IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
SE Louisiana
Southland
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.9	#325
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.1	#152
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.4	#307

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.5	#324

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.7%	23.7%	10.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.7	15.9

.500 or above	26.7%	62.7%	23.6%
.500 or above in Conference	61.8%	84.1%	59.9%
Conference Champion	13.7%	29.0%	12.4%
Last Place in Conference	9.9%	2.2%	10.6%

First Four	9.6%	15.1%	9.2%
First Round	6.3%	15.4%	5.6%
Second Round	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Tulane (Away) - 7.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 7
Quad 4	10 - 8	10 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	136	@ Tulane	L	63-78	8%
Nov 18, 2021	62	@ SMU	L	64-86	3%
Nov 26, 2021	247	Purdue Fort Wayne	L	74-79	33%
Nov 27, 2021	222	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	71-81	21%
Nov 28, 2021	284	Western Michigan	L	70-73	39%
Dec 05, 2021	243	@ Troy	L	68-76	25%
Dec 11, 2021	317	@ Southern	L	73-77	37%
Dec 14, 2021	27	@ Louisville	L	58-83	2%
Dec 19, 2021	127	@ Iowa St.	L	67-83	10%
Dec 21, 2021	39	@ Iowa	L	65-89	3%
Jan 15, 2022	338	Northwestern St.	W	80-75	66%
Jan 20, 2022	298	@ New Orleans	L	77-83	33%
Jan 22, 2022	230	@ Nicholls St.	L	73-82	23%
Jan 27, 2022	342	TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	76-70	68%
Jan 29, 2022	345	Incarnate Word	W	74-67	70%
Feb 03, 2022	331	@ McNeese St.	L	74-76	44%
Feb 05, 2022	348	@ Houston Baptist	W	82-80	58%
Feb 10, 2022	331	McNeese St.	W	77-73	63%
Feb 12, 2022	348	Houston Baptist	W	85-77	74%
Feb 17, 2022	342	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	73-74	50%
Feb 19, 2022	345	@ Incarnate Word	W	71-70	52%
Feb 24, 2022	298	New Orleans	W	80-79	51%
Feb 26, 2022	230	Nicholls St.	L	76-79	40%
Mar 05, 2022	338	@ Northwestern St.	L	77-78	47%
Projected Record						9 - 15	7 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.5	2.2	4.2	3.9	2.3	0.6		13.7	1st
2nd								0.1	1.5	5.1	6.1	3.2	0.7				16.5	2nd
3rd							0.2	2.4	6.6	5.5	1.6	0.1					16.3	3rd
4th					0.0	0.2	2.8	6.9	4.2	0.7	0.0						14.8	4th
5th				0.0	0.3	3.1	6.0	3.1	0.3	0.0							12.8	5th
6th			0.0	0.5	2.9	5.1	2.3	0.2									11.0	6th
7th		0.1	0.8	3.0	3.7	1.4	0.1										9.0	7th
8th	0.3	1.2	2.0	1.7	0.6	0.0											5.8	8th

Total	0.3	1.3	2.8	5.1	7.4	9.8	11.4	12.6	12.6	11.8	9.9	7.5	4.5	2.3	0.6			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.6		0.6
13-1	100.0%	2.3		2.2	0.2
12-2	85.4%	3.9		2.9	0.9	0.0
11-3	56.4%	4.2		2.2	1.7	0.3	0.0
10-4	22.7%	2.2		0.6	1.0	0.5	0.1
9-5	3.9%	0.5		0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
8-6	0.2%	0.0			0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	13.7%	13.7		8.6	4.0	1.0	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.6%		61.4%	61.4%		15.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2
13-1	2.3%		51.3%	51.3%		15.6														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.1
12-2	4.5%		42.7%	42.7%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.2	1.7	2.6
11-3	7.5%		31.6%	31.6%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	2.2	5.1
10-4	9.9%		23.5%	23.5%		16.0																0.0	2.3	7.6
9-5	11.8%		14.0%	14.0%		16.0																0.0	1.7	10.1
8-6	12.6%		8.2%	8.2%		16.0																	1.0	11.6
7-7	12.6%		3.7%	3.7%		16.0																0.0	0.5	12.2
6-8	11.4%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																	0.2	11.1
5-9	9.8%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	9.8
4-10	7.4%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	7.4
3-11	5.1%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	5.1
2-12	2.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.8
1-13	1.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.3
0-14	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		11.7%	11.7%	0.0%	15.9													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7	10.8	88.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%