Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas St.
Sun Belt
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.1#187
Expected Predictive Rating-0.9#178
Pace66.2#249
Improvement+4.6#24

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#265
First Shot-4.7#301
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#102
Layup/Dunks+2.5#87
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#75
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.3#351
Freethrows-0.9#237
Improvement+3.9#27

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#108
First Shot+2.8#87
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#226
Layups/Dunks-0.7#207
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#199
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#7
Freethrows-2.3#315
Improvement+0.7#140
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 22 - 12 - 6
Quad 35 - 77 - 13
Quad 48 - 515 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 193   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 66-71 42%     0 - 1 -4.1 -11.0 +7.2
  Nov 11, 2023 256   @ Miami (OH) W 75-65 55%     1 - 1 +7.6 +3.4 +4.2
  Nov 14, 2023 37   @ Oklahoma L 54-93 9%     1 - 2 -24.9 -12.1 -12.6
  Nov 17, 2023 241   Texas San Antonio W 72-62 70%     2 - 2 +3.4 -5.1 +8.7
  Nov 21, 2023 75   McNeese St. L 48-59 21%     2 - 3 -3.7 -11.3 +5.2
  Nov 22, 2023 246   Southern Utah L 67-74 62%     2 - 4 -11.2 -6.9 -4.6
  Nov 25, 2023 112   @ Texas Arlington W 73-66 24%     3 - 4 +13.2 +2.1 +11.0
  Nov 30, 2023 23   @ Texas L 58-77 7%     3 - 5 -3.2 -7.2 +3.3
  Dec 15, 2023 138   @ Sam Houston St. W 73-60 30%     4 - 5 +17.4 +4.7 +12.9
  Dec 21, 2023 2   @ Houston L 37-72 2%     4 - 6 -11.4 -21.8 +9.8
  Dec 30, 2023 64   @ James Madison L 65-82 12%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -5.6 +1.3 -8.1
  Jan 04, 2024 307   Coastal Carolina L 63-71 82%     4 - 8 0 - 2 -18.9 -14.7 -4.3
  Jan 06, 2024 236   Marshall L 75-79 69%     4 - 9 0 - 3 -10.3 +0.5 -10.9
  Jan 11, 2024 133   @ Arkansas St. L 82-85 28%     4 - 10 0 - 4 +1.9 +11.1 -9.3
  Jan 13, 2024 291   @ Louisiana Monroe W 67-54 63%     5 - 10 1 - 4 +8.6 +2.9 +7.7
  Jan 17, 2024 153   Louisiana L 68-86 53%     5 - 11 1 - 5 -19.9 -10.0 -8.6
  Jan 20, 2024 133   Arkansas St. L 72-79 47%     5 - 12 1 - 6 -7.3 -3.4 -4.1
  Jan 24, 2024 131   @ Troy L 65-78 28%     5 - 13 1 - 7 -7.9 -4.2 -3.8
  Jan 28, 2024 153   @ Louisiana L 46-66 33%     5 - 14 1 - 8 -16.7 -23.1 +5.9
  Feb 01, 2024 220   South Alabama W 74-66 67%     6 - 14 2 - 8 +2.4 -2.0 +4.4
  Feb 03, 2024 230   Southern Miss W 60-55 68%     7 - 14 3 - 8 -1.1 -10.2 +9.5
  Feb 07, 2024 86   Appalachian St. W 63-56 31%     8 - 14 4 - 8 +11.1 -1.8 +13.3
  Feb 10, 2024 263   Ball St. W 68-60 74%     9 - 14 +0.2 -3.5 +4.3
  Feb 15, 2024 220   @ South Alabama L 55-72 47%     9 - 15 4 - 9 -17.4 -12.8 -6.3
  Feb 17, 2024 230   @ Southern Miss L 74-78 49%     9 - 16 4 - 10 -4.9 +4.8 -9.8
  Feb 22, 2024 259   @ Georgia Southern L 76-84 55%     9 - 17 4 - 11 -10.5 -4.0 -6.1
  Feb 24, 2024 216   @ Georgia St. W 68-59 47%     10 - 17 5 - 11 +8.7 -5.3 +14.1
  Feb 27, 2024 291   Louisiana Monroe W 73-55 79%     11 - 17 6 - 11 +8.4 +4.5 +6.0
  Mar 01, 2024 131   Troy W 82-79 OT 46%     12 - 17 7 - 11 +2.9 +1.3 +1.3
  Mar 05, 2024 289   Old Dominion W 92-83 OT 71%     13 - 17 +2.3 +7.0 -5.7
  Mar 07, 2024 230   Southern Miss W 75-59 59%     14 - 17 +12.5 +3.2 +9.6
  Mar 09, 2024 131   Troy W 74-68 36%     15 - 17 +8.5 +4.1 +4.5
  Mar 10, 2024 64   James Madison L 68-73 18%     15 - 18 +3.8 +1.7 +1.8
Projected Record 15 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%