Pre-tourney Rankings
VMI
Southern
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-16.8#359
Expected Predictive Rating-20.4#359
Pace85.0#2
Improvement-4.1#324

Offense
Total Offense-12.2#360
First Shot-10.6#359
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#276
Layup/Dunks-0.9#205
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#179
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#323
Freethrows-4.7#360
Improvement-2.5#306

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#316
First Shot-3.4#292
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#284
Layups/Dunks-4.5#324
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#110
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#124
Freethrows-1.4#275
Improvement-1.6#259
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 30 - 120 - 18
Quad 41 - 101 - 28


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 88   @ Richmond L 75-93 2%     0 - 1 -8.9 +3.4 -10.9
  Nov 13, 2023 51   @ South Carolina L 64-74 1%     0 - 2 +2.8 -4.2 +7.2
  Nov 17, 2023 322   South Dakota L 81-85 24%     0 - 3 -13.5 -9.8 -3.2
  Nov 18, 2023 311   Northern Arizona L 69-78 22%     0 - 4 -17.5 -10.1 -7.1
  Nov 22, 2023 244   @ Air Force L 54-64 8%     0 - 5 -11.5 -17.2 +4.8
  Nov 29, 2023 319   @ Navy L 47-67 17%     0 - 6 -26.7 -30.0 +4.3
  Dec 02, 2023 273   Presbyterian L 71-75 21%     0 - 7 -12.4 -7.5 -4.8
  Dec 09, 2023 287   American L 69-77 24%     0 - 8 -17.2 -3.4 -14.6
  Dec 12, 2023 238   @ Radford L 56-73 8%     0 - 9 -18.2 -12.9 -7.4
  Dec 17, 2023 163   @ Longwood L 49-68 5%     0 - 10 -16.3 -24.3 +8.8
  Jan 03, 2024 199   @ Wofford L 85-87 OT 6%     0 - 11 0 - 1 -1.5 -2.3 +1.1
  Jan 06, 2024 211   Mercer L 64-86 14%     0 - 12 0 - 2 -27.2 -19.8 -4.7
  Jan 11, 2024 147   @ Chattanooga L 61-109 4%     0 - 13 0 - 3 -44.2 -16.6 -24.1
  Jan 13, 2024 90   @ Samford L 96-134 2%     0 - 14 0 - 4 -29.0 +1.4 -20.5
  Jan 17, 2024 144   Furman L 60-100 8%     0 - 15 0 - 5 -41.2 -19.8 -18.4
  Jan 20, 2024 267   The Citadel W 70-63 21%     1 - 15 1 - 5 -1.1 -9.3 +8.0
  Jan 24, 2024 186   East Tennessee St. L 73-74 11%     1 - 16 1 - 6 -4.7 -5.3 +0.8
  Jan 27, 2024 121   @ Western Carolina L 77-102 3%     1 - 17 1 - 7 -19.3 -6.6 -8.4
  Jan 31, 2024 154   UNC Greensboro L 79-85 9%     1 - 18 1 - 8 -7.9 -2.6 -4.8
  Feb 03, 2024 211   @ Mercer L 69-90 7%     1 - 19 1 - 9 -21.0 -7.3 -12.8
  Feb 08, 2024 147   Chattanooga L 84-88 8%     1 - 20 1 - 10 -5.4 -1.4 -3.5
  Feb 10, 2024 90   Samford L 63-102 4%     1 - 21 1 - 11 -35.2 -16.6 -13.9
  Feb 14, 2024 144   @ Furman L 62-75 4%     1 - 22 1 - 12 -9.0 -12.8 +4.2
  Feb 17, 2024 267   @ The Citadel L 51-76 10%     1 - 23 1 - 13 -27.9 -24.6 -2.8
  Feb 21, 2024 186   @ East Tennessee St. L 69-82 5%     1 - 24 1 - 14 -11.5 -6.0 -4.6
  Feb 24, 2024 121   Western Carolina L 51-84 6%     1 - 25 1 - 15 -32.5 -27.5 -1.3
  Feb 28, 2024 154   @ UNC Greensboro L 58-100 4%     1 - 26 1 - 16 -38.7 -13.5 -25.9
  Mar 02, 2024 199   Wofford L 62-74 13%     1 - 27 1 - 17 -16.7 -12.3 -4.9
  Mar 08, 2024 186   East Tennessee St. L 66-98 8%     1 - 28 -33.1 -14.9 -13.7
Projected Record 1 - 28 1 - 17




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17 100.0% 100.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%