IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
UT Rio Grande Valley
Western Athletic
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.4	#231
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.7	#64
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.7	#249

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.8	#223

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.6%	19.1%	8.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	13.8	15.4

.500 or above	66.2%	93.9%	65.7%
.500 or above in Conference	78.5%	92.8%	78.2%
Conference Champion	8.2%	22.0%	8.0%
Last Place in Conference	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

First Four	3.2%	1.2%	3.2%
First Round	7.1%	19.0%	6.9%
Second Round	0.3%	2.7%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Texas (Away) - 1.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 6
Quad 4	12 - 5	14 - 11

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	15	@ Texas	L	59-81	2%
Nov 28, 2020	153	Texas San Antonio	L	81-83	43%
Dec 02, 2020	303	TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	74-67	74%
Dec 06, 2020	78	@ Texas A&M	L	61-76	9%
Dec 10, 2020	303	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	71-70	53%
Dec 14, 2020	336	@ Incarnate Word	W	76-69	73%
Dec 21, 2020	246	Sam Houston St.	W	80-76	63%
Jan 08, 2021	345	@ Chicago St.	W	72-62	81%
Jan 09, 2021	345	@ Chicago St.	W	72-62	81%
Jan 15, 2021	337	Dixie St.	W	71-58	87%
Jan 16, 2021	337	Dixie St.	W	71-58	87%
Jan 22, 2021	92	@ New Mexico St.	L	62-75	13%
Jan 23, 2021	92	@ New Mexico St.	L	62-75	13%
Feb 05, 2021	177	Grand Canyon	L	74-75	48%
Feb 06, 2021	177	Grand Canyon	L	74-75	49%
Feb 12, 2021	271	@ California Baptist	L	77-78	46%
Feb 13, 2021	271	@ California Baptist	L	77-78	46%
Feb 19, 2021	286	Seattle	W	79-73	67%
Feb 20, 2021	286	Seattle	W	79-73	68%
Feb 26, 2021	291	@ Utah Valley	L	74-75	49%
Feb 27, 2021	291	@ Utah Valley	L	74-75	49%
Mar 05, 2021	340	Tarleton St.	W	82-68	86%
Mar 06, 2021	340	Tarleton St.	W	82-68	86%
Projected Record						13 - 10	10 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Western Athletic Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.2	1.1	2.6	2.6	1.4	0.3		8.2	1st
2nd									0.0	0.3	2.2	5.8	7.3	4.9	1.1				21.7	2nd
3rd								0.0	1.0	4.8	8.6	7.3	2.7	0.2					24.8	3rd
4th							0.1	1.7	5.7	7.3	3.5	0.7	0.0						19.1	4th
5th						0.2	2.0	5.2	4.3	1.5	0.2								13.3	5th
6th					0.1	1.4	3.2	2.0	0.5	0.0									7.3	6th
7th				0.1	0.9	1.7	0.8	0.1	0.0										3.6	7th
8th		0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.3	0.0												1.5	8th
9th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0													0.5	9th
10th																				10th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.7	3.6	6.1	9.0	11.6	13.9	14.6	14.0	11.2	7.7	3.7	1.4	0.3			Total

Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
15-1	100.0%	1.4		1.3	0.2
14-2	69.7%	2.6		1.5	1.1	0.1
13-3	33.2%	2.6		1.1	1.2	0.3	0.0
12-4	9.9%	1.1		0.2	0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0
11-5	1.5%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.1%	0.0				0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	8.2%	8.2		4.4	3.1	0.7	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.3%		55.8%	55.5%	0.4%	12.7											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1		0.8%
15-1	1.4%		41.8%	41.8%		14.0												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.8
14-2	3.7%		30.0%	30.0%		14.6													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.2	2.6
13-3	7.7%		22.0%	22.0%		15.1														0.1	0.3	0.7	0.7	6.0
12-4	11.2%		14.4%	14.4%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.5	1.0	9.6
11-5	14.0%		10.3%	10.3%		15.8															0.0	0.2	1.2	12.6
10-6	14.6%		6.3%	6.3%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.9	13.7
9-7	13.9%		3.3%	3.3%		15.9														0.0		0.0	0.4	13.4
8-8	11.6%		2.8%	2.8%		16.0																	0.3	11.2
7-9	9.0%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.2	8.9
6-10	6.1%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	6.1
5-11	3.6%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	3.5
4-12	1.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	1.7
3-13	0.7%																							0.7
2-14	0.3%																							0.3
1-15	0.1%																							0.1
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		8.6%	8.6%	0.0%	15.3											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.1	2.0	4.9	91.4		0.0%