Preseason Rankings
Sacramento St.
Big Sky
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.8#280
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.4#185
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#303
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#239
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 6.6% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 35.7% 45.2% 19.3%
.500 or above in Conference 47.6% 54.2% 35.9%
Conference Champion 5.6% 7.1% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 9.6% 7.1% 14.0%
First Four2.0% 2.1% 1.8%
First Round4.4% 5.6% 2.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Riverside (Home) - 63.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 8
Quad 411 - 812 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2019 296   UC Riverside W 67-63 63%    
  Nov 20, 2019 266   UC Davis L 66-67 46%    
  Nov 23, 2019 117   @ Pepperdine L 69-82 12%    
  Nov 30, 2019 40   @ Colorado L 59-80 3%    
  Dec 07, 2019 213   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 68-75 28%    
  Dec 14, 2019 128   @ Santa Clara L 63-75 16%    
  Dec 18, 2019 327   Cal Poly W 73-66 72%    
  Dec 28, 2019 279   @ Montana St. L 74-77 39%    
  Dec 30, 2019 198   @ Montana L 66-73 26%    
  Jan 04, 2020 335   Idaho St. W 75-67 75%    
  Jan 09, 2020 278   Northern Arizona W 74-71 60%    
  Jan 11, 2020 191   Weber St. L 74-76 44%    
  Jan 16, 2020 214   @ Northern Colorado L 65-72 28%    
  Jan 18, 2020 226   @ Southern Utah L 70-76 30%    
  Jan 23, 2020 270   Portland St. W 75-73 59%    
  Jan 27, 2020 278   @ Northern Arizona L 71-74 40%    
  Feb 01, 2020 192   Eastern Washington L 70-72 45%    
  Feb 03, 2020 338   Idaho W 72-63 76%    
  Feb 06, 2020 191   @ Weber St. L 71-79 26%    
  Feb 08, 2020 335   @ Idaho St. W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 13, 2020 226   Southern Utah L 73-74 49%    
  Feb 15, 2020 214   Northern Colorado L 68-69 48%    
  Feb 20, 2020 192   @ Eastern Washington L 67-75 26%    
  Feb 22, 2020 338   @ Idaho W 69-66 59%    
  Feb 27, 2020 279   Montana St. W 77-74 60%    
  Feb 29, 2020 198   Montana L 69-70 45%    
  Mar 07, 2020 270   @ Portland St. L 72-76 38%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 5.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.3 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 6.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.2 1.8 0.3 0.1 8.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 3.2 3.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 9.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.4 4.0 1.6 0.2 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.6 4.5 1.7 0.1 0.0 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.2 4.2 1.5 0.1 0.0 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.0 3.9 1.4 0.1 11.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.2 3.7 3.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 10.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.4 2.9 1.9 0.5 0.0 9.0 10th
11th 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.8 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.0 11th
Total 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.9 4.3 6.1 7.5 9.2 10.0 10.3 10.2 9.6 8.2 6.6 5.2 3.5 2.1 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 97.2% 0.6    0.6 0.0
17-3 87.9% 1.1    0.9 0.3 0.0
16-4 65.6% 1.4    0.9 0.4 0.1
15-5 36.7% 1.3    0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 14.1% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.6% 5.6 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 66.7% 66.7% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 44.9% 44.9% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.6% 31.2% 31.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
17-3 1.3% 35.0% 35.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.8
16-4 2.1% 26.3% 26.3% 14.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.6
15-5 3.5% 23.8% 23.8% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 2.7
14-6 5.2% 15.9% 15.9% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 4.4
13-7 6.6% 9.8% 9.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 6.0
12-8 8.2% 8.1% 8.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 7.5
11-9 9.6% 4.4% 4.4% 15.9 0.0 0.4 9.1
10-10 10.2% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4 9.8
9-11 10.3% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 10.1
8-12 10.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.0
7-13 9.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.2
6-14 7.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.4
5-15 6.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.1
4-16 4.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.3
3-17 2.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.9
2-18 1.4% 1.4
1-19 0.6% 0.6
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.4 3.1 94.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%