Michigan
Big Ten
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+14.3#15
Expected Predictive Rating+13.3#24
Pace69.9#148
Improvement+0.1#177

Offense
Total Offense+7.6#20
First Shot+8.7#6
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#256
Layup/Dunks+6.2#8
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#167
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#87
Freethrows+0.2#164
Improvement+0.5#156

Defense
Total Defense+6.7#29
First Shot+5.7#33
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#83
Layups/Dunks+3.2#55
2 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#351
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.8#3
Freethrows+3.1#21
Improvement-0.4#196
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 1.3% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 71.5% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.6% n/a n/a
Second Round67.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen34.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight17.1% n/a n/a
Final Four7.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game3.7% n/a n/a
National Champion1.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 75 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 36 - 10
Quad 25 - 211 - 12
Quad 32 - 013 - 12
Quad 46 - 019 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 182   Appalachian St. W 79-71 94%     1 - 0 +4.2 -1.8 +5.2
  Nov 12, 2019 8   Creighton W 79-69 57%     2 - 0 +22.3 +15.1 +8.0
  Nov 15, 2019 270   Elon W 70-50 97%     3 - 0 +10.8 -3.6 +16.2
  Nov 22, 2019 342   Houston Baptist W 111-68 99%     4 - 0 +25.6 +1.8 +15.9
  Nov 27, 2019 81   Iowa St. W 83-76 77%     5 - 0 +13.5 +2.5 +10.3
  Nov 28, 2019 68   North Carolina W 73-64 74%     6 - 0 +16.7 +2.7 +14.0
  Nov 29, 2019 2   Gonzaga W 82-64 31%     7 - 0 +37.3 +14.9 +22.3
  Dec 03, 2019 11   @ Louisville L 43-58 36%     7 - 1 +2.9 -19.1 +21.0
  Dec 06, 2019 25   Iowa W 103-91 66%     8 - 1 1 - 0 +21.9 +25.3 -4.0
  Dec 11, 2019 31   @ Illinois L 62-71 46%     8 - 2 1 - 1 +6.4 -1.2 +7.2
  Dec 14, 2019 20   Oregon L 70-71 OT 64%     8 - 3 +9.6 +0.9 +8.8
  Dec 21, 2019 328   Presbyterian W 86-44 99%     9 - 3 +27.8 +11.8 +19.9
  Dec 29, 2019 280   Umass Lowell W 86-60 98%     10 - 3 +16.3 -1.0 +15.9
  Jan 05, 2020 4   @ Michigan St. L 69-87 27%     10 - 4 1 - 2 +2.6 +1.6 +2.0
  Jan 09, 2020 24   Purdue W 84-78 2OT 66%     11 - 4 2 - 2 +16.0 +6.9 +8.3
  Jan 12, 2020 28   @ Minnesota L 67-75 45%     11 - 5 2 - 3 +7.6 +9.0 -2.3
  Jan 17, 2020 25   @ Iowa L 83-90 43%     11 - 6 2 - 4 +9.0 +11.0 -1.8
  Jan 22, 2020 26   Penn St. L 63-72 67%     11 - 7 2 - 5 +0.7 -8.2 +9.5
  Jan 25, 2020 31   Illinois L 62-64 68%     11 - 8 2 - 6 +7.3 +0.8 +6.3
  Jan 28, 2020 156   @ Nebraska W 79-68 84%     12 - 8 3 - 6 +14.7 +3.9 +10.1
  Feb 01, 2020 30   Rutgers W 69-63 57%     13 - 8 4 - 6 +18.5 +5.7 +12.9
  Feb 04, 2020 9   Ohio St. L 58-61 58%     13 - 9 4 - 7 +9.3 -4.4 +13.4
  Feb 08, 2020 4   Michigan St. W 77-68 49%     14 - 9 5 - 7 +23.5 +10.1 +13.3
  Feb 12, 2020 118   @ Northwestern W 79-54 77%     15 - 9 6 - 7 +31.6 +8.4 +23.0
  Feb 16, 2020 34   Indiana W 89-65 71%     16 - 9 7 - 7 +32.5 +29.3 +5.2
  Feb 19, 2020 30   @ Rutgers W 60-52 45%     17 - 9 8 - 7 +23.5 +4.9 +19.6
  Feb 22, 2020 24   @ Purdue W 71-63 43%     18 - 9 9 - 7 +24.1 +10.5 +13.9
  Feb 27, 2020 21   Wisconsin L 74-81 64%     18 - 10 9 - 8 +3.6 +12.2 -9.1
  Mar 01, 2020 9   @ Ohio St. L 63-77 35%     18 - 11 9 - 9 +4.3 +0.5 +3.4
  Mar 05, 2020 156   Nebraska W 82-58 93%     19 - 11 10 - 9 +21.6 -0.5 +19.4
  Mar 08, 2020 10   @ Maryland L 70-83 36%     19 - 12 10 - 10 +5.0 +12.1 -8.3
Projected Record 19 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 99.6% 99.6% 6.1 0.2 1.2 20.0 50.1 24.1 3.7 0.3 0.0 0.4 99.6%
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 99.6% 0.0% 99.6% 6.1 0.2 1.2 20.0 50.1 24.1 3.7 0.3 0.0 0.4 99.6%