IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
High Point
Big South
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.5	#308
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	61.5	#333
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.5	#332

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.0	#229

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.7%	3.9%	1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	15.4	15.6

.500 or above	14.5%	22.6%	7.3%
.500 or above in Conference	33.1%	41.6%	25.6%
Conference Champion	2.4%	3.5%	1.3%
Last Place in Conference	15.4%	11.0%	19.4%

First Four	1.2%	1.6%	0.8%
First Round	2.1%	3.2%	1.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: William & Mary (Home) - 47.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 7	2 - 12
Quad 4	9 - 8	10 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	246	William & Mary	L	68-69	47%
Nov 09, 2019	107	@ Wofford	L	58-73	8%
Nov 13, 2019	101	@ Boston College	L	57-73	8%
Nov 18, 2019	80	@ Belmont	L	62-80	5%
Nov 20, 2019	141	@ Saint Louis	L	55-68	13%
Nov 23, 2019	192	Eastern Washington	L	65-68	38%
Dec 02, 2019	155	@ North Florida	L	66-78	15%
Dec 05, 2019	317	Elon	W	68-64	64%
Dec 14, 2019	163	@ Florida Atlantic	L	59-70	16%
Dec 18, 2019	199	Valparaiso	L	60-63	39%
Dec 30, 2019	24	@ Texas	L	50-74	2%
Jan 04, 2020	134	@ Radford	L	57-70	13%
Jan 08, 2020	218	Winthrop	L	70-72	42%
Jan 11, 2020	319	@ Presbyterian	L	66-68	45%
Jan 16, 2020	301	@ UNC Asheville	L	60-63	38%
Jan 18, 2020	194	Charleston Southern	L	65-68	39%
Jan 20, 2020	340	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	67-66	53%
Jan 23, 2020	176	Gardner-Webb	L	64-68	35%
Jan 25, 2020	260	Longwood	L	65-66	49%
Jan 30, 2020	302	@ Campbell	L	62-65	39%
Feb 06, 2020	245	Hampton	L	70-71	47%
Feb 08, 2020	134	Radford	L	60-67	28%
Feb 10, 2020	176	@ Gardner-Webb	L	61-71	20%
Feb 13, 2020	194	@ Charleston Southern	L	62-71	22%
Feb 15, 2020	340	South Carolina Upstate	W	70-63	71%
Feb 20, 2020	319	Presbyterian	W	69-65	64%
Feb 22, 2020	260	@ Longwood	L	63-69	30%
Feb 27, 2020	301	UNC Asheville	W	63-60	58%
Feb 29, 2020	218	@ Winthrop	L	67-75	25%
Projected Record						10 - 19	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0		2.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.4	1.0	1.4	0.7	0.2	0.0				3.8	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.7	1.8	2.0	0.8	0.1	0.0					5.6	3rd
4th									0.1	0.8	2.7	2.7	0.8	0.1							7.1	4th
5th								0.1	1.1	3.6	3.4	0.9	0.1								9.1	5th
6th							0.1	1.4	4.2	3.9	1.1	0.1									10.6	6th
7th						0.2	1.7	4.8	4.2	1.3	0.1										12.3	7th
8th				0.0	0.3	2.0	5.6	4.9	1.2	0.1											14.1	8th
9th			0.0	0.6	2.5	5.1	3.9	1.1	0.1												13.4	9th
10th		0.1	1.0	3.0	4.3	2.7	0.8	0.1													11.8	10th
11th	0.4	1.8	2.7	2.8	1.6	0.4	0.0	0.0													9.8	11th

Total	0.4	1.9	3.7	6.4	8.7	10.3	12.2	12.4	10.9	9.6	8.0	5.9	4.0	2.8	1.6	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	95.5%	0.3		0.3	0.1
15-3	78.8%	0.6		0.4	0.1	0.0
14-4	44.7%	0.7		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	15.5%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	3.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0			0.0		0.0	0.0
10-8	0.1%	0.0						0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.4%	2.4		1.3	0.8	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		95.7%	95.7%		13.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
17-1	0.1%		29.8%	29.3%	0.4%	14.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1		0.6%
16-2	0.4%		29.4%	29.4%		13.7													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
15-3	0.8%		23.2%	23.2%		14.7														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.6
14-4	1.6%		23.0%	23.0%		15.0													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	1.2
13-5	2.8%		14.3%	14.3%		15.4														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	2.4
12-6	4.0%		8.9%	8.9%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	3.6
11-7	5.9%		6.8%	6.8%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.3	5.5
10-8	8.0%		3.7%	3.7%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	7.7
9-9	9.6%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																	0.2	9.4
8-10	10.9%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																0.0	0.1	10.7
7-11	12.4%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																0.0	0.1	12.3
6-12	12.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	12.1
5-13	10.3%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	10.3
4-14	8.7%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	8.6
3-15	6.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	6.4
2-16	3.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	3.7
1-17	1.9%																							1.9
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		2.7%	2.7%	0.0%	15.5													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.7	97.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%