Preseason Rankings
Seattle
Western Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#286
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.9#91
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#261
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#291
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.4% 5.4% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 40.8% 50.3% 23.7%
.500 or above in Conference 59.5% 65.4% 49.1%
Conference Champion 4.1% 5.2% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four2.6% 2.8% 2.2%
First Round3.2% 4.0% 1.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Idaho (Neutral) - 64.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 411 - 712 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 322   Idaho W 76-72 64%    
  Nov 27, 2020 315   Cal Poly W 76-73 60%    
  Nov 29, 2020 225   Air Force L 75-78 39%    
  Nov 30, 2020 308   Cal St. Northridge W 81-79 56%    
  Dec 03, 2020 27   @ UCLA L 60-83 2%    
  Dec 06, 2020 228   @ Long Beach St. L 75-81 30%    
  Dec 09, 2020 68   @ Washington L 66-84 5%    
  Dec 19, 2020 263   @ Portland L 72-76 36%    
  Dec 30, 2020 263   @ Portland L 72-76 37%    
  Jan 15, 2021 291   Utah Valley W 77-74 61%    
  Jan 16, 2021 291   Utah Valley W 77-74 61%    
  Jan 22, 2021 340   @ Tarleton St. W 77-72 66%    
  Jan 23, 2021 340   @ Tarleton St. W 77-72 66%    
  Jan 29, 2021 345   Chicago St. W 74-60 88%    
  Jan 30, 2021 345   Chicago St. W 74-60 87%    
  Feb 05, 2021 337   @ Dixie St. W 67-62 65%    
  Feb 06, 2021 337   @ Dixie St. W 67-62 65%    
  Feb 12, 2021 92   New Mexico St. L 64-74 21%    
  Feb 13, 2021 92   New Mexico St. L 64-74 21%    
  Feb 19, 2021 231   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 73-79 33%    
  Feb 20, 2021 231   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 73-79 32%    
  Feb 26, 2021 177   Grand Canyon L 73-76 40%    
  Feb 27, 2021 177   Grand Canyon L 73-76 39%    
  Mar 05, 2021 271   @ California Baptist L 75-79 38%    
  Mar 06, 2021 271   @ California Baptist L 75-79 38%    
Projected Record 11 - 14 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.2 0.6 0.1 4.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.7 4.4 2.3 0.5 12.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.9 6.6 4.6 1.5 0.1 17.5 3rd
4th 0.2 2.0 6.3 7.0 3.0 0.6 0.0 19.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.6 7.0 6.0 1.6 0.2 19.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.3 5.8 2.8 0.5 0.0 13.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.5 3.5 1.3 0.1 0.0 8.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.6 0.6 0.0 4.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.9 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.6 4.8 8.0 11.0 12.0 13.6 12.8 11.3 9.1 6.5 3.8 1.7 0.6 0.1 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.6    0.5 0.1
14-2 71.8% 1.2    0.8 0.4 0.0
13-3 36.1% 1.4    0.6 0.7 0.1 0.0
12-4 10.8% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
11-5 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 2.2 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 55.9% 55.9% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.6% 29.0% 29.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
14-2 1.7% 22.4% 22.4% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.3
13-3 3.8% 20.5% 20.5% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 3.0
12-4 6.5% 12.3% 12.3% 15.7 0.1 0.1 0.6 5.7
11-5 9.1% 8.4% 8.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 8.3
10-6 11.3% 4.7% 4.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.5 10.8
9-7 12.8% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4 12.4
8-8 13.6% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3 13.3
7-9 12.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.9
6-10 11.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 10.9
5-11 8.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.0
4-12 4.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.8
3-13 2.6% 2.6
2-14 1.3% 1.3
1-15 0.5% 0.5
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 3.4 95.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%