Pre-tourney Rankings
Arizona St.
Pac-12
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.9#83
Expected Predictive Rating+6.7#85
Pace68.7#160
Improvement+5.7#22

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#189
First Shot-1.3#225
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#102
Layup/Dunks-1.4#234
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#50
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#209
Freethrows-1.7#310
Improvement+1.5#101

Defense
Total Defense+7.3#20
First Shot+6.1#19
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#71
Layups/Dunks+3.2#56
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#5
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#164
Freethrows-0.3#216
Improvement+4.2#19
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 14 - 8
Quad 22 - 66 - 14
Quad 35 - 211 - 16
Quad 43 - 114 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 169   Portland W 76-60 81%     1 - 0 +13.5 -4.6 +16.8
  Nov 11, 2021 173   UC Riverside L 65-66 81%     1 - 1 -3.5 -4.5 +0.9
  Nov 15, 2021 266   North Florida W 72-63 91%     2 - 1 +0.8 -1.1 +2.2
  Nov 18, 2021 26   @ San Diego St. L 63-65 24%     2 - 2 +12.3 +5.3 +6.9
  Nov 24, 2021 6   Baylor L 63-75 15%     2 - 3 +5.8 -0.9 +6.4
  Nov 25, 2021 65   Syracuse L 84-92 44%     2 - 4 +0.5 +8.1 -7.3
  Nov 26, 2021 31   Loyola Chicago L 59-77 32%     2 - 5 -6.4 +0.5 -9.1
  Dec 01, 2021 51   Washington St. L 29-51 48%     2 - 6 0 - 1 -14.6 -37.4 +21.4
  Dec 05, 2021 70   @ Oregon W 69-67 OT 37%     3 - 6 1 - 1 +12.4 -1.2 +13.6
  Dec 09, 2021 103   Grand Canyon W 67-62 66%     4 - 6 +7.8 -3.5 +11.2
  Dec 14, 2021 43   @ Creighton W 58-57 29%     5 - 6 +13.7 -3.1 +16.9
  Dec 19, 2021 21   San Francisco L 65-66 36%     5 - 7 +9.6 -3.7 +13.4
  Jan 02, 2022 122   @ California L 50-74 57%     5 - 8 1 - 2 -18.8 -13.6 -7.0
  Jan 15, 2022 57   Colorado L 57-75 49%     5 - 9 1 - 3 -10.8 -10.5 -0.5
  Jan 17, 2022 114   Utah W 64-62 70%     6 - 9 2 - 3 +3.3 -4.9 +8.4
  Jan 22, 2022 97   @ Stanford L 76-79 46%     6 - 10 2 - 4 +4.8 +4.8 +0.1
  Jan 24, 2022 41   @ USC L 56-78 28%     6 - 11 2 - 5 -9.2 -9.0 -0.7
  Jan 29, 2022 2   @ Arizona L 56-67 9%     6 - 12 2 - 6 +11.1 -7.8 +18.8
  Feb 03, 2022 41   USC L 53-58 44%     6 - 13 2 - 7 +3.4 -13.2 +16.4
  Feb 05, 2022 8   UCLA W 87-84 3OT 22%     7 - 13 3 - 7 +18.2 +7.1 +10.5
  Feb 07, 2022 2   Arizona L 79-91 16%     7 - 14 3 - 8 +5.7 +4.1 +2.9
  Feb 10, 2022 101   @ Washington L 64-87 48%     7 - 15 3 - 9 -15.6 -9.6 -4.2
  Feb 12, 2022 51   @ Washington St. W 58-55 32%     8 - 15 4 - 9 +14.8 -2.4 +17.5
  Feb 17, 2022 70   Oregon W 81-57 53%     9 - 15 5 - 9 +30.0 +16.2 +15.6
  Feb 19, 2022 204   Oregon St. W 73-53 85%     10 - 15 6 - 9 +15.9 -6.4 +22.0
  Feb 21, 2022 8   @ UCLA L 52-66 12%     10 - 16 6 - 10 +5.6 -5.2 +9.0
  Feb 24, 2022 57   @ Colorado W 82-65 33%     11 - 16 7 - 10 +28.6 +13.7 +14.4
  Feb 26, 2022 114   @ Utah W 63-61 54%     12 - 16 8 - 10 +7.8 -1.1 +9.1
  Mar 03, 2022 122   California W 71-44 72%     13 - 16 9 - 10 +27.8 +7.5 +22.6
  Mar 05, 2022 97   Stanford W 65-56 63%     14 - 16 10 - 10 +12.4 -3.3 +16.0
  Mar 09, 2022 97   Stanford L 70-71 55%     14 - 17 +4.6 +4.4 +0.1
Projected Record 14 - 17 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 100.0
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%