Preseason Rankings
Pepperdine
West Coast
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.3#108
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.6#49
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.8#60
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#182
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 1.0% 1.5% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.3% 15.6% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 8.1% 11.9% 3.8%
Average Seed 10.2 10.0 10.8
.500 or above 65.7% 77.5% 51.8%
.500 or above in Conference 55.4% 62.6% 46.9%
Conference Champion 2.6% 3.5% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 3.7% 7.7%
First Four2.4% 3.4% 1.2%
First Round9.9% 13.8% 5.4%
Second Round3.7% 5.3% 1.8%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.6% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Irvine (Neutral) - 54.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 5
Quad 22 - 33 - 8
Quad 35 - 38 - 11
Quad 47 - 115 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 119   UC Irvine W 77-76 54%    
  Nov 27, 2020 27   UCLA L 71-80 22%    
  Dec 02, 2020 282   San Jose St. W 92-78 91%    
  Dec 05, 2020 150   Fresno St. W 77-70 72%    
  Dec 09, 2020 107   California W 75-72 61%    
  Dec 12, 2020 308   Cal St. Northridge W 91-75 93%    
  Dec 14, 2020 102   @ UNLV L 76-79 38%    
  Dec 19, 2020 141   UC Santa Barbara W 77-71 71%    
  Dec 23, 2020 340   Tarleton St. W 89-67 97%    
  Dec 31, 2020 54   BYU L 80-82 42%    
  Jan 02, 2021 74   @ St. Mary's L 71-77 30%    
  Jan 07, 2021 91   @ San Francisco L 76-81 35%    
  Jan 14, 2021 1   @ Gonzaga L 76-94 7%    
  Jan 16, 2021 263   Portland W 84-71 87%    
  Jan 21, 2021 138   Pacific W 76-70 69%    
  Jan 23, 2021 54   @ BYU L 77-85 25%    
  Jan 30, 2021 1   Gonzaga L 79-91 16%    
  Feb 04, 2021 159   San Diego W 82-75 73%    
  Feb 06, 2021 91   San Francisco W 79-78 55%    
  Feb 11, 2021 154   @ Loyola Marymount W 73-72 52%    
  Feb 13, 2021 74   St. Mary's L 73-74 49%    
  Feb 18, 2021 263   @ Portland W 81-74 73%    
  Feb 20, 2021 125   @ Santa Clara L 82-83 47%    
  Feb 25, 2021 154   Loyola Marymount W 76-69 71%    
  Feb 27, 2021 159   @ San Diego W 79-78 54%    
Projected Record 14 - 11 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.0 2.6 1st
2nd 0.2 1.5 3.1 3.7 1.9 0.3 10.6 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.8 5.8 4.1 1.1 0.0 14.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.5 6.6 3.6 0.5 0.0 14.6 4th
5th 0.5 3.8 7.0 3.0 0.4 0.0 14.6 5th
6th 0.3 3.5 6.5 3.0 0.2 0.0 13.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.3 2.2 0.2 11.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.5 1.7 0.2 0.0 9.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.0 2.9 1.1 0.1 6.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.8 10th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.3 5.9 9.0 11.0 13.0 14.0 12.8 11.3 7.8 5.5 2.7 1.0 0.4 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
14-2 71.1% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
13-3 30.1% 0.8    0.4 0.4 0.0
12-4 11.2% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0
11-5 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 100.0% 13.6% 86.4% 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-1 0.4% 95.9% 33.1% 62.8% 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.9%
14-2 1.0% 90.2% 20.3% 69.9% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 87.7%
13-3 2.7% 76.3% 15.3% 61.0% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 72.0%
12-4 5.5% 56.3% 11.5% 44.8% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.4 50.6%
11-5 7.8% 30.2% 7.8% 22.4% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.4 24.3%
10-6 11.3% 11.7% 5.3% 6.4% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 9.9 6.7%
9-7 12.8% 4.7% 2.6% 2.1% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 12.2 2.2%
8-8 14.0% 2.0% 1.5% 0.6% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.7 0.6%
7-9 13.0% 1.5% 1.5% 0.1% 13.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.8 0.1%
6-10 11.0% 0.7% 0.7% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0
5-11 9.0% 0.2% 0.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0
4-12 5.9% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 5.9
3-13 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.3
2-14 1.6% 1.6
1-15 0.6% 0.6
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 11.3% 3.4% 7.9% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.3 1.7 2.3 2.6 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 88.7 8.1%