Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas St.
Sun Belt
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#197
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#190
Pace61.0#339
Improvement+1.4#69

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#187
First Shot-2.2#252
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#60
Layup/Dunks+2.4#82
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#21
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.7#356
Freethrows-0.2#191
Improvement+2.0#30

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#200
First Shot-0.7#196
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#193
Layups/Dunks+1.2#127
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#161
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#166
Freethrows-2.5#336
Improvement-0.5#250
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 23 - 53 - 6
Quad 32 - 85 - 14
Quad 49 - 414 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 62   @ Washington St. L 61-83 12%     0 - 1 -10.4 -1.2 -10.9
  Nov 12, 2022 239   @ Rhode Island W 70-66 48%     1 - 1 +3.1 -2.0 +5.0
  Nov 17, 2022 293   @ Texas San Antonio L 56-61 60%     1 - 2 -8.9 -16.6 +7.4
  Nov 21, 2022 243   @ California W 59-55 50%     2 - 2 +2.6 -1.4 +4.8
  Nov 25, 2022 115   Southern Utah W 78-65 32%     3 - 2 +16.5 +4.3 +12.0
  Nov 26, 2022 130   Hawaii L 65-72 37%     3 - 3 -4.9 +5.4 -11.3
  Dec 01, 2022 356   @ Lamar W 65-55 83%     4 - 3 -1.4 -4.5 +4.5
  Dec 04, 2022 216   Rice L 71-83 64%     4 - 4 -17.1 -7.3 -9.8
  Dec 10, 2022 242   Texas Arlington W 71-65 61%     5 - 4 +1.9 +4.6 -2.2
  Dec 17, 2022 81   Sam Houston St. L 62-69 29%     5 - 5 -2.7 +0.5 -3.9
  Dec 29, 2022 282   Louisiana Monroe L 53-57 78%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -13.4 -16.9 +3.0
  Dec 31, 2022 135   Troy L 52-55 49%     5 - 7 0 - 2 -4.0 -17.5 +13.4
  Jan 05, 2023 98   @ James Madison W 63-62 19%     6 - 7 1 - 2 +8.8 -0.8 +9.6
  Jan 07, 2023 110   @ South Alabama W 64-58 21%     7 - 7 2 - 2 +13.0 +2.6 +11.1
  Jan 12, 2023 284   @ Arkansas St. W 61-58 58%     8 - 7 3 - 2 -0.5 -8.1 +7.9
  Jan 14, 2023 282   @ Louisiana Monroe L 58-61 58%     8 - 8 3 - 3 -6.4 -7.3 +0.4
  Jan 19, 2023 83   Marshall L 73-81 31%     8 - 9 3 - 4 -4.1 +4.8 -9.2
  Jan 21, 2023 101   Louisiana L 51-60 38%     8 - 10 3 - 5 -7.2 -15.2 +6.7
  Jan 26, 2023 211   Georgia Southern W 70-67 64%     9 - 10 4 - 5 -2.0 +2.8 -4.5
  Jan 28, 2023 107   @ Southern Miss L 58-67 21%     9 - 11 4 - 6 -1.9 -4.7 +1.9
  Feb 02, 2023 101   @ Louisiana L 63-82 20%     9 - 12 4 - 7 -11.3 -2.0 -11.1
  Feb 04, 2023 135   @ Troy L 64-68 27%     9 - 13 4 - 8 +1.0 +2.1 -1.6
  Feb 09, 2023 284   Arkansas St. W 66-62 78%     10 - 13 5 - 8 -5.4 -2.5 -2.3
  Feb 11, 2023 167   Old Dominion L 68-70 57%     10 - 14 5 - 9 -5.1 +3.7 -9.0
  Feb 16, 2023 180   @ Appalachian St. L 75-82 36%     10 - 15 5 - 10 -4.7 +9.2 -14.2
  Feb 18, 2023 290   @ Coastal Carolina W 78-75 59%     11 - 15 6 - 10 -0.8 +9.7 -10.1
  Feb 22, 2023 110   South Alabama L 67-76 41%     11 - 16 6 - 11 -7.9 +3.9 -13.0
  Feb 24, 2023 107   Southern Miss L 69-79 41%     11 - 17 6 - 12 -8.9 +0.0 -9.3
  Feb 28, 2023 268   Georgia St. W 81-76 66%     12 - 17 -0.7 +12.4 -12.8
  Mar 02, 2023 167   Old Dominion W 65-36 45%     13 - 17 +28.9 +4.2 +29.6
  Mar 04, 2023 83   Marshall W 71-68 22%     14 - 17 +9.9 +11.5 -1.2
  Mar 05, 2023 101   Louisiana L 58-64 28%     14 - 18 -1.3 -7.4 +5.4
Projected Record 14 - 18 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%