IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Long Beach St.
Big West
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.2	#228
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	75.3	#43
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.1	#236

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.1	#234

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.5%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	6.6%	15.2%	6.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	13.5	15.0

.500 or above	36.5%	73.6%	35.3%
.500 or above in Conference	62.0%	80.4%	61.4%
Conference Champion	5.6%	16.3%	5.2%
Last Place in Conference	9.0%	2.5%	9.2%

First Four	1.8%	0.8%	1.8%
First Round	6.0%	15.1%	5.7%
Second Round	0.2%	1.2%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UCLA (Away) - 3.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 6	3 - 10
Quad 4	9 - 5	12 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 30, 2020	27	@ UCLA	L	63-83	3%
Dec 04, 2020	154	@ Loyola Marymount	L	66-74	24%
Dec 06, 2020	286	Seattle	W	81-75	70%
Dec 10, 2020	91	@ San Francisco	L	69-82	12%
Dec 19, 2020	271	@ California Baptist	L	78-79	47%
Dec 23, 2020	159	@ San Diego	L	73-80	26%
Dec 27, 2020	208	@ UC Riverside	L	65-69	37%
Dec 28, 2020	208	@ UC Riverside	L	65-69	37%
Jan 01, 2021	214	Cal St. Bakersfield	W	71-69	58%
Jan 02, 2021	214	Cal St. Bakersfield	W	71-69	57%
Jan 08, 2021	298	@ Cal St. Fullerton	W	75-74	52%
Jan 09, 2021	298	@ Cal St. Fullerton	W	75-74	51%
Jan 15, 2021	308	Cal St. Northridge	W	85-77	73%
Jan 16, 2021	308	Cal St. Northridge	W	85-77	73%
Jan 29, 2021	232	UC San Diego	W	68-65	60%
Jan 30, 2021	232	UC San Diego	W	68-65	61%
Feb 05, 2021	141	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	67-76	23%
Feb 06, 2021	141	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	67-76	24%
Feb 12, 2021	204	@ UC Davis	L	74-78	36%
Feb 13, 2021	204	@ UC Davis	L	74-78	36%
Feb 19, 2021	315	Cal Poly	W	80-71	76%
Feb 20, 2021	315	Cal Poly	W	80-71	76%
Feb 26, 2021	200	@ Hawaii	L	72-77	36%
Feb 27, 2021	200	@ Hawaii	L	72-77	36%
Mar 05, 2021	119	UC Irvine	L	72-76	36%
Mar 06, 2021	119	UC Irvine	L	72-76	35%
Projected Record						12 - 14	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big West Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.0	1.5	1.4	0.9		5.2	1st
2nd											0.1	0.9	2.5	2.9	1.7	0.4	0.1		8.7	2nd
3rd										0.2	1.8	3.7	3.3	1.2	0.2	0.0			10.4	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	2.6	4.7	3.4	0.9	0.1					12.0	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	2.6	5.8	3.4	0.7	0.0						12.9	5th
6th						0.0	0.5	3.1	5.8	3.4	0.5	0.0							13.4	6th
7th					0.0	0.5	3.1	5.3	2.9	0.4	0.0								12.2	7th
8th				0.1	1.0	3.5	4.1	2.0	0.3										11.0	8th
9th		0.0	0.3	1.2	2.9	3.0	1.2	0.2											8.7	9th
10th	0.1	0.6	1.3	1.5	1.2	0.4	0.0												5.2	10th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.6	2.7	5.1	7.5	9.0	11.0	12.0	12.4	10.5	8.7	7.1	5.2	3.5	1.8	0.9			Total

Big West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	92.8%	0.9		0.7	0.1
15-1	77.2%	1.4		0.9	0.4	0.0
14-2	44.6%	1.5		0.8	0.6	0.2	0.0
13-3	19.8%	1.0		0.3	0.5	0.2	0.1
12-4	4.3%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-5	0.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
10-6	0.0%
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	5.2%	5.2		2.8	1.8	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.9%		45.0%	43.3%	1.7%	13.1											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.5		3.0%
15-1	1.8%		34.5%	34.5%		13.9													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0	1.2
14-2	3.5%		23.1%	23.1%		14.4													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	2.7
13-3	5.2%		20.4%	20.4%		14.7													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.2	4.2
12-4	7.1%		12.5%	12.5%		15.2														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	6.2
11-5	8.7%		10.0%	10.0%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	7.8
10-6	10.5%		6.7%	6.7%		15.7															0.0	0.2	0.5	9.8
9-7	12.4%		5.1%	5.1%		15.8													0.0		0.0	0.1	0.5	11.8
8-8	12.0%		2.7%	2.7%		15.9																0.0	0.3	11.7
7-9	11.0%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	10.8
6-10	9.0%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	8.9
5-11	7.5%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	7.5
4-12	5.1%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	5.1
3-13	2.7%																							2.7
2-14	1.6%																							1.6
1-15	0.6%																							0.6
0-16	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		6.6%	6.6%	0.0%	15.0											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.1	2.0	2.8	93.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%