Houston
American Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.7#19
Expected Predictive Rating+12.1#32
Pace64.2#298
Improvement+1.9#102

Offense
Total Offense+6.6#30
First Shot+1.4#129
After Offensive Rebound+5.2#1
Layup/Dunks-2.7#280
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#17
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#264
Freethrows+1.3#85
Improvement-2.7#298

Defense
Total Defense+7.1#21
First Shot+5.9#26
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#71
Layups/Dunks+4.2#33
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#44
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#109
Freethrows-1.7#293
Improvement+4.7#14
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.3% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 23.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 95.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 95.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round95.0% n/a n/a
Second Round58.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen24.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight12.4% n/a n/a
Final Four5.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.4% n/a n/a
National Champion1.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b2 - 32 - 5
Quad 28 - 310 - 8
Quad 38 - 018 - 8
Quad 45 - 023 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2019 337   Alabama St. W 84-56 99%     1 - 0 +12.6 +8.8 +3.9
  Nov 15, 2019 22   BYU L 71-72 62%     1 - 1 +9.6 -0.1 +9.7
  Nov 19, 2019 203   @ Rice W 97-89 88%     2 - 1 +8.9 +11.7 -3.6
  Nov 22, 2019 20   @ Oregon L 66-78 39%     2 - 2 +4.7 +5.1 -1.6
  Nov 26, 2019 342   Houston Baptist W 112-73 99%     3 - 2 +21.6 +13.2 +4.9
  Dec 04, 2019 102   Texas St. W 68-60 86%     4 - 2 +9.8 +2.3 +8.2
  Dec 08, 2019 64   @ South Carolina W 76-56 60%     5 - 2 +31.1 +13.7 +18.4
  Dec 11, 2019 137   Texas Arlington W 71-63 91%     6 - 2 +7.1 +4.8 +2.9
  Dec 15, 2019 49   Oklahoma St. L 55-61 76%     6 - 3 +0.4 -5.5 +5.0
  Dec 19, 2019 188   UTEP W 77-57 94%     7 - 3 +15.7 +3.8 +11.5
  Dec 22, 2019 297   Portland W 81-56 97%     8 - 3 +17.2 +8.2 +9.5
  Dec 23, 2019 58   Georgia Tech W 70-59 69%     9 - 3 +19.5 +8.6 +11.6
  Dec 25, 2019 56   Washington W 75-71 68%     10 - 3 +12.8 +12.8 +0.2
  Jan 03, 2020 117   Central Florida W 78-63 88%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +15.8 +1.3 +13.5
  Jan 07, 2020 107   @ Temple W 78-74 73%     12 - 3 2 - 0 +11.5 +15.5 -3.9
  Jan 11, 2020 75   @ Tulsa L 61-63 64%     12 - 4 2 - 1 +7.9 +4.1 +3.6
  Jan 15, 2020 86   SMU W 71-62 84%     13 - 4 3 - 1 +12.1 +4.0 +9.1
  Jan 18, 2020 39   @ Wichita St. W 65-54 50%     14 - 4 4 - 1 +24.6 +5.2 +20.0
  Jan 23, 2020 55   Connecticut W 63-59 77%     15 - 4 5 - 1 +9.9 -9.9 +19.6
  Jan 26, 2020 115   South Florida W 68-49 88%     16 - 4 6 - 1 +19.9 +7.3 +15.1
  Jan 29, 2020 202   @ East Carolina W 69-59 88%     17 - 4 7 - 1 +10.9 -0.9 +12.1
  Feb 01, 2020 44   @ Cincinnati L 62-64 52%     17 - 5 7 - 2 +11.1 +2.8 +8.0
  Feb 06, 2020 179   Tulane W 75-62 94%     18 - 5 8 - 2 +9.4 +4.3 +5.8
  Feb 09, 2020 39   Wichita St. W 76-43 72%     19 - 5 9 - 2 +40.6 +17.3 +26.5
  Feb 12, 2020 115   @ South Florida W 62-58 74%     20 - 5 10 - 2 +10.9 +7.1 +4.5
  Feb 15, 2020 86   @ SMU L 72-73 OT 67%     20 - 6 10 - 3 +8.2 +0.7 +7.5
  Feb 19, 2020 75   Tulsa W 76-43 82%     21 - 6 11 - 3 +36.9 +16.9 +23.8
  Feb 22, 2020 57   @ Memphis L 59-60 58%     21 - 7 11 - 4 +10.6 -0.1 +10.7
  Mar 01, 2020 44   Cincinnati W 68-55 74%     22 - 7 12 - 4 +20.1 +7.5 +14.2
  Mar 05, 2020 55   @ Connecticut L 71-77 57%     22 - 8 12 - 5 +5.9 +3.4 +2.5
  Mar 08, 2020 57   Memphis W 64-57 78%     23 - 8 13 - 5 +12.6 +2.1 +10.8
Projected Record 23 - 8 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 95.0% 95.0% 7.4 0.3 3.9 19.0 29.4 26.4 12.8 3.1 0.2 5.0 95.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 95.0% 0.0% 95.0% 7.4 0.3 3.9 19.0 29.4 26.4 12.8 3.1 0.2 5.0 95.0%