Preseason Rankings
Seton Hall
Big East
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.7#17
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.6#101
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#25
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+6.8#25
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 1.2% 1.2% 0.1%
#1 Seed 5.9% 5.9% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 13.3% 13.4% 0.4%
Top 4 Seed 29.2% 29.3% 6.0%
Top 6 Seed 44.5% 44.6% 12.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 71.4% 71.6% 35.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 65.9% 66.0% 31.1%
Average Seed 5.5 5.5 7.4
.500 or above 83.8% 84.0% 42.1%
.500 or above in Conference 77.3% 77.4% 42.9%
Conference Champion 20.5% 20.6% 4.6%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 2.5% 14.5%
First Four2.4% 2.4% 2.0%
First Round70.3% 70.4% 33.6%
Second Round50.2% 50.3% 16.2%
Sweet Sixteen26.8% 26.9% 6.2%
Elite Eight13.0% 13.1% 3.9%
Final Four5.8% 5.8% 0.2%
Championship Game2.7% 2.7% 0.0%
National Champion1.2% 1.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Wagner (Home) - 99.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 53 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 8
Quad 25 - 212 - 10
Quad 34 - 015 - 11
Quad 44 - 019 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 331   Wagner W 80-52 99.6%   
  Nov 09, 2019 196   Stony Brook W 82-63 96%    
  Nov 14, 2019 1   Michigan St. L 72-77 32%    
  Nov 17, 2019 141   @ Saint Louis W 74-64 81%    
  Nov 23, 2019 341   Florida A&M W 82-52 99.6%   
  Nov 27, 2019 16   Oregon L 68-69 50%    
  Dec 08, 2019 35   @ Iowa St. L 75-76 48%    
  Dec 14, 2019 66   @ Rutgers W 73-70 59%    
  Dec 19, 2019 9   Maryland L 71-72 50%    
  Dec 22, 2019 277   Prairie View W 88-65 98%    
  Dec 30, 2019 97   @ DePaul W 80-74 71%    
  Jan 03, 2020 54   Georgetown W 84-77 73%    
  Jan 08, 2020 23   @ Xavier L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 11, 2020 27   Marquette W 78-74 65%    
  Jan 15, 2020 56   @ Butler W 72-71 54%    
  Jan 18, 2020 93   @ St. John's W 80-74 69%    
  Jan 22, 2020 36   Providence W 75-70 67%    
  Jan 29, 2020 97   DePaul W 83-71 85%    
  Feb 01, 2020 23   Xavier W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 05, 2020 54   @ Georgetown W 81-80 53%    
  Feb 08, 2020 11   @ Villanova L 67-72 33%    
  Feb 12, 2020 37   Creighton W 78-73 67%    
  Feb 15, 2020 36   @ Providence L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 19, 2020 56   Butler W 75-68 72%    
  Feb 23, 2020 93   St. John's W 83-71 84%    
  Feb 29, 2020 27   @ Marquette L 75-77 45%    
  Mar 04, 2020 11   Villanova W 70-69 52%    
  Mar 07, 2020 37   @ Creighton L 75-76 48%    
Projected Record 18 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.9 2.6 4.7 5.5 4.2 1.9 0.7 20.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 4.6 6.2 3.8 1.2 0.2 17.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.0 5.3 4.9 2.0 0.4 0.0 14.7 3rd
4th 0.1 2.0 4.8 4.2 1.1 0.1 12.4 4th
5th 0.2 1.7 4.5 3.2 0.7 0.1 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.5 2.7 0.5 0.0 8.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.9 2.0 0.4 0.0 6.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.4 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.7 4.1 6.0 7.5 9.7 10.7 11.9 11.5 10.9 8.9 6.7 4.3 1.9 0.7 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
17-1 100.0% 1.9    1.9 0.0
16-2 95.7% 4.2    3.6 0.5 0.0
15-3 81.5% 5.5    3.8 1.5 0.1
14-4 53.0% 4.7    2.5 1.9 0.3 0.0
13-5 23.9% 2.6    0.8 1.3 0.5 0.1
12-6 7.7% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 20.5% 20.5 13.5 5.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.7% 100.0% 56.0% 44.0% 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-1 1.9% 100.0% 58.8% 41.2% 1.4 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 4.3% 100.0% 43.3% 56.7% 1.8 1.8 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 6.7% 100.0% 37.9% 62.1% 2.5 1.5 2.2 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 8.9% 99.8% 29.0% 70.8% 3.5 0.6 1.7 2.5 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
13-5 10.9% 99.4% 22.9% 76.5% 4.6 0.2 0.8 2.0 2.6 2.3 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.3%
12-6 11.5% 97.3% 16.6% 80.7% 6.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 96.8%
11-7 11.9% 90.0% 12.0% 78.0% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.4 1.8 2.0 1.7 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.2 88.7%
10-8 10.7% 76.8% 8.7% 68.1% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.5 74.6%
9-9 9.7% 53.8% 4.4% 49.5% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 4.5 51.7%
8-10 7.5% 26.9% 4.1% 22.8% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.5 23.8%
7-11 6.0% 8.8% 2.2% 6.7% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 5.4 6.8%
6-12 4.1% 2.0% 0.9% 1.0% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.1%
5-13 2.7% 0.6% 0.6% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7
4-14 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 10.0 0.0 1.2 0.0%
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 71.4% 16.2% 55.2% 5.5 5.9 7.4 7.9 7.9 8.1 7.2 7.1 6.6 5.1 4.1 3.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 28.6 65.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 1.0 98.6 1.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 98.4 1.6