Pre-tourney Rankings
Alabama
Southeastern
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.3#23
Expected Predictive Rating+12.2#33
Pace78.3#11
Improvement-6.6#352

Offense
Total Offense+9.0#15
First Shot+5.1#43
After Offensive Rebound+3.9#2
Layup/Dunks+5.2#26
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#351
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#100
Freethrows+1.8#52
Improvement-2.7#306

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#90
First Shot+4.3#57
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#275
Layups/Dunks+3.6#46
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#158
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#138
Freethrows-0.9#260
Improvement-3.9#325
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.9% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 61.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round58.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen21.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight7.7% n/a n/a
Final Four2.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.8% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 64 - 6
Quad 1b4 - 28 - 8
Quad 25 - 313 - 11
Quad 35 - 218 - 13
Quad 41 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 102   Louisiana Tech W 93-64 81%     1 - 0 +31.9 +19.9 +11.2
  Nov 12, 2021 79   South Dakota St. W 104-88 75%     2 - 0 +21.1 +14.6 +4.5
  Nov 16, 2021 152   South Alabama W 73-68 89%     3 - 0 +3.7 -9.9 +13.0
  Nov 19, 2021 186   Oakland W 86-59 92%     4 - 0 +23.7 +9.3 +13.9
  Nov 25, 2021 104   Iona L 68-72 76%     4 - 1 +1.0 -7.0 +8.3
  Nov 26, 2021 87   Drake W 80-71 71%     5 - 1 +15.4 +6.0 +8.9
  Nov 28, 2021 54   Miami (FL) W 96-64 61%     6 - 1 +41.4 +23.1 +17.9
  Dec 04, 2021 1   Gonzaga W 91-82 14%     7 - 1 +32.9 +17.2 +14.6
  Dec 11, 2021 5   Houston W 83-82 36%     8 - 1 +16.9 +17.0 -0.1
  Dec 14, 2021 25   @ Memphis L 78-92 42%     8 - 2 +0.3 +6.3 -4.8
  Dec 18, 2021 153   Jacksonville St. W 65-59 89%     9 - 2 +4.6 -3.2 +8.3
  Dec 21, 2021 52   Davidson L 78-79 60%     9 - 3 +8.6 +9.4 -0.8
  Dec 29, 2021 7   Tennessee W 73-68 38%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +20.3 +7.0 +13.1
  Jan 05, 2022 47   @ Florida W 83-70 50%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +25.2 +13.1 +11.8
  Jan 08, 2022 113   @ Missouri L 86-92 73%     11 - 4 2 - 1 -0.2 +16.0 -16.1
  Jan 11, 2022 11   Auburn L 77-81 39%     11 - 5 2 - 2 +11.0 +2.8 +8.7
  Jan 15, 2022 46   @ Mississippi St. L 76-78 50%     11 - 6 2 - 3 +10.3 +7.8 +2.5
  Jan 19, 2022 19   LSU W 70-67 53%     12 - 6 3 - 3 +14.4 +1.8 +12.5
  Jan 22, 2022 113   Missouri W 86-76 84%     13 - 6 4 - 3 +11.4 +20.5 -8.4
  Jan 25, 2022 203   @ Georgia L 76-82 87%     13 - 7 4 - 4 -5.7 -5.3 +0.0
  Jan 29, 2022 6   Baylor W 87-78 37%     14 - 7 +24.6 +21.3 +3.4
  Feb 01, 2022 11   @ Auburn L 81-100 25%     14 - 8 4 - 5 +0.4 +9.0 -6.2
  Feb 05, 2022 3   Kentucky L 55-66 34%     14 - 9 4 - 6 +5.5 -15.2 +21.4
  Feb 09, 2022 99   @ Mississippi W 97-83 68%     15 - 9 5 - 6 +21.5 +25.0 -3.9
  Feb 12, 2022 16   Arkansas W 68-67 50%     16 - 9 6 - 6 +13.2 -3.3 +16.4
  Feb 16, 2022 46   Mississippi St. W 80-75 67%     17 - 9 7 - 6 +12.8 +6.6 +6.0
  Feb 19, 2022 3   @ Kentucky L 81-90 20%     17 - 10 7 - 7 +12.0 +24.2 -13.2
  Feb 22, 2022 60   @ Vanderbilt W 74-72 54%     18 - 10 8 - 7 +13.2 +4.3 +8.8
  Feb 26, 2022 93   South Carolina W 90-71 79%     19 - 10 9 - 7 +22.7 +15.7 +5.6
  Mar 02, 2022 42   Texas A&M L 71-87 65%     19 - 11 9 - 8 -7.6 -0.4 -6.4
  Mar 05, 2022 19   @ LSU L 77-80 OT 36%     19 - 12 9 - 9 +12.8 +10.1 +3.0
  Mar 10, 2022 60   Vanderbilt L 76-82 63%     19 - 13 +3.0 -1.8 +5.6
Projected Record 19 - 13 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6.2 0.0 0.8 16.5 43.9 34.9 3.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 6.2 0.0 0.8 16.5 43.9 34.9 3.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%