Preseason Rankings
North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#155
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace77.7#21
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#102
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#235
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.2% 31.4% 16.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 1.8% 0.1%
Average Seed 14.1 12.8 14.2
.500 or above 63.2% 87.2% 62.4%
.500 or above in Conference 86.2% 93.5% 86.0%
Conference Champion 19.9% 34.9% 19.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.0% 1.1%
First Four1.4% 0.5% 1.4%
First Round16.5% 31.1% 16.1%
Second Round1.8% 6.7% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 2.0% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida (Away) - 3.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 21 - 7
Quad 33 - 44 - 11
Quad 412 - 316 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 7   @ Florida L 63-83 3%    
  Nov 11, 2019 122   Georgia Southern W 87-86 50%    
  Nov 14, 2019 238   Southern Miss W 79-71 76%    
  Nov 21, 2019 39   @ Iowa L 79-93 11%    
  Nov 24, 2019 37   @ Creighton L 74-88 11%    
  Nov 28, 2019 210   LIU Brooklyn W 84-81 61%    
  Dec 02, 2019 308   High Point W 78-66 85%    
  Dec 07, 2019 211   @ Austin Peay W 82-81 51%    
  Dec 14, 2019 238   @ Southern Miss W 76-74 56%    
  Dec 17, 2019 18   @ Florida St. L 71-87 8%    
  Dec 21, 2019 59   @ Syracuse L 69-81 16%    
  Dec 30, 2019 60   @ Dayton L 70-82 16%    
  Jan 02, 2020 320   @ Kennesaw St. W 83-76 73%    
  Jan 04, 2020 313   @ North Alabama W 81-75 70%    
  Jan 09, 2020 257   Florida Gulf Coast W 83-74 77%    
  Jan 11, 2020 175   NJIT W 79-75 64%    
  Jan 16, 2020 298   @ Jacksonville W 85-80 68%    
  Jan 23, 2020 87   Liberty L 70-73 41%    
  Jan 25, 2020 177   @ Lipscomb L 85-86 45%    
  Jan 30, 2020 336   Stetson W 89-74 90%    
  Feb 01, 2020 320   Kennesaw St. W 86-73 86%    
  Feb 06, 2020 175   @ NJIT L 76-78 44%    
  Feb 08, 2020 257   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 80-77 59%    
  Feb 13, 2020 298   Jacksonville W 88-77 82%    
  Feb 15, 2020 313   North Alabama W 84-72 85%    
  Feb 20, 2020 87   @ Liberty L 67-76 24%    
  Feb 22, 2020 177   Lipscomb W 88-83 64%    
  Feb 27, 2020 336   @ Stetson W 86-77 78%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 11 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 2.3 5.4 6.6 3.7 1.2 19.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.1 7.3 8.9 5.7 1.5 25.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.5 7.7 6.7 2.3 0.1 20.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.5 6.0 3.4 0.7 0.0 14.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.9 3.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 8.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 1.9 2.2 0.7 0.1 5.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.0 3.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.3 3.7 6.1 8.3 11.4 13.4 15.3 13.5 11.3 8.1 3.7 1.2 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 1.2    1.2
15-1 100.0% 3.7    3.3 0.4
14-2 81.7% 6.6    4.6 2.0 0.0
13-3 48.1% 5.4    2.7 2.3 0.4 0.0
12-4 17.0% 2.3    0.7 1.0 0.6 0.1
11-5 4.1% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 19.9% 19.9 12.6 5.9 1.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 1.2% 66.9% 63.0% 3.9% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 10.5%
15-1 3.7% 50.2% 48.8% 1.5% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9 2.9%
14-2 8.1% 35.6% 35.2% 0.3% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.0 5.2 0.5%
13-3 11.3% 29.4% 29.3% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.2 8.0 0.2%
12-4 13.5% 21.6% 21.6% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.1 0.3 10.5 0.0%
11-5 15.3% 15.8% 15.8% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.0 0.7 12.9
10-6 13.4% 10.7% 10.7% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 12.0
9-7 11.4% 7.4% 7.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 10.6
8-8 8.3% 4.5% 4.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 8.0
7-9 6.1% 4.5% 4.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.8
6-10 3.7% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 3.6
5-11 2.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.3
4-12 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.1
3-13 0.4% 0.4
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 17.2% 17.1% 0.1% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.7 3.1 4.2 4.5 3.1 82.8 0.2%