Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#127
Expected Predictive Rating+1.3#140
Pace85.5#1
Improvement+4.1#39

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#177
First Shot-1.4#215
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#87
Layup/Dunks+3.6#56
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#246
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#300
Freethrows+0.0#173
Improvement+5.3#5

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#104
First Shot+1.7#118
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#106
Layups/Dunks-1.1#225
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#97
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#62
Freethrows-1.2#268
Improvement-1.2#242
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round7.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 01 - 0
Quad 36 - 77 - 7
Quad 412 - 419 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 145   @ Wichita St. L 61-71 45%     0 - 1 -6.0 -14.0 +8.9
  Nov 14, 2023 161   @ Murray St. W 86-81 49%     1 - 1 +7.8 +9.9 -2.3
  Nov 24, 2023 234   Bowling Green W 72-65 73%     2 - 1 +3.3 -12.0 +14.4
  Nov 25, 2023 284   Canisius L 77-85 80%     2 - 2 -14.3 -5.5 -8.0
  Nov 26, 2023 166   UNC Asheville L 67-77 60%     2 - 3 -10.1 -5.4 -4.9
  Dec 03, 2023 208   Eastern Kentucky W 79-69 77%     3 - 3 +4.9 -5.1 +9.2
  Dec 09, 2023 348   @ Buffalo W 82-65 89%     4 - 3 +6.1 -3.9 +8.4
  Dec 12, 2023 156   @ Wright St. W 91-84 48%     5 - 3 +10.0 -0.4 +9.3
  Dec 16, 2023 222   Austin Peay W 65-64 78%     6 - 3 -4.7 -10.1 +5.6
  Dec 19, 2023 195   @ California Baptist W 73-70 57%     7 - 3 +3.8 -5.4 +8.9
  Dec 30, 2023 204   Abilene Christian W 86-84 76%     8 - 3 -2.9 +6.0 -9.1
  Jan 06, 2024 148   Liberty W 70-68 65%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +0.6 -13.1 +13.5
  Jan 10, 2024 138   @ Sam Houston St. L 74-78 43%     9 - 4 1 - 1 +0.4 +0.4 +0.2
  Jan 13, 2024 207   Jacksonville St. W 80-69 77%     10 - 4 2 - 1 +6.0 +4.6 +1.2
  Jan 18, 2024 280   @ New Mexico St. L 70-72 72%     10 - 5 2 - 2 -5.4 -8.2 +3.0
  Jan 20, 2024 171   @ UTEP L 87-93 52%     10 - 6 2 - 3 -4.0 +7.1 -10.2
  Jan 25, 2024 278   Florida International W 105-91 85%     11 - 6 3 - 3 +5.5 +9.8 -6.7
  Feb 01, 2024 138   Sam Houston St. L 77-79 63%     11 - 7 3 - 4 -2.8 +3.1 -5.9
  Feb 03, 2024 265   Middle Tennessee W 88-65 84%     12 - 7 4 - 4 +15.0 +9.4 +4.4
  Feb 07, 2024 103   @ Louisiana Tech W 81-76 31%     13 - 7 5 - 4 +12.7 +11.3 +1.3
  Feb 10, 2024 207   @ Jacksonville St. W 70-59 59%     14 - 7 6 - 4 +11.2 -4.8 +15.4
  Feb 15, 2024 171   UTEP W 90-80 71%     15 - 7 7 - 4 +6.8 +8.0 -2.6
  Feb 17, 2024 280   New Mexico St. W 72-58 85%     16 - 7 8 - 4 +5.4 +3.0 +3.7
  Feb 24, 2024 265   @ Middle Tennessee L 72-74 70%     16 - 8 8 - 5 -4.8 -3.6 -1.1
  Feb 28, 2024 103   Louisiana Tech L 84-90 50%     16 - 9 8 - 6 -3.5 +7.3 -10.4
  Mar 02, 2024 278   @ Florida International L 83-85 71%     16 - 10 8 - 7 -5.3 +1.6 -6.7
  Mar 09, 2024 148   @ Liberty L 79-82 45%     16 - 11 8 - 8 +0.8 +3.0 -2.1
  Mar 14, 2024 280   New Mexico St. W 89-69 79%     17 - 11 +14.0 +12.4 +1.2
  Mar 15, 2024 265   Middle Tennessee W 85-54 78%     18 - 11 +25.6 +3.9 +18.7
  Mar 16, 2024 171   UTEP W 78-71 62%     19 - 11 +6.4 +3.0 +2.8
  Mar 22, 2024 12   Marquette L 74-88 11%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.5 0.0 2.4 48.0 49.5 0.1
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 2.4 48.0 49.5 0.1