Pre-tourney Rankings
Samford
Southern
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.4#90
Expected Predictive Rating+8.9#67
Pace79.7#9
Improvement+0.0#181

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#74
First Shot+3.9#72
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#136
Layup/Dunks-0.8#202
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#206
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.7#19
Freethrows-1.3#270
Improvement-1.4#261

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#120
First Shot+3.0#79
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#273
Layups/Dunks+2.8#81
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#207
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#147
Freethrows-0.7#232
Improvement+1.4#105
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round20.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.6% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 02 - 2
Quad 310 - 312 - 5
Quad 415 - 027 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 4   @ Purdue L 45-98 7%     0 - 1 -30.2 -22.7 -3.6
  Nov 10, 2023 81   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 65-75 38%     0 - 2 -0.6 -3.5 +3.2
  Nov 17, 2023 304   South Carolina St. W 89-72 93%     1 - 2 +6.4 +3.5 +1.3
  Nov 22, 2023 323   Alabama St. W 99-67 95%     2 - 2 +19.4 +17.3 -0.3
  Nov 24, 2023 237   Merrimack W 79-71 88%     3 - 2 +1.6 +8.0 -6.4
  Nov 25, 2023 347   N.C. A&T W 101-83 97%     4 - 2 +2.0 +9.2 -9.3
  Nov 30, 2023 153   Louisiana W 88-65 78%     5 - 2 +21.1 +10.7 +9.2
  Dec 11, 2023 328   Alabama A&M W 118-91 96%     6 - 2 +13.2 +9.9 -4.1
  Dec 16, 2023 114   Belmont W 99-93 70%     7 - 2 +6.9 +15.9 -9.6
  Dec 19, 2023 299   @ Valparaiso W 79-61 86%     8 - 2 +12.9 +8.1 +5.8
  Dec 21, 2023 281   @ Texas Southern W 87-65 82%     9 - 2 +18.5 +4.8 +11.2
  Jan 03, 2024 147   Chattanooga W 89-74 77%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +13.6 +9.8 +3.3
  Jan 06, 2024 267   @ The Citadel W 80-64 81%     11 - 2 2 - 0 +13.1 +8.6 +5.1
  Jan 11, 2024 154   UNC Greensboro W 79-70 79%     12 - 2 3 - 0 +7.1 +3.8 +3.3
  Jan 13, 2024 359   VMI W 134-96 98%     13 - 2 4 - 0 +18.6 +20.4 -11.7
  Jan 16, 2024 121   @ Western Carolina W 75-71 53%     14 - 2 5 - 0 +9.7 +5.9 +3.8
  Jan 20, 2024 211   Mercer W 87-80 86%     15 - 2 6 - 0 +1.8 +4.8 -3.5
  Jan 24, 2024 144   @ Furman L 68-78 59%     15 - 3 6 - 1 -6.0 -8.4 +2.9
  Jan 27, 2024 186   @ East Tennessee St. W 75-72 68%     16 - 3 7 - 1 +4.5 +9.0 -4.3
  Jan 31, 2024 199   Wofford W 81-79 85%     17 - 3 8 - 1 -2.7 +9.4 -12.0
  Feb 03, 2024 147   @ Chattanooga W 78-56 60%     18 - 3 9 - 1 +25.8 +7.7 +19.0
  Feb 08, 2024 154   @ UNC Greensboro W 78-69 62%     19 - 3 10 - 1 +12.3 +5.9 +6.4
  Feb 10, 2024 359   @ VMI W 102-63 96%     20 - 3 11 - 1 +24.8 +13.8 +6.4
  Feb 14, 2024 121   Western Carolina W 88-62 72%     21 - 3 12 - 1 +26.5 +16.3 +10.5
  Feb 17, 2024 211   @ Mercer L 84-88 73%     21 - 4 12 - 2 -4.0 +5.5 -9.3
  Feb 21, 2024 144   Furman W 74-72 77%     22 - 4 13 - 2 +0.8 -1.1 +1.9
  Feb 24, 2024 186   East Tennessee St. W 87-71 83%     23 - 4 14 - 2 +12.3 +10.8 +1.0
  Feb 28, 2024 199   @ Wofford L 69-91 72%     23 - 5 14 - 3 -21.5 -5.6 -15.8
  Mar 02, 2024 267   The Citadel W 92-80 91%     24 - 5 15 - 3 +3.9 +10.3 -7.0
  Mar 09, 2024 211   Mercer W 70-57 80%     25 - 5 +10.4 +3.3 +8.5
  Mar 10, 2024 144   Furman W 84-77 69%     26 - 5 +8.4 +4.4 +3.5
  Mar 11, 2024 186   East Tennessee St. W 76-69 76%     27 - 5 +5.9 -2.7 +8.0
  Mar 21, 2024 20   Kansas L 76-83 24%    
Projected Record 27 - 6 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.6 0.4 40.6 56.3 2.6
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.6 0.4 40.6 56.3 2.6