Pre-tourney Rankings
Indiana
Big Ten
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.4#33
Expected Predictive Rating+10.7#48
Pace68.0#187
Improvement-1.9#248

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#78
First Shot+3.9#66
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#179
Layup/Dunks+6.4#11
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#301
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#264
Freethrows+2.1#35
Improvement+0.4#167

Defense
Total Defense+7.5#17
First Shot+5.1#36
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#20
Layups/Dunks+3.6#47
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#67
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#153
Freethrows-0.6#238
Improvement-2.3#295
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 52.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 52.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four33.1% n/a n/a
First Round38.0% n/a n/a
Second Round17.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen6.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 24 - 8
Quad 24 - 48 - 12
Quad 35 - 113 - 13
Quad 47 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 304   Eastern Michigan W 68-62 97%     1 - 0 -4.8 -14.0 +8.7
  Nov 12, 2021 282   Northern Illinois W 85-49 96%     2 - 0 +26.5 +6.0 +18.8
  Nov 17, 2021 45   St. John's W 76-74 63%     3 - 0 +9.9 +4.5 +5.3
  Nov 21, 2021 188   Louisiana W 76-44 91%     4 - 0 +28.6 -3.8 +30.2
  Nov 23, 2021 292   Jackson St. W 70-35 97%     5 - 0 +24.9 +1.8 +26.2
  Nov 27, 2021 232   Marshall W 90-79 94%     6 - 0 +5.2 +5.9 -1.7
  Nov 30, 2021 65   @ Syracuse L 110-112 2OT 53%     6 - 1 +8.7 +9.6 -0.3
  Dec 04, 2021 116   Nebraska W 68-55 83%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +14.0 -7.3 +21.0
  Dec 08, 2021 30   @ Wisconsin L 59-64 41%     7 - 2 1 - 1 +8.9 -0.2 +8.6
  Dec 12, 2021 291   Merrimack W 81-49 97%     8 - 2 +22.1 +10.8 +13.5
  Dec 18, 2021 48   Notre Dame W 64-56 56%     9 - 2 +17.9 -4.0 +22.1
  Dec 22, 2021 179   Northern Kentucky W 79-61 90%     10 - 2 +15.2 +9.5 +6.6
  Jan 02, 2022 73   @ Penn St. L 58-61 54%     10 - 3 1 - 2 +7.4 +2.5 +4.4
  Jan 06, 2022 27   Ohio St. W 67-51 56%     11 - 3 2 - 2 +25.7 -2.5 +28.8
  Jan 09, 2022 105   Minnesota W 73-60 80%     12 - 3 3 - 2 +15.6 +8.4 +8.6
  Jan 13, 2022 10   @ Iowa L 74-83 22%     12 - 4 3 - 3 +10.5 +3.6 +7.2
  Jan 17, 2022 116   @ Nebraska W 78-71 72%     13 - 4 4 - 3 +12.4 +9.7 +3.0
  Jan 20, 2022 14   Purdue W 68-65 40%     14 - 4 5 - 3 +17.0 +1.7 +15.4
  Jan 23, 2022 24   Michigan L 62-80 56%     14 - 5 5 - 4 -8.1 -4.9 -4.2
  Jan 26, 2022 73   Penn St. W 74-57 70%     15 - 5 6 - 4 +23.0 +17.8 +8.0
  Jan 29, 2022 64   @ Maryland W 68-55 52%     16 - 5 7 - 4 +23.8 +0.9 +23.2
  Feb 05, 2022 15   Illinois L 57-74 46%     16 - 6 7 - 5 -4.6 -6.3 +0.5
  Feb 08, 2022 78   @ Northwestern L 51-59 56%     16 - 7 7 - 6 +1.8 -10.5 +11.4
  Feb 12, 2022 32   @ Michigan St. L 61-76 41%     16 - 8 7 - 7 -1.3 -6.3 +5.2
  Feb 15, 2022 30   Wisconsin L 69-74 58%     16 - 9 7 - 8 +4.4 -0.7 +5.3
  Feb 21, 2022 27   @ Ohio St. L 69-80 OT 39%     16 - 10 7 - 9 +3.2 -3.1 +6.7
  Feb 24, 2022 64   Maryland W 74-64 69%     17 - 10 8 - 9 +16.4 +8.5 +8.6
  Feb 27, 2022 105   @ Minnesota W 84-79 67%     18 - 10 9 - 9 +12.0 +15.8 -3.7
  Mar 02, 2022 59   Rutgers L 63-66 67%     18 - 11 9 - 10 +4.0 +2.4 +1.3
  Mar 05, 2022 14   @ Purdue L 67-69 25%     18 - 12 9 - 11 +16.4 +3.8 +12.4
  Mar 10, 2022 24   Michigan W 74-69 47%     19 - 12 +17.1 +5.4 +11.8
  Mar 11, 2022 15   Illinois W 65-63 38%     20 - 12 +16.6 +3.2 +13.5
  Mar 12, 2022 10   Iowa L 77-80 28%     20 - 13 +14.3 +11.2 +3.0
Projected Record 20 - 13 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 52.4% 52.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 5.6 32.9 13.2 0.0 47.6 52.4%
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 52.4% 0.0% 52.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 5.6 32.9 13.2 0.0 47.6 52.4%