Pre-tourney Rankings
Northwestern St.
Southland
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#225
Expected Predictive Rating-0.8#180
Pace66.4#218
Improvement-1.0#267

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#167
First Shot-2.2#255
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#29
Layup/Dunks-3.3#310
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#20
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#171
Freethrows-2.6#346
Improvement-0.5#240

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#274
First Shot-2.5#262
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#264
Layups/Dunks-1.9#259
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#143
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#101
Freethrows-2.8#343
Improvement-0.4#240
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 21 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 3
Quad 20 - 01 - 3
Quad 32 - 33 - 6
Quad 418 - 521 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 48   @ Texas Tech L 49-73 8%     0 - 1 -11.2 -14.8 +2.3
  Nov 12, 2022 267   Illinois St. L 67-69 71%     0 - 2 -10.7 +1.3 -12.4
  Nov 14, 2022 21   @ TCU W 64-63 5%     1 - 2 +17.1 +2.8 +14.3
  Nov 17, 2022 267   @ Illinois St. W 70-67 49%     2 - 2 +0.2 +0.7 -0.2
  Nov 26, 2022 336   @ Central Arkansas W 74-66 OT 68%     3 - 2 +0.0 -10.5 +9.7
  Nov 27, 2022 352   Bethune-Cookman W 69-66 83%     4 - 2 -10.0 -5.9 -3.9
  Dec 01, 2022 144   @ Stephen F. Austin W 102-96 24%     5 - 2 +10.4 +24.5 -14.6
  Dec 04, 2022 107   Southern Miss W 84-82 34%     6 - 2 +3.1 +5.9 -2.9
  Dec 10, 2022 282   Louisiana Monroe W 91-73 73%     7 - 2 +8.6 +15.5 -6.8
  Dec 17, 2022 216   @ Rice L 73-110 35%     7 - 3 -36.2 -15.6 -13.9
  Dec 20, 2022 14   @ Baylor L 48-58 4%     7 - 4 +7.4 -13.6 +19.4
  Dec 27, 2022 27   @ Texas A&M L 52-64 5%     7 - 5 +3.5 -3.6 +4.8
  Dec 31, 2022 193   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 59-65 54%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -10.1 -14.4 +3.9
  Jan 05, 2023 338   @ McNeese St. L 77-92 69%     7 - 7 0 - 2 -23.2 +0.0 -23.5
  Jan 07, 2023 271   Nicholls St. W 68-48 71%     8 - 7 1 - 2 +11.2 -2.0 +15.1
  Jan 12, 2023 338   McNeese St. W 89-75 85%     9 - 7 2 - 2 -0.1 +1.4 -2.6
  Jan 14, 2023 271   @ Nicholls St. L 63-77 49%     9 - 8 2 - 3 -16.8 -9.7 -7.3
  Jan 19, 2023 266   @ SE Louisiana W 91-81 OT 49%     10 - 8 3 - 3 +7.3 +11.5 -4.7
  Jan 21, 2023 337   @ New Orleans W 88-65 69%     11 - 8 4 - 3 +14.9 +13.0 +2.6
  Jan 26, 2023 354   Houston Christian W 82-63 89%     12 - 8 5 - 3 +2.6 -3.6 +6.1
  Jan 28, 2023 356   Lamar W 80-65 90%     13 - 8 6 - 3 -2.3 +5.4 -6.5
  Feb 02, 2023 354   @ Houston Christian W 94-76 76%     14 - 8 7 - 3 +7.5 +4.9 +1.3
  Feb 04, 2023 356   @ Lamar W 72-68 79%     15 - 8 8 - 3 -7.4 -1.8 -5.3
  Feb 09, 2023 314   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 88-82 59%     16 - 8 9 - 3 +0.5 +12.0 -11.5
  Feb 11, 2023 314   Texas A&M - Commerce W 72-64 79%     17 - 8 10 - 3 -3.5 +0.3 -2.9
  Feb 16, 2023 266   SE Louisiana W 81-76 71%     18 - 8 11 - 3 -3.7 +4.2 -7.7
  Feb 18, 2023 337   New Orleans L 65-68 85%     18 - 9 11 - 4 -17.0 -12.5 -4.6
  Feb 23, 2023 342   @ Incarnate Word W 71-66 70%     19 - 9 12 - 4 -3.6 -0.8 -2.5
  Feb 25, 2023 193   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 75-83 32%     19 - 10 12 - 5 -6.2 -0.5 -5.4
  Mar 01, 2023 342   Incarnate Word W 81-64 86%     20 - 10 13 - 5 +2.5 -1.9 +3.7
  Mar 07, 2023 337   New Orleans W 74-70 78%     21 - 10 -7.1 -3.6 -3.3
  Mar 08, 2023 193   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 71-75 43%     21 - 11 -5.2 +3.0 -8.6
Projected Record 21 - 11 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%