Preseason Rankings
Savannah St.
Mid-Eastern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-17.8#353
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace104.2#1
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-10.1#353
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-7.7#349
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.2% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.7% 9.7% 1.6%
.500 or above in Conference 23.2% 55.2% 23.1%
Conference Champion 1.1% 0.3% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 25.4% 9.1% 25.5%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas A&M (Away) - 0.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.50.0 - 1.5
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.70.0 - 3.2
Quad 20.0 - 2.80.0 - 6.0
Quad 30.1 - 3.30.1 - 9.3
Quad 46.4 - 13.26.5 - 22.5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 64   @ Texas A&M L 73-99 0.3%   
  Nov 09, 2018 80   @ Georgia L 65-89 1%    
  Nov 13, 2018 287   Tennessee Tech L 80-91 24%    
  Nov 16, 2018 218   Gardner-Webb L 76-91 15%    
  Nov 20, 2018 159   @ Kent St. L 77-95 3%    
  Nov 24, 2018 346   Alcorn St. L 82-85 39%    
  Nov 25, 2018 155   @ Liberty L 69-87 3%    
  Nov 27, 2018 83   @ Vanderbilt L 72-96 1%    
  Dec 01, 2018 218   @ Gardner-Webb L 76-91 7%    
  Dec 11, 2018 79   @ South Dakota St. L 79-103 1%    
  Dec 13, 2018 22   @ Wisconsin L 62-93 0.1%   
  Dec 20, 2018 287   @ Tennessee Tech L 80-91 12%    
  Dec 22, 2018 34   @ Iowa L 79-108 0.4%   
  Jan 05, 2019 345   @ Coppin St. L 79-82 29%    
  Jan 07, 2019 339   @ Morgan St. L 83-88 25%    
  Jan 12, 2019 352   @ Florida A&M L 82-83 40%    
  Jan 19, 2019 277   Norfolk St. L 80-92 23%    
  Jan 26, 2019 348   South Carolina St. L 87-89 53%    
  Jan 28, 2019 302   NC Central L 74-84 28%    
  Feb 02, 2019 351   @ Delaware St. L 79-80 36%    
  Feb 04, 2019 341   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 78-82 28%    
  Feb 09, 2019 345   Coppin St. L 79-82 49%    
  Feb 11, 2019 339   Morgan St. L 83-88 43%    
  Feb 16, 2019 352   Florida A&M L 82-83 60%    
  Feb 18, 2019 299   Bethune-Cookman L 92-102 28%    
  Feb 23, 2019 302   @ NC Central L 74-84 14%    
  Feb 25, 2019 347   @ N.C. A&T L 85-88 31%    
  Mar 02, 2019 305   Howard L 85-95 29%    
  Mar 07, 2019 348   @ South Carolina St. L 87-89 33%    
Projected Record 6.5 - 22.5 5.5 - 10.5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.9 1.6 0.5 0.0 4.3 4th
5th 0.4 2.2 2.6 0.6 0.0 5.7 5th
6th 0.3 2.4 3.7 1.2 0.1 7.6 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 4.4 1.5 0.1 0.0 8.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 5.4 2.8 0.4 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 5.6 4.1 0.5 0.0 11.8 9th
10th 0.1 1.8 5.6 4.9 1.1 0.0 13.6 10th
11th 0.4 2.4 6.1 4.7 1.5 0.1 15.2 11th
12th 1.4 4.5 6.1 3.6 1.0 0.0 16.6 12th
Total 1.4 4.9 8.6 11.6 12.8 14.0 12.9 10.6 8.2 6.4 3.7 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 93.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-3 52.0% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0
12-4 28.3% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-5 3.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 49.1% 49.1% 16.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 19.3% 19.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.2% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 0.6% 9.8% 9.8% 16.0 0.1 0.6
12-4 1.4% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 1.3
11-5 2.6% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.1 2.6
10-6 3.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.7
9-7 6.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.4
8-8 8.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.2
7-9 10.6% 10.6
6-10 12.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.9
5-11 14.0% 14.0
4-12 12.8% 12.8
3-13 11.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.6
2-14 8.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.6
1-15 4.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.9
0-16 1.4% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 1.4
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.0% 4.3% 16.0 4.3