Pre-tourney Rankings
Tarleton St.
Western Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#273
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#253
Pace64.8#272
Improvement+6.2#7

Offense
Total Offense-8.9#356
First Shot-6.0#330
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#330
Layup/Dunks-0.7#207
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#37
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.6#357
Freethrows-0.8#234
Improvement+1.7#103

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#99
First Shot+3.0#79
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#219
Layups/Dunks+6.6#18
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#245
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#300
Freethrows+0.0#183
Improvement+4.4#16
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 40 - 8
Quad 31 - 81 - 16
Quad 48 - 49 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 45   @ SMU L 62-96 4%     0 - 1 -19.8 -8.2 -9.7
  Nov 09, 2024 178   Sam Houston St. L 62-91 40%     0 - 2 -32.8 -20.0 -10.6
  Nov 12, 2024 87   @ Florida St. L 52-72 8%     0 - 3 -10.8 -16.6 +6.5
  Nov 17, 2024 26   @ Baylor L 41-104 2%     0 - 4 -45.1 -25.3 -19.2
  Nov 21, 2024 24   @ Michigan L 49-72 2%     0 - 5 -4.8 -9.6 +3.0
  Nov 29, 2024 253   Iona L 51-62 45%     0 - 6 -15.9 -15.4 -1.8
  Nov 30, 2024 218   Hofstra W 61-59 38%     1 - 6 -1.2 -0.4 -0.5
  Dec 01, 2024 197   Indiana St. L 71-87 34%     1 - 7 -18.0 -5.0 -13.0
  Dec 08, 2024 71   @ Central Florida L 51-66 6%     1 - 8 -4.1 -14.7 +9.5
  Dec 16, 2024 158   @ UTEP L 62-67 19%     1 - 9 -2.0 -2.7 +0.3
  Dec 18, 2024 93   @ Oklahoma St. L 61-66 9%     1 - 10 +3.4 -4.4 +7.6
  Dec 29, 2024 325   Florida A&M W 70-60 73%     2 - 10 -2.7 -11.2 +8.4
  Jan 04, 2025 223   Texas Arlington W 77-74 50%     3 - 10 1 - 0 -3.2 +0.1 -3.3
  Jan 09, 2025 303   @ Southern Utah W 74-66 47%     4 - 10 2 - 0 +2.4 +0.3 +2.1
  Jan 11, 2025 291   @ Utah Tech L 54-58 45%     4 - 11 2 - 1 -8.9 -16.7 +7.4
  Jan 16, 2025 164   California Baptist W 67-57 38%     5 - 11 3 - 1 +6.9 +6.5 +2.3
  Jan 18, 2025 88   @ Grand Canyon L 64-88 9%     5 - 12 3 - 2 -15.2 -2.0 -13.5
  Jan 23, 2025 215   @ Abilene Christian L 56-67 28%     5 - 13 3 - 3 -11.2 -13.3 +2.3
  Jan 30, 2025 291   Utah Tech W 61-54 65%     6 - 13 4 - 3 -3.4 -10.8 +8.2
  Feb 01, 2025 303   Southern Utah W 75-58 68%     7 - 13 5 - 3 +5.9 -0.5 +6.5
  Feb 06, 2025 149   @ Seattle L 54-91 18%     7 - 14 5 - 4 -33.6 -3.8 -36.8
  Feb 08, 2025 111   @ Utah Valley L 56-81 12%     7 - 15 5 - 5 -18.6 -9.2 -10.8
  Feb 13, 2025 88   Grand Canyon L 60-64 18%     7 - 16 5 - 6 -0.7 -7.2 +6.4
  Feb 15, 2025 149   Seattle W 67-64 34%     8 - 16 6 - 6 +0.9 -4.6 +5.5
  Feb 22, 2025 223   @ Texas Arlington L 57-67 30%     8 - 17 6 - 7 -10.7 -16.9 +5.9
  Feb 27, 2025 215   Abilene Christian W 67-52 48%     9 - 17 7 - 7 +9.3 -2.6 +12.2
  Mar 06, 2025 164   @ California Baptist L 48-68 20%     9 - 18 7 - 8 -17.6 -16.2 -3.9
  Mar 08, 2025 111   Utah Valley L 66-71 25%     9 - 19 7 - 9 -4.1 -4.8 +0.7
  Mar 13, 2025 164   California Baptist L 51-55 28%     9 - 20 -4.3 -13.2 +8.4
Projected Record 9 - 20 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%