Preseason Rankings
George Mason
Atlantic 10
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.7#151
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.2#137
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#180
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#138
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 3.6% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.3% 1.5% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.2 11.1 11.5
.500 or above 52.7% 58.1% 28.7%
.500 or above in Conference 43.2% 46.5% 28.6%
Conference Champion 2.0% 2.3% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 7.8% 6.5% 13.6%
First Four0.7% 0.9% 0.1%
First Round2.7% 3.1% 1.1%
Second Round0.8% 1.0% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Navy (Home) - 81.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 42 - 8
Quad 35 - 56 - 13
Quad 49 - 315 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 267   Navy W 75-65 82%    
  Nov 08, 2019 260   Longwood W 77-68 80%    
  Nov 13, 2019 210   LIU Brooklyn W 79-72 72%    
  Nov 16, 2019 232   James Madison W 73-65 75%    
  Nov 19, 2019 209   Loyola Maryland W 78-71 72%    
  Nov 22, 2019 9   @ Maryland L 61-80 5%    
  Nov 25, 2019 139   Old Dominion L 64-65 48%    
  Dec 03, 2019 216   Jacksonville St. W 74-67 73%    
  Dec 07, 2019 184   American W 74-68 69%    
  Dec 21, 2019 206   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 70-64 71%    
  Dec 30, 2019 68   @ TCU L 68-78 19%    
  Jan 05, 2020 28   Virginia Commonwealth L 66-75 23%    
  Jan 08, 2020 115   St. Bonaventure W 67-66 51%    
  Jan 11, 2020 189   @ La Salle L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 15, 2020 190   @ George Washington L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 18, 2020 105   Richmond L 72-73 48%    
  Jan 22, 2020 237   Massachusetts W 76-68 75%    
  Jan 25, 2020 52   @ Davidson L 63-75 16%    
  Jan 28, 2020 86   Rhode Island L 70-73 42%    
  Feb 01, 2020 115   @ St. Bonaventure L 63-69 31%    
  Feb 09, 2020 237   @ Massachusetts W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 12, 2020 28   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 63-78 11%    
  Feb 15, 2020 190   George Washington W 73-67 68%    
  Feb 19, 2020 105   @ Richmond L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 22, 2020 221   Saint Joseph's W 76-69 72%    
  Feb 25, 2020 60   Dayton L 67-72 34%    
  Feb 29, 2020 126   @ Duquesne L 72-77 34%    
  Mar 04, 2020 141   Saint Louis W 69-66 59%    
  Mar 07, 2020 233   @ Fordham W 67-65 55%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.2 0.5 0.1 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.0 1.9 0.5 0.0 5.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 2.7 2.4 0.7 0.0 6.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.8 3.5 0.9 0.0 7.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.0 1.4 0.1 9.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.8 4.3 1.8 0.1 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.1 2.1 5.0 2.4 0.3 0.0 9.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 4.7 3.4 0.5 0.0 10.1 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 3.9 3.6 0.7 0.0 9.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 3.4 3.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.6 3.1 1.0 0.1 7.6 12th
13th 0.1 0.9 2.1 2.4 0.8 0.1 6.4 13th
14th 0.2 0.7 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 4.3 14th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.4 4.1 6.6 8.6 10.0 11.7 12.5 11.0 9.7 8.5 5.8 4.1 2.3 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 87.4% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-3 54.2% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 22.1% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 4.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 48.6% 51.4% 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.1% 80.3% 20.1% 60.2% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 75.4%
16-2 0.6% 61.4% 23.8% 37.6% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 49.4%
15-3 1.1% 44.5% 21.5% 23.1% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 29.4%
14-4 2.3% 26.9% 12.7% 14.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.7 16.2%
13-5 4.1% 11.8% 8.0% 3.8% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.6 4.1%
12-6 5.8% 8.1% 5.7% 2.4% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.3 2.6%
11-7 8.5% 2.7% 2.2% 0.5% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.2 0.5%
10-8 9.7% 1.4% 1.3% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.6 0.1%
9-9 11.0% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.9 0.0%
8-10 12.5% 0.6% 0.6% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.4
7-11 11.7% 0.2% 0.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.6
6-12 10.0% 0.2% 0.2% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.9
5-13 8.6% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 8.6
4-14 6.6% 6.6
3-15 4.1% 4.1
2-16 2.4% 2.4
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.1% 1.9% 1.3% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 96.9 1.3%