UNC Greensboro
Southern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.3#96
Expected Predictive Rating+5.7#94
Pace67.8#213
Improvement-5.0#333

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#163
First Shot-2.4#255
After Offensive Rebound+3.2#11
Layup/Dunks-2.2#260
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#138
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#74
Freethrows-3.4#348
Improvement-1.1#241

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#61
First Shot+4.2#60
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#151
Layups/Dunks+1.4#114
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#53
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#86
Freethrows-1.1#257
Improvement-3.9#337
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 2
Quad 23 - 24 - 4
Quad 36 - 410 - 8
Quad 411 - 121 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 284   N.C. A&T W 83-50 91%     1 - 0 +23.1 +8.8 +14.5
  Nov 08, 2019 1   @ Kansas L 62-74 5%     1 - 1 +11.7 +4.7 +6.5
  Nov 15, 2019 325   Tennessee Tech W 64-30 95%     2 - 1 +20.1 -13.6 +34.4
  Nov 16, 2019 239   Montana St. L 66-67 88%     2 - 2 -8.3 -7.7 -0.5
  Nov 18, 2019 182   Appalachian St. W 55-41 80%     3 - 2 +10.2 -14.7 +25.9
  Nov 24, 2019 252   VMI W 74-63 89%     4 - 2 +2.7 -0.2 +3.4
  Nov 30, 2019 66   @ Georgetown W 65-61 29%     5 - 2 +15.0 -4.2 +19.2
  Dec 04, 2019 351   Kennesaw St. W 72-54 99%     6 - 2 -4.1 -4.4 +1.4
  Dec 07, 2019 186   @ Radford W 60-58 63%     7 - 2 +3.9 -4.7 +9.0
  Dec 15, 2019 45   North Carolina St. L 77-80 43%     7 - 3 +4.0 +10.9 -7.1
  Dec 18, 2019 84   @ Vermont W 54-53 35%     8 - 3 +10.3 +1.1 +9.5
  Dec 21, 2019 145   Northern Kentucky W 67-50 75%     9 - 3 +15.4 +1.8 +15.4
  Jan 01, 2020 187   Mercer W 72-63 81%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +4.8 -4.6 +9.1
  Jan 04, 2020 148   @ Wofford L 92-98 2OT 54%     10 - 4 1 - 1 -1.7 +3.4 -4.0
  Jan 08, 2020 65   East Tennessee St. L 57-64 51%     10 - 5 1 - 2 -1.9 -10.8 +8.6
  Jan 11, 2020 83   @ Furman W 86-73 35%     11 - 5 2 - 2 +22.4 +17.0 +5.2
  Jan 15, 2020 335   @ The Citadel W 79-69 90%     12 - 5 3 - 2 +0.9 -11.1 +10.4
  Jan 18, 2020 143   Chattanooga W 72-52 74%     13 - 5 4 - 2 +18.5 -4.4 +22.8
  Jan 25, 2020 321   @ Samford W 70-63 87%     14 - 5 5 - 2 +0.1 -4.2 +4.7
  Jan 29, 2020 155   @ Western Carolina W 72-58 55%     15 - 5 6 - 2 +17.9 +1.7 +16.9
  Feb 01, 2020 65   @ East Tennessee St. L 65-82 29%     15 - 6 6 - 3 -5.9 +2.9 -10.1
  Feb 05, 2020 335   The Citadel W 88-68 96%     16 - 6 7 - 3 +4.9 +2.3 +1.5
  Feb 09, 2020 321   Samford W 95-67 95%     17 - 6 8 - 3 +15.0 +4.7 +7.7
  Feb 12, 2020 155   Western Carolina W 82-62 76%     18 - 6 9 - 3 +17.9 +3.4 +14.1
  Feb 15, 2020 187   @ Mercer W 67-55 63%     19 - 6 10 - 3 +13.8 -6.9 +20.2
  Feb 19, 2020 148   Wofford W 83-79 OT 75%     20 - 6 11 - 3 +2.3 -1.0 +2.8
  Feb 22, 2020 252   @ VMI W 71-68 77%     21 - 6 12 - 3 +0.7 -1.0 +1.8
  Feb 26, 2020 83   Furman L 67-81 58%     21 - 7 12 - 4 -10.7 -3.8 -7.0
  Feb 29, 2020 143   @ Chattanooga L 72-74 53%     21 - 8 12 - 5 +2.5 +3.4 -1.0
  Mar 07, 2020 143   Chattanooga L 68-78 64%     21 - 9 -8.5 -6.8 -1.7
Projected Record 21 - 9 12 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%