Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Greensboro
Southern
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#159
Expected Predictive Rating+0.3#160
Pace61.6#339
Improvement-2.0#269

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#179
First Shot-0.5#188
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#155
Layup/Dunks-3.9#316
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#161
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#60
Freethrows-1.0#251
Improvement+0.3#177

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#167
First Shot+2.4#100
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#326
Layups/Dunks+3.4#62
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#327
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#162
Freethrows+0.4#151
Improvement-2.3#293
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 23 - 13 - 3
Quad 34 - 67 - 9
Quad 410 - 317 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 184   Florida Gulf Coast W 73-64 67%     1 - 0 +4.8 +2.7 +2.8
  Nov 11, 2024 45   @ SMU L 68-81 10%     1 - 1 +1.2 -2.1 +3.9
  Nov 21, 2024 46   @ Indiana L 58-69 10%     1 - 2 +3.2 -4.9 +7.7
  Nov 25, 2024 289   Long Beach St. W 71-48 77%     2 - 2 +15.4 +1.0 +16.8
  Nov 26, 2024 151   San Jose St. L 64-69 49%     2 - 3 -4.5 -4.5 -0.3
  Nov 27, 2024 158   UTEP L 58-64 50%     2 - 4 -5.8 -4.8 -1.9
  Dec 03, 2024 90   High Point W 72-68 39%     3 - 4 +7.1 +8.9 -1.0
  Dec 07, 2024 329   @ N.C. A&T W 67-55 78%     4 - 4 +4.1 -2.0 +7.3
  Dec 14, 2024 276   @ North Florida L 77-89 65%     4 - 5 -15.7 -3.4 -12.0
  Dec 21, 2024 205   @ Elon L 69-73 50%     4 - 6 -3.8 +2.5 -6.8
  Jan 01, 2025 130   @ Wofford W 68-66 33%     5 - 6 1 - 0 +6.7 +1.8 +5.1
  Jan 04, 2025 139   Furman W 84-67 57%     6 - 6 2 - 0 +15.5 +18.5 -1.1
  Jan 09, 2025 116   @ Chattanooga W 78-75 30%     7 - 6 3 - 0 +8.7 +13.6 -4.5
  Jan 11, 2025 124   @ Samford L 69-76 32%     7 - 7 3 - 1 -1.9 +2.6 -5.2
  Jan 15, 2025 357   The Citadel W 70-57 94%     8 - 7 4 - 1 -4.7 -1.4 -1.6
  Jan 18, 2025 339   @ Western Carolina W 83-55 81%     9 - 7 5 - 1 +19.0 +12.6 +8.3
  Jan 22, 2025 265   Mercer L 78-79 79%     9 - 8 5 - 2 -9.4 +0.1 -9.5
  Jan 25, 2025 297   @ VMI W 60-57 70%     10 - 8 6 - 2 -2.1 -10.2 +8.3
  Jan 29, 2025 156   East Tennessee St. W 70-65 60%     11 - 8 7 - 2 +2.6 +14.3 -10.4
  Feb 01, 2025 130   Wofford L 62-74 54%     11 - 9 7 - 3 -12.8 -7.6 -6.6
  Feb 05, 2025 357   @ The Citadel W 76-61 87%     12 - 9 8 - 3 +2.8 +10.2 -4.9
  Feb 08, 2025 339   Western Carolina W 74-70 91%     13 - 9 9 - 3 -10.5 -1.2 -9.1
  Feb 12, 2025 297   VMI W 80-54 84%     14 - 9 10 - 3 +15.4 +3.1 +12.3
  Feb 15, 2025 139   @ Furman W 58-50 36%     15 - 9 11 - 3 +12.0 -7.2 +20.2
  Feb 19, 2025 156   @ East Tennessee St. L 49-65 39%     15 - 10 11 - 4 -12.9 -13.1 -2.5
  Feb 22, 2025 265   @ Mercer W 78-61 62%     16 - 10 12 - 4 +14.1 +10.7 +4.3
  Feb 27, 2025 116   Chattanooga L 63-75 50%     16 - 11 12 - 5 -11.8 -6.0 -7.3
  Mar 01, 2025 124   Samford W 108-100 53%     17 - 11 13 - 5 +7.6 +26.0 -19.0
  Mar 08, 2025 297   VMI L 57-64 78%     17 - 12 -14.9 -12.3 -3.4
Projected Record 17 - 12 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%