Pre-tourney Rankings
Miami (FL)
Atlantic Coast
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.3#37
Expected Predictive Rating+13.7#21
Pace70.8#111
Improvement-0.2#199

Offense
Total Offense+9.6#11
First Shot+8.6#7
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#96
Layup/Dunks+5.6#15
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#126
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#160
Freethrows+1.7#56
Improvement+0.0#176

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#116
First Shot+3.3#74
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#334
Layups/Dunks-1.5#248
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#162
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#120
Freethrows+3.2#7
Improvement-0.2#216
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 17.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 98.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 98.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round98.7% n/a n/a
Second Round49.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen15.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight6.2% n/a n/a
Final Four2.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.6% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b5 - 35 - 5
Quad 26 - 011 - 5
Quad 37 - 118 - 6
Quad 47 - 125 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 269   Lafayette W 67-54 96%     1 - 0 +4.3 +1.1 +4.7
  Nov 11, 2022 119   UNC Greensboro W 79-65 85%     2 - 0 +14.0 +13.3 +1.5
  Nov 15, 2022 357   Florida A&M W 87-61 99%     3 - 0 +8.5 +8.1 +0.1
  Nov 19, 2022 36   Providence W 74-64 50%     4 - 0 +21.3 +6.3 +15.3
  Nov 20, 2022 25   Maryland L 70-88 45%     4 - 1 -5.3 +5.5 -11.2
  Nov 23, 2022 355   St. Francis Brooklyn W 79-56 99%     5 - 1 +6.4 +2.0 +4.7
  Nov 27, 2022 63   @ Central Florida W 66-64 49%     6 - 1 +13.6 +8.7 +5.2
  Nov 30, 2022 35   Rutgers W 68-61 61%     7 - 1 +15.4 +10.2 +5.8
  Dec 04, 2022 261   @ Louisville W 80-53 89%     8 - 1 1 - 0 +24.7 +0.6 +22.4
  Dec 07, 2022 145   Cornell W 107-105 88%     9 - 1 +0.4 +16.8 -16.6
  Dec 10, 2022 45   North Carolina St. W 80-73 65%     10 - 1 2 - 0 +14.5 +10.2 +4.3
  Dec 17, 2022 332   St. Francis (PA) W 91-76 98%     11 - 1 +1.5 +10.1 -8.5
  Dec 20, 2022 32   Virginia W 66-64 60%     12 - 1 3 - 0 +10.8 +2.2 +8.7
  Dec 30, 2022 149   @ Notre Dame W 76-65 75%     13 - 1 4 - 0 +15.2 +5.7 +10.0
  Jan 04, 2023 143   @ Georgia Tech L 70-76 74%     13 - 2 4 - 1 -1.5 -0.9 -0.5
  Jan 11, 2023 154   Boston College W 88-72 89%     14 - 2 5 - 1 +13.9 +21.7 -6.8
  Jan 14, 2023 45   @ North Carolina St. L 81-83 OT 42%     14 - 3 5 - 2 +11.4 +9.1 +2.4
  Jan 16, 2023 103   Syracuse W 82-78 82%     15 - 3 6 - 2 +5.5 +10.2 -4.6
  Jan 21, 2023 19   @ Duke L 66-68 32%     15 - 4 6 - 3 +14.1 +9.3 +4.6
  Jan 24, 2023 179   @ Florida St. W 86-63 80%     16 - 4 7 - 3 +25.3 +12.2 +12.8
  Jan 28, 2023 67   @ Pittsburgh L 68-71 50%     16 - 5 7 - 4 +8.4 -1.5 +9.8
  Jan 31, 2023 74   Virginia Tech W 92-83 74%     17 - 5 8 - 4 +13.7 +16.4 -2.9
  Feb 04, 2023 50   @ Clemson W 78-74 45%     18 - 5 9 - 4 +16.6 +11.4 +5.2
  Feb 06, 2023 19   Duke W 81-59 54%     19 - 5 10 - 4 +32.2 +15.7 +16.9
  Feb 11, 2023 261   Louisville W 93-85 96%     20 - 5 11 - 4 -0.3 +20.3 -20.1
  Feb 13, 2023 39   @ North Carolina W 80-72 40%     21 - 5 12 - 4 +22.0 +10.9 +10.8
  Feb 18, 2023 84   Wake Forest W 96-87 76%     22 - 5 13 - 4 +12.9 +16.0 -3.8
  Feb 21, 2023 74   @ Virginia Tech W 76-70 52%     23 - 5 14 - 4 +16.7 +7.2 +9.6
  Feb 25, 2023 179   Florida St. L 84-85 91%     23 - 6 14 - 5 -4.6 +3.0 -7.6
  Mar 04, 2023 67   Pittsburgh W 78-76 71%     24 - 6 15 - 5 +7.4 +6.7 +0.8
  Mar 09, 2023 84   Wake Forest W 74-72 67%     25 - 6 +8.9 +4.4 +4.5
  Mar 10, 2023 19   Duke L 78-85 43%     25 - 7 +6.2 +16.7 -10.9
  Mar 17, 2023 73   Drake W 75-72 63%    
Projected Record 26 - 7 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 98.7% 98.7% 7.4 0.0 0.1 2.7 14.2 36.9 32.6 11.1 1.1 0.0 1.3 98.7%
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 98.7% 0.0% 98.7% 7.4 0.0 0.1 2.7 14.2 36.9 32.6 11.1 1.1 0.0 1.3 98.7%