IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Pre-tourney Rankings
Idaho
Big Sky
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.7	#305
Expected Predictive Rating	-8.6	#314

Pace	65.6	#247
Improvement	-1.6	#310

Offense
Total Offense	-1.8	#236

First Shot	+0.7	#161
After Offensive Rebound	-2.4	#340

Layup/Dunks	-0.2	#195
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.2	#100
3 Pt Jumpshots	-1.4	#245
Freethrows	+1.1	#87

Improvement	-1.9	#339

Defense
Total Defense	-5.9	#337

First Shot	-5.7	#342
After Offensive Rebounds	-0.2	#194

Layups/Dunks	-4.3	#338
2 Pt Jumpshots	-1.4	#304
3 Pt Jumpshots	+0.1	#176
Freethrows	-0.1	#194

Improvement	+0.3	#147

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	n/a	n/a
#1 Seed	0.0%	n/a	n/a
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	n/a	n/a
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	n/a	n/a
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	n/a	n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	n/a	n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	n/a	n/a
Average Seed	n/a	n/a	n/a

.500 or above	0.0%	n/a	n/a
.500 or above in Conference	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	100.0%	100.0%	100.0%

First Four	0.0%	n/a	n/a
First Round	0.0%	n/a	n/a
Second Round	0.0%	n/a	n/a
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	n/a	n/a
Elite Eight	0.0%	n/a	n/a
Final Four	0.0%	n/a	n/a
Championship Game	0.0%	n/a	n/a
National Champion	0.0%	n/a	n/a

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 3	4 - 7	4 - 9
Quad 4	4 - 13	8 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf	Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	306	@ Denver	L	63-68	39%	0 - 1		-9.8	-14.1	+4.5
Nov 13, 2022	318	@ Nebraska Omaha	L	72-79	43%	0 - 2		-12.8	-3.1	-9.9
Nov 16, 2022	287	Cal St. Bakersfield	L	43-52	57%	0 - 3		-18.5	-23.0	+2.7
Nov 19, 2022	158	Utah Tech	L	71-81	31%	0 - 4		-12.7	-0.3	-12.9
Nov 23, 2022	278	@ Cal Poly	L	71-82	34%	0 - 5		-14.3	+11.0	-27.0
Nov 25, 2022	178	@ Pacific	W	84-81	17%	1 - 5		+5.3	+11.3	-6.0
Dec 02, 2022	248	Northern Illinois	W	84-47	50%	2 - 5		+29.4	+7.0	+22.0
Dec 06, 2022	276	North Dakota	W	76-66	56%	3 - 5		+0.8	-0.7	+1.8
Dec 11, 2022	146	UC Riverside	L	74-76	28%	3 - 6		-3.6	+5.1	-8.8
Dec 19, 2022	321	@ Cal St. Northridge	W	76-73	44%	4 - 6		-3.1	+9.9	-12.6
Dec 21, 2022	162	@ Long Beach St.	L	75-82	16%	4 - 7		-3.9	-0.3	-3.1
Dec 29, 2022	117	@ Montana St.	L	58-72	11%	4 - 8	0 - 1	-8.0	-5.4	-3.7
Dec 31, 2022	168	@ Montana	L	56-67	16%	4 - 9	0 - 2	-8.2	-11.0	+1.5
Jan 05, 2023	231	Sacramento St.	L	83-85 OT	45%	4 - 10	0 - 3	-8.4	+1.1	-9.4
Jan 07, 2023	245	Portland St.	L	58-74	49%	4 - 11	0 - 4	-23.5	-14.1	-10.7
Jan 14, 2023	138	@ Eastern Washington	L	74-95	13%	4 - 12	0 - 5	-16.3	-0.4	-15.5
Jan 16, 2023	117	Montana St.	W	74-70	23%	5 - 12	1 - 5	+4.1	-0.4	+4.3
Jan 19, 2023	224	@ Northern Arizona	W	88-83	23%	6 - 12	2 - 5	+5.0	+14.3	-9.2
Jan 21, 2023	227	@ Northern Colorado	L	67-73	23%	6 - 13	2 - 6	-6.1	-6.0	-0.4
Jan 26, 2023	198	Weber St.	L	65-73	38%	6 - 14	2 - 7	-12.4	-6.6	-5.9
Jan 28, 2023	257	Idaho St.	L	91-95 OT	52%	6 - 15	2 - 8	-12.2	+9.2	-21.2
Feb 02, 2023	245	@ Portland St.	L	66-69	28%	6 - 16	2 - 9	-4.6	-10.1	+5.6
Feb 04, 2023	231	@ Sacramento St.	W	82-76 OT	24%	7 - 16	3 - 9	+5.5	+16.4	-10.3
Feb 11, 2023	138	Eastern Washington	L	66-73	27%	7 - 17	3 - 10	-8.2	-8.3	-0.1
Feb 16, 2023	227	Northern Colorado	W	84-82	44%	8 - 17	4 - 10	-4.1	+7.0	-11.0
Feb 18, 2023	224	Northern Arizona	L	50-72	43%	8 - 18	4 - 11	-28.0	-21.3	-10.0
Feb 23, 2023	257	@ Idaho St.	L	55-65	30%	8 - 19	4 - 12	-12.3	-5.6	-9.1
Feb 25, 2023	198	@ Weber St.	L	53-67	19%	8 - 20	4 - 13	-12.5	-12.4	-1.2
Feb 27, 2023	168	Montana	L	53-68	33%	8 - 21	4 - 14	-18.1	-17.0	-3.0

Mar 04, 2023	224	Northern Arizona	L	76-87	32%	8 - 22		-14.0	-5.2	-8.2
Projected Record						8 - 22	4 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Sky Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0	Total
1st																					1st
2nd																					2nd
3rd																					3rd
4th																					4th
5th																					5th
6th																					6th
7th																					7th
8th																					8th
9th																					9th
10th					100.0															100.0	10th

Total					100.0																Total

Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9

Total

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance	Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid	At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14	100.0%																					100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18

Total	100%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0																	100.0	0.0%