Mississippi St.
Southeastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.7#47
Expected Predictive Rating+9.4#54
Pace65.0#279
Improvement-0.4#193

Offense
Total Offense+7.7#18
First Shot+4.0#57
After Offensive Rebound+3.8#5
Layup/Dunks+3.5#51
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#41
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#316
Freethrows+1.5#71
Improvement+0.7#147

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#113
First Shot+1.7#113
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#147
Layups/Dunks+0.8#134
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#281
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#68
Freethrows-0.1#188
Improvement-1.1#239
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 34.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 34.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four24.6% n/a n/a
First Round21.9% n/a n/a
Second Round8.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 7
Quad 26 - 28 - 9
Quad 38 - 216 - 11
Quad 44 - 020 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 150   Florida International W 77-69 86%     1 - 0 +6.1 +5.1 +1.3
  Nov 08, 2019 224   Sam Houston St. W 67-58 93%     2 - 0 +2.3 -5.8 +8.5
  Nov 14, 2019 247   Louisiana Monroe W 62-45 94%     3 - 0 +8.9 -7.1 +17.7
  Nov 17, 2019 327   New Orleans W 82-59 98%     4 - 0 +8.9 +1.0 +8.4
  Nov 21, 2019 179   Tulane W 80-66 83%     5 - 0 +13.4 +8.3 +5.3
  Nov 22, 2019 13   Villanova L 76-83 33%     5 - 1 +7.4 +13.3 -6.2
  Nov 24, 2019 189   @ Coastal Carolina W 81-56 78%     6 - 1 +26.7 +7.1 +19.6
  Dec 05, 2019 88   Louisiana Tech L 67-74 74%     6 - 2 -4.0 +6.8 -12.1
  Dec 14, 2019 79   Kansas St. W 67-61 62%     7 - 2 +12.6 +3.3 +9.5
  Dec 18, 2019 186   Radford W 77-68 90%     8 - 2 +4.9 +13.1 -6.7
  Dec 22, 2019 98   New Mexico St. L 52-58 67%     8 - 3 -0.8 -11.1 +9.3
  Dec 30, 2019 124   Kent St. W 96-68 82%     9 - 3 +27.8 +18.7 +8.2
  Jan 04, 2020 33   Auburn L 68-80 55%     9 - 4 0 - 1 -3.5 -6.0 +3.3
  Jan 08, 2020 54   @ Alabama L 69-90 42%     9 - 5 0 - 2 -9.1 -3.5 -4.4
  Jan 11, 2020 36   @ LSU L 59-60 33%     9 - 6 0 - 3 +13.3 -7.1 +20.3
  Jan 14, 2020 87   Missouri W 72-45 74%     10 - 6 1 - 3 +30.1 +9.3 +23.6
  Jan 18, 2020 89   Georgia W 91-59 74%     11 - 6 2 - 3 +34.9 +27.2 +11.0
  Jan 22, 2020 48   Arkansas W 77-70 62%     12 - 6 3 - 3 +13.6 +8.1 +5.6
  Jan 25, 2020 37   @ Oklahoma L 62-63 34%     12 - 7 +13.1 +0.3 +12.8
  Jan 28, 2020 32   @ Florida W 78-71 30%     13 - 7 4 - 3 +22.3 +16.6 +6.1
  Feb 01, 2020 61   Tennessee W 86-73 67%     14 - 7 5 - 3 +18.3 +27.2 -7.3
  Feb 04, 2020 23   @ Kentucky L 72-80 26%     14 - 8 5 - 4 +8.4 +5.9 +2.6
  Feb 08, 2020 151   Vanderbilt W 80-70 86%     15 - 8 6 - 4 +8.1 +0.4 +7.1
  Feb 11, 2020 93   @ Mississippi L 58-83 55%     15 - 9 6 - 5 -16.5 -7.4 -9.8
  Feb 15, 2020 48   @ Arkansas W 78-77 39%     16 - 9 7 - 5 +13.6 +8.9 +4.7
  Feb 19, 2020 64   South Carolina W 79-76 67%     17 - 9 8 - 5 +8.1 +2.6 +5.3
  Feb 22, 2020 110   @ Texas A&M L 75-87 60%     17 - 10 8 - 6 -4.8 +11.6 -16.9
  Feb 25, 2020 54   Alabama W 80-73 65%     18 - 10 9 - 6 +12.9 +7.6 +5.2
  Feb 29, 2020 87   @ Missouri W 67-63 52%     19 - 10 10 - 6 +13.1 +11.4 +2.4
  Mar 03, 2020 64   @ South Carolina L 71-83 45%     19 - 11 10 - 7 -0.9 +5.4 -6.2
  Mar 07, 2020 93   Mississippi W 69-44 76%     20 - 11 11 - 7 +27.4 +8.2 +22.6
Projected Record 20 - 11 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 34.2% 34.2% 11.0 0.1 0.6 5.3 22.1 6.1 65.9 34.2%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 34.2% 0.0% 34.2% 11.0 0.1 0.6 5.3 22.1 6.1 65.9 34.2%