IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Idaho
Big Sky
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.2	#322
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.6	#153
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.1	#320

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.0	#308

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.2%	0.5%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	15.1	15.4

.500 or above	6.1%	11.9%	2.9%
.500 or above in Conference	10.5%	16.3%	7.3%
Conference Champion	0.3%	0.6%	0.2%
Last Place in Conference	42.7%	32.7%	48.2%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
First Round	0.2%	0.4%	0.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Seattle (Neutral) - 35.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 7	1 - 10
Quad 4	5 - 8	7 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	286	Seattle	L	72-76	36%
Nov 27, 2020	315	Cal Poly	L	72-73	47%
Nov 27, 2020	263	@ Portland	L	68-76	23%
Dec 03, 2020	230	@ Sacramento St.	L	60-70	19%
Dec 05, 2020	230	@ Sacramento St.	L	60-70	20%
Dec 09, 2020	129	@ Washington St.	L	67-83	7%
Dec 14, 2020	1	@ Gonzaga	L	62-95	0.3%
Dec 31, 2020	266	Northern Arizona	L	70-72	44%
Jan 02, 2021	266	Northern Arizona	L	70-72	44%
Jan 07, 2021	192	@ Southern Utah	L	66-78	15%
Jan 09, 2021	192	@ Southern Utah	L	66-78	15%
Jan 14, 2021	166	Northern Colorado	L	64-72	26%
Jan 16, 2021	166	Northern Colorado	L	64-72	26%
Jan 28, 2021	256	Weber St.	L	70-72	42%
Jan 30, 2021	256	Weber St.	L	70-72	43%
Feb 04, 2021	132	Eastern Washington	L	73-83	20%
Feb 06, 2021	132	@ Eastern Washington	L	70-86	9%
Feb 11, 2021	299	@ Idaho St.	L	70-76	30%
Feb 13, 2021	299	@ Idaho St.	L	70-76	31%
Feb 18, 2021	252	@ Portland St.	L	73-82	24%
Feb 20, 2021	252	Portland St.	L	76-79	42%
Feb 25, 2021	209	Montana St.	L	68-73	35%
Feb 27, 2021	209	Montana St.	L	68-73	35%
Mar 04, 2021	140	@ Montana	L	63-79	10%
Mar 06, 2021	140	@ Montana	L	63-79	10%
Projected Record						7 - 18	5 - 15

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Sky Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.3	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0					0.9	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.0	0.3	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.0							1.6	3rd
4th										0.0	0.5	0.8	0.8	0.2	0.0								2.3	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	0.7	1.6	1.2	0.2	0.0									3.8	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	1.0	2.2	1.5	0.3	0.0										5.1	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	1.3	2.9	2.3	0.6	0.0											7.3	7th
8th					0.0	0.5	2.3	4.1	2.6	0.5	0.0												10.2	8th
9th				0.2	1.2	4.0	5.3	3.1	0.7	0.0													14.5	9th
10th		0.1	1.0	3.6	6.4	6.3	3.3	0.7	0.0	0.0													21.4	10th
11th	2.5	5.8	8.5	8.3	5.2	2.1	0.4	0.0															32.7	11th

Total	2.5	5.9	9.5	12.1	12.8	12.9	11.4	9.4	7.3	5.8	4.2	2.6	1.8	0.9	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0				Total

Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-3	76.6%	0.0		0.0
16-4	65.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0
15-5	35.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
14-6	16.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	1.1%	0.0				0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.3%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%																						0.0
18-2	0.0%																			0.0	0.0	0.0
17-3	0.0%		76.6%	76.6%		14.5															0.0	0.0		0.0
16-4	0.1%		56.6%	56.6%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
15-5	0.3%		18.1%	18.1%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
14-6	0.5%		10.2%	10.2%		15.7																0.0	0.0	0.5
13-7	0.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	0.9
12-8	1.8%																							1.8
11-9	2.6%																							2.6
10-10	4.2%																							4.2
9-11	5.8%																							5.8
8-12	7.3%																							7.3
7-13	9.4%																							9.4
6-14	11.4%																							11.4
5-15	12.9%																							12.9
4-16	12.8%																							12.8
3-17	12.1%																							12.1
2-18	9.5%																							9.5
1-19	5.9%																							5.9
0-20	2.5%																							2.5

Total	100%		0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	15.2														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	99.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.5%