IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Washington
Pac-12
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+8.4	#68
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.0	#89
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.5	#85

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.8	#59

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.8%	0.8%	0.1%
Top 2 Seed	2.1%	2.2%	0.6%
Top 4 Seed	6.2%	6.5%	1.3%
Top 6 Seed	11.5%	12.0%	2.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid	36.6%	37.9%	14.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	33.3%	34.6%	12.9%
Average Seed	7.8	7.8	8.9

.500 or above	62.3%	64.1%	32.6%
.500 or above in Conference	47.5%	48.6%	28.3%
Conference Champion	4.9%	5.1%	1.3%
Last Place in Conference	8.4%	7.9%	18.1%

First Four	3.7%	3.9%	1.7%
First Round	34.6%	35.8%	13.9%
Second Round	19.0%	19.7%	7.0%
Sweet Sixteen	7.5%	7.8%	2.3%
Elite Eight	3.1%	3.2%	1.0%
Final Four	1.1%	1.1%	0.2%
Championship Game	0.4%	0.5%	0.2%
National Champion	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%

Next Game: Portland St. (Home) - 94.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 4	1 - 4
Quad 1b	2 - 3	3 - 7
Quad 2	4 - 4	7 - 11
Quad 3	4 - 1	11 - 12
Quad 4	4 - 0	15 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	252	Portland St.	W	88-71	94%
Nov 27, 2020	159	San Diego	W	79-68	85%
Nov 28, 2020	298	Cal St. Fullerton	W	82-63	96%
Dec 03, 2020	67	@ Utah	L	71-74	39%
Dec 09, 2020	286	Seattle	W	84-66	95%
Dec 12, 2020	21	Oregon	L	70-73	41%
Dec 16, 2020	140	Montana	W	77-67	81%
Dec 20, 2020	50	Colorado	L	72-73	45%
Mar 08, 2021	38	Arizona	W	74-73	51%
Mar 08, 2021	25	Arizona St.	L	79-81	43%
Mar 08, 2021	107	@ California	W	70-69	54%
Mar 08, 2021	31	@ Stanford	L	68-74	29%
Mar 08, 2021	27	@ UCLA	L	67-75	26%
Mar 08, 2021	57	@ USC	L	71-75	37%
Mar 08, 2021	50	Colorado	W	74-72	55%
Mar 08, 2021	67	Utah	W	74-71	59%
Mar 08, 2021	129	Washington St.	W	80-71	78%
Mar 08, 2021	21	@ Oregon	L	67-76	24%
Mar 08, 2021	115	@ Oregon St.	W	72-70	55%
Mar 09, 2021	27	UCLA	L	70-72	45%
Mar 09, 2021	57	USC	W	74-72	56%
Mar 09, 2021	107	California	W	73-66	71%
Mar 09, 2021	31	Stanford	L	71-72	48%
Mar 09, 2021	38	@ Arizona	L	71-77	33%
Mar 09, 2021	25	@ Arizona St.	L	76-84	26%
Mar 09, 2021	129	@ Washington St.	W	77-74	61%
Projected Record						14 - 12	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Pac-12 Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.1	0.4	0.9	1.4	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.0		4.9	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	1.0	1.9	1.9	1.0	0.3	0.0				6.4	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.3	1.4	3.1	2.3	0.8	0.1	0.0					7.9	3rd
4th										0.0	0.3	1.9	3.4	2.2	0.5	0.0							8.3	4th
5th									0.0	0.2	2.1	3.9	2.4	0.5	0.0								9.1	5th
6th									0.3	2.3	4.1	2.9	0.5	0.0									10.1	6th
7th							0.0	0.4	2.1	4.3	2.7	0.4	0.0										10.1	7th
8th						0.0	0.4	2.5	4.5	2.8	0.4	0.0											10.7	8th
9th					0.1	0.7	2.6	3.9	2.6	0.5	0.0												10.4	9th
10th				0.1	1.1	2.7	3.2	1.8	0.4	0.0													9.4	10th
11th		0.0	0.3	1.3	2.5	2.1	1.2	0.2	0.0														7.6	11th
12th	0.2	0.7	1.3	1.5	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0															5.1	12th

Total	0.2	0.7	1.6	2.9	4.6	6.0	7.5	9.0	9.9	10.2	9.7	9.3	7.9	6.9	5.2	3.6	2.5	1.5	0.7	0.2	0.0			Total

Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
18-2	95.5%	0.6		0.6	0.1
17-3	78.0%	1.1		0.8	0.4	0.0
16-4	56.9%	1.4		0.7	0.6	0.1	0.0
15-5	25.2%	0.9		0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0
14-6	8.6%	0.4		0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-7	1.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	4.9%	4.9		2.7	1.6	0.5	0.1	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		100.0%	60.6%	39.4%	1.2		0.0	0.0	0.0																100.0%
19-1	0.2%		100.0%	38.9%	61.1%	1.6		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0															100.0%
18-2	0.7%		100.0%	41.4%	58.6%	1.9		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0														100.0%
17-3	1.5%		100.0%	34.9%	65.1%	2.7		0.2	0.5	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.0										100.0%
16-4	2.5%		100.0%	25.6%	74.4%	3.8		0.1	0.3	0.6	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0										100.0%
15-5	3.6%		100.0%	18.3%	81.7%	5.4		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	0.7	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0								100.0%
14-6	5.2%		98.5%	13.3%	85.2%	6.7			0.0	0.1	0.5	0.8	0.9	1.1	0.8	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.1		98.3%
13-7	6.9%		95.2%	10.1%	85.1%	8.1				0.1	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.1	1.4	1.5	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0				0.3		94.7%
12-8	7.9%		82.7%	6.6%	76.0%	9.2					0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.3	1.5	1.3	1.1	0.4	0.0				1.4		81.4%
11-9	9.3%		60.1%	3.7%	56.4%	10.1						0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.9	1.4	1.4	0.9	0.1	0.0			3.7		58.6%
10-10	9.7%		31.6%	2.0%	29.5%	11.0								0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.9	0.9	0.2	0.0	0.0		6.6		30.1%
9-11	10.2%		9.2%	1.5%	7.7%	11.5								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0		9.2		7.8%
8-12	9.9%		2.3%	0.9%	1.3%	12.1											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		9.7		1.4%
7-13	9.0%		0.4%	0.4%	0.0%	14.2												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	8.9		0.0%
6-14	7.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.5
5-15	6.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.0
4-16	4.6%																							4.6
3-17	2.9%																							2.9
2-18	1.6%																							1.6
1-19	0.7%																							0.7
0-20	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		36.6%	4.9%	31.7%	7.8		0.8	1.3	1.6	2.5	2.4	2.8	3.6	4.5	5.0	4.5	4.2	2.9	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0	63.4		33.3%