Preseason Rankings
Mississippi Valley
Southwestern Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-21.7#348
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace89.2#1
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-9.4#339
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-12.3#348
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.4% 0.0% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 62.2% 47.4% 62.2%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas (Away) - 0.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 43 - 73 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 46   @ Arkansas L 70-105 0.0%   
  Nov 28, 2020 169   @ Wyoming L 67-91 1%    
  Dec 01, 2020 177   @ Grand Canyon L 72-96 1%    
  Dec 05, 2020 135   @ Missouri St. L 70-96 1%    
  Dec 08, 2020 40   @ Memphis L 70-106 0.1%   
  Dec 13, 2020 120   @ Vanderbilt L 71-99 1%    
  Dec 28, 2020 82   @ Western Kentucky L 70-101 0.3%   
  Jan 02, 2021 338   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 71-81 19%    
  Jan 09, 2021 343   Alabama A&M L 78-80 44%    
  Jan 11, 2021 344   Alabama St. L 80-81 46%    
  Jan 16, 2021 334   @ Alcorn St. L 80-91 17%    
  Jan 18, 2021 262   @ Southern L 71-90 6%    
  Feb 06, 2021 343   @ Alabama A&M L 75-83 26%    
  Feb 08, 2021 344   @ Alabama St. L 77-84 28%    
  Feb 13, 2021 334   Alcorn St. L 83-88 33%    
  Feb 15, 2021 262   Southern L 74-87 14%    
  Mar 06, 2021 338   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 74-78 37%    
Projected Record 3 - 14 3 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 1.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.8 0.1 2.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.8 0.5 0.0 3.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.6 3.8 1.3 0.1 7.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.9 6.8 3.0 0.2 0.0 13.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 6.7 10.8 5.6 0.6 0.0 25.0 9th
10th 10.0 17.0 14.2 5.2 0.8 0.0 47.2 10th
Total 10.1 18.2 21.3 19.1 15.0 8.8 4.5 2.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 38.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 22.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.1% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1
8-10 0.7% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.7
7-11 2.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 2.2
6-12 4.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 4.5
5-13 8.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.8
4-14 15.0% 15.0
3-15 19.1% 19.1
2-16 21.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 21.3
1-17 18.2% 18.2
0-18 10.1% 10.1
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 9.9%