IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Portland
West Coast
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.9	#263
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.3	#134
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.7	#277

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.3	#241

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	12.4	12.4	14.0

.500 or above	9.6%	13.1%	3.1%
.500 or above in Conference	5.1%	6.7%	2.3%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	58.5%	53.1%	68.4%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Cal Poly (Neutral) - 64.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 5	1 - 8
Quad 3	2 - 6	3 - 14
Quad 4	5 - 3	8 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	315	Cal Poly	W	74-70	65%
Nov 27, 2020	322	Idaho	W	76-68	77%
Dec 03, 2020	298	Cal St. Fullerton	W	73-71	57%
Dec 05, 2020	204	UC Davis	L	71-74	39%
Dec 10, 2020	115	@ Oregon St.	L	64-77	13%
Dec 19, 2020	286	Seattle	W	76-72	64%
Dec 22, 2020	209	Montana St.	W	71-70	51%
Dec 30, 2020	286	Seattle	W	76-72	63%
Jan 02, 2021	138	@ Pacific	L	63-73	18%
Jan 07, 2021	154	Loyola Marymount	L	66-69	38%
Jan 09, 2021	1	Gonzaga	L	68-90	3%
Jan 14, 2021	91	San Francisco	L	68-77	23%
Jan 16, 2021	108	@ Pepperdine	L	71-84	13%
Jan 21, 2021	54	@ BYU	L	66-85	6%
Jan 23, 2021	159	San Diego	L	71-74	40%
Jan 28, 2021	74	@ St. Mary's	L	60-77	8%
Jan 30, 2021	125	Santa Clara	L	74-79	32%
Feb 04, 2021	54	BYU	L	69-82	14%
Feb 11, 2021	91	@ San Francisco	L	65-80	11%
Feb 13, 2021	125	@ Santa Clara	L	71-82	18%
Feb 18, 2021	108	Pepperdine	L	74-81	27%
Feb 20, 2021	138	Pacific	L	66-70	36%
Feb 25, 2021	159	@ San Diego	L	68-77	23%
Feb 27, 2021	154	@ Loyola Marymount	L	63-72	22%
Projected Record						8 - 16	3 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0	1st
2nd										0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.4	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0						1.0	3rd
4th							0.0	0.2	0.8	0.7	0.1	0.0							1.8	4th
5th							0.3	1.4	1.2	0.3	0.0								3.3	5th
6th						0.3	2.3	2.0	0.4	0.0									4.9	6th
7th					0.6	3.0	3.5	0.8	0.0										8.0	7th
8th			0.0	1.1	5.1	5.4	1.3	0.1											12.9	8th
9th		0.4	4.1	8.7	6.8	1.9	0.0												21.9	9th
10th	8.0	14.7	14.0	7.4	1.5	0.1													45.7	10th

Total	8.0	15.2	18.2	17.3	14.0	10.6	7.4	4.4	2.6	1.4	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0				Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0
15-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
14-2	57.9%	0.0		0.0	0.0
13-3	28.2%	0.0		0.0	0.0
12-4	1.7%	0.0			0.0	0.0
11-5	0.3%	0.0			0.0
10-6	0.0%
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1	0.0%													0.0			0.0	0.0
14-2	0.0%																0.0							0.0
13-3	0.0%		43.6%		43.6%	11.1												0.0	0.0					0.0		43.6%
12-4	0.1%		9.3%		9.3%	11.1											0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1		9.3%
11-5	0.3%		4.9%	4.9%		12.5													0.0	0.0				0.3
10-6	0.6%																							0.6
9-7	1.4%		0.1%	0.1%		12.0													0.0					1.4
8-8	2.6%		0.7%	0.7%		12.6													0.0	0.0	0.0			2.5
7-9	4.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	4.4
6-10	7.4%		0.4%	0.4%		14.5														0.0		0.0		7.3
5-11	10.6%		0.0%	0.0%		15.0																0.0		10.6
4-12	14.0%		0.0%	0.0%		15.0																0.0		14.0
3-13	17.3%																							17.3
2-14	18.2%																							18.2
1-15	15.2%																							15.2
0-16	8.0%																							8.0

Total	100%		0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	12.4								0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	99.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%