Pre-tourney Rankings
Mount St. Mary's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#275
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#269
Pace64.9#270
Improvement-0.1#191

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#321
First Shot-4.3#308
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#261
Layup/Dunks-4.3#332
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#85
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#153
Freethrows-2.2#335
Improvement-0.1#193

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#193
First Shot-0.5#187
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#212
Layups/Dunks-0.3#191
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#246
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#159
Freethrows-0.1#201
Improvement+0.0#180
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 33 - 8
Quad 49 - 1212 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 16   @ West Virginia L 58-76 3%     0 - 1 -1.3 -7.5 +6.0
  Nov 11, 2022 344   @ Coppin St. L 78-83 61%     0 - 2 -13.9 -7.9 -5.5
  Nov 18, 2022 42   @ USC L 74-83 4%     0 - 3 +4.7 +3.2 +2.0
  Nov 20, 2022 278   @ Cal Poly W 73-68 39%     1 - 3 +1.7 +3.4 -1.7
  Nov 22, 2022 178   @ Pacific W 69-65 21%     2 - 3 +6.3 -2.8 +9.2
  Nov 26, 2022 191   @ Navy L 59-75 22%     2 - 4 -14.0 -6.3 -9.3
  Dec 01, 2022 296   @ St. Peter's W 73-58 42%     3 - 4 1 - 0 +10.8 +9.0 +3.7
  Dec 03, 2022 206   Rider L 65-68 45%     3 - 5 1 - 1 -7.8 -4.4 -3.7
  Dec 06, 2022 274   American L 61-69 61%     3 - 6 -17.1 -14.4 -2.9
  Dec 10, 2022 325   Loyola Maryland W 51-34 72%     4 - 6 +4.8 -16.8 +25.4
  Dec 18, 2022 240   Robert Morris L 59-68 53%     4 - 7 -16.0 -10.7 -5.9
  Dec 21, 2022 228   @ Howard L 62-63 28%     4 - 8 -1.1 -10.8 +9.7
  Dec 31, 2022 247   @ Niagara L 55-67 33%     4 - 9 1 - 2 -13.6 -8.6 -7.2
  Jan 02, 2023 249   @ Canisius W 64-60 34%     5 - 9 2 - 2 +2.1 -8.5 +10.7
  Jan 08, 2023 283   @ Marist L 56-63 40%     5 - 10 2 - 3 -10.4 -9.3 -2.1
  Jan 13, 2023 304   Manhattan L 57-62 67%     5 - 11 2 - 4 -15.6 -13.6 -2.5
  Jan 15, 2023 187   Quinnipiac L 51-58 41%     5 - 12 2 - 5 -10.9 -22.2 +11.2
  Jan 20, 2023 205   @ Siena L 57-72 24%     5 - 13 2 - 6 -13.8 -10.0 -4.9
  Jan 22, 2023 283   Marist W 59-55 63%     6 - 13 3 - 6 -5.4 -10.2 +5.2
  Jan 26, 2023 255   Fairfield L 60-63 58%     6 - 14 3 - 7 -11.1 -8.7 -2.8
  Jan 28, 2023 296   St. Peter's L 62-73 65%     6 - 15 3 - 8 -21.1 -4.1 -18.8
  Feb 03, 2023 76   @ Iona L 51-81 7%     6 - 16 3 - 9 -19.4 -16.2 -3.3
  Feb 05, 2023 187   @ Quinnipiac W 79-75 22%     7 - 16 4 - 9 +6.0 +10.0 -3.9
  Feb 10, 2023 205   Siena L 65-72 45%     7 - 17 4 - 10 -11.8 -8.5 -3.4
  Feb 12, 2023 255   @ Fairfield L 72-76 OT 35%     7 - 18 4 - 11 -6.1 -5.5 -0.3
  Feb 17, 2023 247   Niagara W 70-66 56%     8 - 18 5 - 11 -3.6 +2.1 -5.2
  Feb 19, 2023 249   Canisius W 75-74 57%     9 - 18 6 - 11 -6.8 +2.8 -9.5
  Feb 24, 2023 76   Iona L 68-80 16%     9 - 19 6 - 12 -7.3 -0.8 -6.8
  Feb 26, 2023 206   @ Rider W 63-58 24%     10 - 19 7 - 12 +6.1 -3.6 +10.3
  Mar 04, 2023 304   @ Manhattan W 74-69 44%     11 - 19 8 - 12 +0.4 +4.6 -3.9
  Mar 07, 2023 249   Canisius W 67-66 OT 45%     12 - 19 -3.8 -11.0 +7.2
  Mar 08, 2023 76   Iona L 54-74 10%     12 - 20 -12.3 -10.0 -4.1
Projected Record 12 - 20 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%