Preseason Rankings
Indiana St.
Missouri Valley
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#158
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.5#104
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#148
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#181
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.5% 15.0% 7.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 1.8% 0.3%
Average Seed 13.1 12.2 13.4
.500 or above 45.5% 69.7% 41.7%
.500 or above in Conference 54.0% 70.1% 51.5%
Conference Champion 9.0% 15.9% 7.9%
Last Place in Conference 11.2% 5.2% 12.1%
First Four0.4% 0.9% 0.4%
First Round8.3% 14.6% 7.3%
Second Round1.3% 3.2% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.9% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dayton (Away) - 13.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 36 - 77 - 13
Quad 47 - 214 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 60   @ Dayton L 65-77 13%    
  Nov 13, 2019 6   @ Louisville L 63-85 2%    
  Nov 17, 2019 120   Ball St. L 74-77 40%    
  Nov 21, 2019 126   Duquesne L 75-78 41%    
  Nov 22, 2019 149   Loyola Marymount L 67-68 48%    
  Nov 24, 2019 170   Air Force W 73-72 53%    
  Dec 03, 2019 153   North Dakota St. W 74-71 60%    
  Dec 07, 2019 103   @ Wright St. L 67-74 27%    
  Dec 18, 2019 272   Tennessee St. W 80-71 79%    
  Dec 22, 2019 351   Chicago St. W 87-67 96%    
  Dec 30, 2019 207   Southern Illinois W 73-67 70%    
  Jan 04, 2020 145   @ Drake L 73-77 37%    
  Jan 07, 2020 114   @ Northern Iowa L 65-71 29%    
  Jan 11, 2020 187   Illinois St. W 74-69 67%    
  Jan 15, 2020 182   Evansville W 77-72 66%    
  Jan 18, 2020 199   @ Valparaiso L 68-69 48%    
  Jan 22, 2020 109   @ Loyola Chicago L 62-69 29%    
  Jan 25, 2020 136   Bradley W 70-68 55%    
  Jan 29, 2020 145   Drake W 76-74 57%    
  Feb 01, 2020 125   @ Missouri St. L 68-74 32%    
  Feb 05, 2020 109   Loyola Chicago L 65-66 48%    
  Feb 08, 2020 187   @ Illinois St. L 71-72 46%    
  Feb 12, 2020 136   @ Bradley L 67-71 36%    
  Feb 16, 2020 125   Missouri St. W 72-71 51%    
  Feb 20, 2020 114   Northern Iowa L 67-68 49%    
  Feb 23, 2020 182   @ Evansville L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 26, 2020 207   @ Southern Illinois W 70-69 50%    
  Feb 29, 2020 199   Valparaiso W 72-66 67%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.7 2.5 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.1 9.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.3 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1 10.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.4 4.3 3.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 11.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.5 4.8 3.3 0.6 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.2 2.8 0.3 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.8 2.9 0.5 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.6 2.7 0.4 0.0 10.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.5 3.9 2.5 0.5 0.0 10.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.7 3.2 1.6 0.2 0.0 8.8 9th
10th 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.8 1.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 6.7 10th
Total 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.8 5.1 6.8 8.4 10.0 10.5 11.2 10.9 9.6 7.8 6.1 4.0 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 95.5% 1.2    1.1 0.1
15-3 83.0% 2.1    1.7 0.4 0.0
14-4 62.3% 2.5    1.5 0.9 0.1
13-5 27.8% 1.7    0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 9.6% 0.8    0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.0% 9.0 5.8 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 79.5% 59.4% 20.1% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 49.5%
17-1 0.5% 66.0% 49.5% 16.4% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 32.6%
16-2 1.3% 53.2% 43.5% 9.7% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 17.2%
15-3 2.6% 39.5% 34.1% 5.5% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.6 8.3%
14-4 4.0% 26.0% 24.5% 1.5% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.9 2.0%
13-5 6.1% 20.4% 20.3% 0.2% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.8 0.2%
12-6 7.8% 13.7% 13.7% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.8 0.0%
11-7 9.6% 12.4% 12.4% 14.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 8.4
10-8 10.9% 5.9% 5.9% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 10.2
9-9 11.2% 5.4% 5.4% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 10.6
8-10 10.5% 3.2% 3.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.2
7-11 10.0% 1.1% 1.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.9
6-12 8.4% 0.9% 0.9% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.3
5-13 6.8% 0.6% 0.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 6.8
4-14 5.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.0 5.1
3-15 2.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.8
2-16 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.5
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 8.5% 8.0% 0.4% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.1 2.1 1.2 0.5 91.5 0.5%