Preseason Rankings
Pacific
West Coast
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.5#138
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.7#319
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#185
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#114
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 4.3% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.4% 2.9% 0.7%
Average Seed 10.9 10.8 11.7
.500 or above 48.1% 54.5% 27.4%
.500 or above in Conference 36.0% 39.5% 24.8%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.1% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 11.6% 9.7% 17.7%
First Four1.0% 1.2% 0.4%
First Round3.1% 3.6% 1.3%
Second Round1.1% 1.3% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Riverside (Home) - 76.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 32 - 7
Quad 34 - 46 - 11
Quad 47 - 212 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 208   UC Riverside W 65-57 76%    
  Nov 27, 2020 150   Fresno St. W 66-62 64%    
  Nov 30, 2020 104   @ Nevada L 69-75 29%    
  Dec 02, 2020 209   Montana St. W 71-63 76%    
  Dec 06, 2020 282   @ San Jose St. W 76-71 69%    
  Dec 12, 2020 204   UC Davis W 71-64 74%    
  Dec 16, 2020 308   @ Cal St. Northridge W 76-69 74%    
  Dec 19, 2020 298   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 70-64 71%    
  Jan 02, 2021 263   Portland W 73-63 82%    
  Jan 07, 2021 54   @ BYU L 65-76 16%    
  Jan 09, 2021 159   San Diego W 71-66 65%    
  Jan 14, 2021 125   Santa Clara W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 16, 2021 154   Loyola Marymount W 65-61 63%    
  Jan 21, 2021 108   @ Pepperdine L 70-76 31%    
  Jan 23, 2021 1   @ Gonzaga L 63-84 4%    
  Jan 28, 2021 125   @ Santa Clara L 69-73 37%    
  Jan 30, 2021 74   St. Mary's L 63-66 39%    
  Feb 04, 2021 91   San Francisco L 68-69 45%    
  Feb 06, 2021 159   @ San Diego L 68-69 45%    
  Feb 13, 2021 154   @ Loyola Marymount L 62-64 44%    
  Feb 18, 2021 54   BYU L 68-73 33%    
  Feb 20, 2021 263   @ Portland W 70-66 64%    
  Feb 25, 2021 1   Gonzaga L 66-81 11%    
  Feb 27, 2021 74   @ St. Mary's L 60-69 22%    
Projected Record 12 - 12 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 2.0 1.5 0.8 0.1 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.3 1.9 0.4 0.0 7.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.0 4.6 2.5 0.2 0.0 10.8 4th
5th 0.4 3.9 5.8 2.5 0.2 0.0 12.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 4.1 6.7 2.7 0.2 14.0 6th
7th 0.6 4.5 6.8 2.6 0.2 14.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 4.2 6.7 2.5 0.3 0.0 14.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 3.9 5.3 1.6 0.1 12.4 9th
10th 0.4 1.6 2.5 1.8 0.6 0.0 6.8 10th
Total 0.4 1.7 3.9 6.5 10.6 13.1 14.0 13.8 12.1 9.3 6.9 4.1 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-2 81.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1
13-3 26.9% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0
12-4 11.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1
11-5 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 96.1% 19.6% 76.5% 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.1%
14-2 0.3% 85.8% 22.9% 62.9% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 81.6%
13-3 1.2% 65.0% 12.4% 52.6% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 60.0%
12-4 2.1% 40.4% 9.3% 31.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.3 34.3%
11-5 4.1% 16.7% 4.3% 12.4% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.4 12.9%
10-6 6.9% 6.6% 3.4% 3.2% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.4 3.3%
9-7 9.3% 2.7% 2.1% 0.6% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.1 0.6%
8-8 12.1% 1.6% 1.5% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.9 0.1%
7-9 13.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.8 0.0%
6-10 14.0% 0.2% 0.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.9
5-11 13.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.1
4-12 10.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.6
3-13 6.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.5
2-14 3.9% 3.9
1-15 1.7% 1.7
0-16 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 3.7% 1.3% 2.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 96.3 2.4%