IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Holy Cross
Patriot League
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.3	#321
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.1	#151
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.5	#279

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.8	#331

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.9%	4.9%	1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	15.2	15.6

.500 or above	16.9%	43.6%	14.0%
.500 or above in Conference	24.8%	46.8%	22.4%
Conference Champion	1.6%	4.9%	1.2%
Last Place in Conference	27.7%	11.9%	29.4%

First Four	0.9%	1.1%	0.8%
First Round	1.5%	4.3%	1.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Away) - 9.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 7	1 - 10
Quad 4	8 - 10	10 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 12, 2021	144	@ Boston College	L	70-84	10%
Nov 15, 2021	261	@ Quinnipiac	L	73-80	27%
Nov 20, 2021	306	Air Force	L	67-68	45%
Nov 27, 2021	241	New Hampshire	L	70-72	44%
Dec 01, 2021	346	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	78-76	56%
Dec 04, 2021	210	@ La Salle	L	69-79	20%
Dec 08, 2021	260	@ Fairfield	L	64-71	29%
Dec 11, 2021	227	Siena	L	69-72	41%
Dec 19, 2021	160	@ Harvard	L	67-80	15%
Dec 22, 2021	193	@ Saint Joseph's	L	73-84	19%
Jan 01, 2022	184	Navy	L	69-74	33%
Jan 04, 2022	276	@ Loyola Maryland	L	70-76	31%
Jan 07, 2022	292	Lafayette	W	76-75	52%
Jan 10, 2022	297	@ Lehigh	L	73-78	35%
Jan 13, 2022	259	American	L	71-72	47%
Jan 16, 2022	105	@ Colgate	L	71-88	8%
Jan 19, 2022	292	@ Lafayette	L	73-78	34%
Jan 22, 2022	294	Bucknell	W	78-77	53%
Jan 26, 2022	259	@ American	L	68-75	29%
Jan 29, 2022	297	Lehigh	W	76-75	53%
Jan 31, 2022	197	@ Boston University	L	66-77	20%
Feb 05, 2022	257	@ Army	L	69-76	29%
Feb 09, 2022	276	Loyola Maryland	L	72-73	49%
Feb 12, 2022	294	@ Bucknell	L	75-80	34%
Feb 16, 2022	197	Boston University	L	69-74	36%
Feb 19, 2022	184	@ Navy	L	66-77	19%
Feb 23, 2022	105	Colgate	L	74-85	19%
Feb 26, 2022	257	Army	L	72-73	47%
Projected Record						9 - 19	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Patriot League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.6	1st
2nd										0.0	0.1	0.5	1.0	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.0				3.5	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.0	1.9	1.4	0.5	0.1	0.0					5.2	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	1.7	3.0	1.5	0.4	0.0							7.0	4th
5th							0.0	0.5	2.6	3.4	1.9	0.3	0.0								8.8	5th
6th						0.0	0.8	3.4	4.4	1.8	0.2	0.0									10.7	6th
7th					0.1	1.2	4.2	4.8	1.7	0.2	0.0										12.2	7th
8th			0.0	0.3	2.2	5.2	4.9	1.8	0.2	0.0											14.5	8th
9th		0.1	1.1	3.6	6.0	4.2	1.4	0.2	0.0												16.5	9th
10th	1.7	4.2	6.0	4.9	2.6	0.7	0.1														20.1	10th

Total	1.7	4.3	7.0	8.8	10.9	11.3	11.4	10.7	9.2	7.4	6.2	4.2	2.9	1.9	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	83.9%	0.2		0.2	0.0
15-3	66.1%	0.4		0.3	0.1	0.0
14-4	41.9%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.0
13-5	15.2%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	3.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.6%	1.6		0.8	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																				0.0			0.0
17-1	0.1%		50.9%	50.9%		13.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
16-2	0.2%		19.5%	19.5%		14.3														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
15-3	0.6%		22.6%	22.6%		14.7													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.5
14-4	1.1%		18.4%	18.4%		14.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.9
13-5	1.9%		12.9%	12.9%		15.4															0.0	0.1	0.1	1.7
12-6	2.9%		9.3%	9.3%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.2	2.7
11-7	4.2%		5.0%	5.0%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.2	4.0
10-8	6.2%		4.1%	4.1%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.2	6.0
9-9	7.4%		2.7%	2.7%		15.9																0.0	0.2	7.2
8-10	9.2%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.1	9.1
7-11	10.7%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																0.0	0.1	10.6
6-12	11.4%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	11.3
5-13	11.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.3
4-14	10.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.9
3-15	8.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	8.8
2-16	7.0%																							7.0
1-17	4.3%																							4.3
0-18	1.7%																							1.7

Total	100%		1.9%	1.9%	0.0%	15.5													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	1.3	98.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.6%