Preseason Rankings
Ball St.
Mid-American
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#240
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.5#241
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#219
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#255
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.8% 6.8% 3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.1 14.8
.500 or above 49.0% 67.6% 40.1%
.500 or above in Conference 56.3% 67.7% 50.8%
Conference Champion 5.4% 8.2% 4.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.7% 3.0% 7.1%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.6%
First Round4.6% 6.6% 3.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia St. (Away) - 32.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 53 - 8
Quad 410 - 513 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 204   @ Georgia St. L 69-74 32%    
  Nov 13, 2024 59   @ Dayton L 59-75 7%    
  Nov 16, 2024 132   Indiana St. L 73-76 39%    
  Nov 20, 2024 342   Detroit Mercy W 76-65 83%    
  Dec 08, 2024 316   @ SIU Edwardsville W 70-68 56%    
  Dec 14, 2024 299   @ Bellarmine W 69-68 51%    
  Dec 21, 2024 228   Evansville W 72-70 58%    
  Jan 04, 2025 118   @ Kent St. L 65-75 20%    
  Jan 07, 2025 233   Miami (OH) W 71-68 59%    
  Jan 11, 2025 265   Bowling Green W 73-69 64%    
  Jan 14, 2025 121   @ Ohio L 67-76 21%    
  Jan 18, 2025 168   Toledo L 75-76 48%    
  Jan 21, 2025 277   @ Central Michigan L 66-67 46%    
  Jan 25, 2025 306   @ Northern Illinois W 72-71 52%    
  Jan 28, 2025 311   Western Michigan W 75-68 72%    
  Feb 01, 2025 337   @ Buffalo W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 04, 2025 131   @ Akron L 64-73 23%    
  Feb 11, 2025 287   Eastern Michigan W 71-66 67%    
  Feb 15, 2025 306   Northern Illinois W 75-68 71%    
  Feb 18, 2025 168   @ Toledo L 72-79 29%    
  Feb 22, 2025 337   Buffalo W 77-67 79%    
  Feb 25, 2025 131   Akron L 67-70 40%    
  Mar 01, 2025 265   @ Bowling Green L 70-72 44%    
  Mar 04, 2025 277   Central Michigan W 69-64 65%    
  Mar 07, 2025 233   @ Miami (OH) L 68-71 39%    
Projected Record 12 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 5.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.8 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 8.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.9 2.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.6 2.3 0.4 0.0 10.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.0 2.4 0.3 0.0 10.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.0 2.9 0.3 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.9 2.9 0.4 0.0 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.4 2.9 0.5 0.0 9.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.8 2.7 0.5 0.0 8.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.0 2.1 0.5 0.0 7.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.0 1.5 0.4 0.0 5.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.2 12th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.3 4.1 6.2 8.2 9.8 11.1 11.5 11.5 10.2 8.3 6.3 4.2 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 98.7% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 86.6% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
15-3 62.4% 1.6    1.1 0.5 0.1
14-4 33.0% 1.4    0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 11.6% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.4% 5.4 3.0 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 64.6% 60.0% 4.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5%
17-1 0.4% 38.5% 38.5% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.1% 31.7% 31.7% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8
15-3 2.6% 23.2% 23.2% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.0
14-4 4.2% 16.9% 16.9% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 3.5
13-5 6.3% 12.8% 12.8% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 5.5
12-6 8.3% 9.0% 9.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 7.6
11-7 10.2% 5.5% 5.5% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 9.6
10-8 11.5% 3.7% 3.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 11.1
9-9 11.5% 2.1% 2.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 11.3
8-10 11.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 11.0
7-11 9.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.8
6-12 8.2% 8.2
5-13 6.2% 6.2
4-14 4.1% 4.1
3-15 2.3% 2.3
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.1 95.2 0.0%