 2018 342   Cal St. Northridge W 77-63 94%    
  Nov 16, 2018 69   Georgetown L 72-80 23%    
  Nov 18, 2018 142   Ohio L 75-77 44%    
  Nov 21, 2018 313   Central Connecticut St. W 74-65 85%    
  Nov 24, 2018 352   Florida A&M W 80-62 96%    
  Dec 02, 2018 50   @ UCLA L 73-83 13%    
  Dec 05, 2018 143   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 73-75 35%    
  Dec 15, 2018 246   @ Portland St. W 83-78 57%    
  Dec 19, 2018 95   Boise St. L 70-75 42%    
  Dec 22, 2018 282   @ UC Riverside W 74-68 60%    
  Dec 28, 2018 131   UC Davis L 69-72 50%    
  Jan 03, 2019 234   @ Pepperdine W 76-72 53%    
  Jan 05, 2019 241   Portland W 74-70 73%    
  Jan 12, 2019 59   St. Mary's L 65-74 31%    
  Jan 17, 2019 5   @ Gonzaga L 67-85 4%    
  Jan 19, 2019 234   Pepperdine W 76-72 72%    
  Jan 24, 2019 121   @ San Diego L 69-72 30%    
  Jan 26, 2019 217   @ Santa Clara W 70-67 51%    
  Jan 31, 2019 168   Pacific W 73-72 60%    
  Feb 02, 2019 63   @ BYU L 68-76 17%    
  Feb 07, 2019 121   San Diego L 69-72 49%    
  Feb 09, 2019 241   @ Portland W 74-70 54%    
  Feb 14, 2019 5   Gonzaga L 67-85 10%    
  Feb 16, 2019 63   BYU L 68-76 34%    
  Feb 23, 2019 168   @ Pacific W 73-72 41%    
  Feb 28, 2019 217   Santa Clara W 70-67 69%    
  Mar 02, 2019 137   @ San Francisco L 69-71 32%    
Projected Record 13.1 - 14.9 6.8 - 9.2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 1.6 0.7 0.3 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.4 2.7 0.7 0.0 9.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.5 5.4 2.7 0.5 0.0 12.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.5 6.3 2.5 0.3 0.0 14.4 5th
6th 0.5 4.7 6.5 2.1 0.2 14.0 6th
7th 0.5 4.5 6.5 1.9 0.2 0.0 13.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.0 5.7 2.1 0.1 12.4 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 3.3 4.5 1.5 0.1 10.5 9th
10th 0.4 1.6 2.4 1.9 0.7 0.0 7.0 10th
Total 0.4 1.6 3.5 5.7 9.6 12.3 14.0 13.4 12.4 10.2 7.2 5.1 2.5 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
14-2 59.7% 0.4    0.2 0.2
13-3 37.4% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.1
12-4 9.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.2% 73.2% 10.9% 62.3% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 69.9%
14-2 0.7% 66.9% 24.0% 42.9% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 56.4%
13-3 1.1% 29.8% 13.1% 16.7% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 19.2%
12-4 2.5% 12.5% 6.6% 6.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.2 6.4%
11-5 5.1% 7.2% 4.1% 3.2% 11.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.7 3.3%
10-6 7.2% 2.5% 2.1% 0.4% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 0.4%
9-7 10.2% 2.0% 2.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.0
8-8 12.4% 0.9% 0.9% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.3
7-9 13.4% 0.8% 0.8% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.3
6-10 14.0% 0.6% 0.6% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0
5-11 12.3% 0.3% 0.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.3
4-12 9.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.6
3-13 5.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.7
2-14 3.5% 3.5
1-15 1.6% 1.6
0-16 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 2.4% 1.4% 0.9% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 97.6 0.9%