Pre-tourney Rankings
Colgate
Patriot League
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.2#116
Expected Predictive Rating+2.8#128
Pace68.9#157
Improvement+1.3#71

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#54
First Shot+6.7#19
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#301
Layup/Dunks+6.0#9
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#182
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#77
Freethrows-1.8#317
Improvement-0.2#207

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#232
First Shot-2.1#246
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#153
Layups/Dunks+0.8#146
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#361
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#236
Freethrows+2.9#12
Improvement+1.6#34
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round9.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 01 - 1
Quad 32 - 53 - 6
Quad 422 - 225 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 212   @ Buffalo L 87-88 59%     0 - 1 +0.0 -0.6 +0.7
  Nov 10, 2022 192   @ Brown W 77-68 55%     1 - 1 +10.9 +7.2 +3.6
  Nov 15, 2022 103   @ Syracuse W 80-68 34%     2 - 1 +19.5 +12.3 +7.6
  Nov 18, 2022 121   Duquesne L 80-85 52%     2 - 2 -2.1 +4.8 -6.7
  Nov 21, 2022 343   Monmouth W 85-66 94%     3 - 2 +4.4 +11.5 -6.2
  Nov 25, 2022 235   Delaware L 68-72 75%     3 - 3 -7.7 -6.8 -0.9
  Nov 26, 2022 139   @ Penn L 69-81 44%     3 - 4 -7.3 -2.9 -4.5
  Nov 27, 2022 362   Hartford W 92-58 97%     4 - 4 +14.7 +21.0 -2.3
  Dec 02, 2022 29   @ Auburn L 66-93 13%     4 - 5 -11.8 +3.3 -15.7
  Dec 07, 2022 308   @ Binghamton W 81-62 78%     5 - 5 +14.0 +14.5 +1.5
  Dec 10, 2022 120   Vermont L 72-73 62%     5 - 6 -1.0 +4.9 -6.0
  Dec 22, 2022 145   Cornell L 80-91 68%     5 - 7 -12.6 +1.3 -13.7
  Dec 30, 2022 325   @ Loyola Maryland W 101-67 81%     6 - 7 1 - 0 +27.8 +28.1 +0.8
  Jan 02, 2023 279   @ Lehigh W 76-60 74%     7 - 7 2 - 0 +12.6 +6.0 +7.2
  Jan 05, 2023 191   Navy W 87-73 76%     8 - 7 3 - 0 +10.0 +14.3 -4.1
  Jan 09, 2023 251   @ Army W 77-75 69%     9 - 7 4 - 0 +0.1 +3.8 -3.7
  Jan 11, 2023 264   Boston University W 77-71 86%     10 - 7 5 - 0 -2.6 -0.7 -2.1
  Jan 14, 2023 300   Bucknell W 71-65 89%     11 - 7 6 - 0 -4.4 -3.6 -0.5
  Jan 18, 2023 340   @ Holy Cross W 77-71 86%     12 - 7 7 - 0 -2.3 +4.6 -6.7
  Jan 21, 2023 274   American W 62-61 87%     13 - 7 8 - 0 -8.1 -3.3 -4.6
  Jan 23, 2023 264   @ Boston University W 64-51 71%     14 - 7 9 - 0 +10.4 -3.1 +14.6
  Jan 28, 2023 269   Lafayette W 69-57 87%     15 - 7 10 - 0 +3.3 +4.0 +0.8
  Jan 30, 2023 325   Loyola Maryland W 76-63 92%     16 - 7 11 - 0 +0.8 +4.8 -2.6
  Feb 04, 2023 274   @ American L 60-61 73%     16 - 8 11 - 1 -4.1 -9.3 +5.1
  Feb 08, 2023 279   Lehigh W 81-53 88%     17 - 8 12 - 1 +18.7 +7.3 +12.1
  Feb 11, 2023 300   @ Bucknell W 76-56 77%     18 - 8 13 - 1 +15.6 +1.0 +14.5
  Feb 15, 2023 251   Army W 93-86 85%     19 - 8 14 - 1 -0.9 +12.3 -13.5
  Feb 18, 2023 340   Holy Cross W 96-73 94%     20 - 8 15 - 1 +8.7 +11.8 -4.6
  Feb 22, 2023 269   @ Lafayette W 73-69 72%     21 - 8 16 - 1 +1.2 +11.7 -10.0
  Feb 25, 2023 191   @ Navy W 64-60 55%     22 - 8 17 - 1 +6.0 +2.6 +4.0
  Mar 02, 2023 325   Loyola Maryland W 92-73 92%     23 - 8 +6.8 +12.8 -6.0
  Mar 05, 2023 251   Army W 91-74 85%     24 - 8 +9.1 +9.3 -1.0
  Mar 08, 2023 269   Lafayette W 79-61 87%     25 - 8 +9.3 +7.7 +2.1
  Mar 16, 2023 5   Texas L 68-82 10%    
Projected Record 25 - 9 17 - 1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.7 0.0 3.6 21.7 72.5 2.2
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 3.6 21.7 72.5 2.2