Preseason Rankings
Colgate
Patriot League
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#171
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.7#259
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#207
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#145
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 26.1% 32.2% 22.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.0 14.7
.500 or above 68.8% 82.9% 60.6%
.500 or above in Conference 88.8% 93.5% 86.1%
Conference Champion 35.4% 44.2% 30.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.3% 1.2%
First Four3.6% 2.5% 4.2%
First Round24.5% 31.0% 20.7%
Second Round2.3% 3.5% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drexel (Away) - 36.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 54 - 9
Quad 414 - 518 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 154   @ Drexel L 63-67 37%    
  Nov 12, 2024 56   @ Syracuse L 67-80 12%    
  Nov 18, 2024 49   @ North Carolina St. L 63-76 12%    
  Nov 22, 2024 182   @ Harvard L 66-69 41%    
  Nov 27, 2024 157   @ UNC Wilmington L 65-69 38%    
  Nov 29, 2024 139   Appalachian St. L 66-68 44%    
  Nov 30, 2024 119   Sam Houston St. L 67-70 39%    
  Dec 04, 2024 172   Cornell W 77-74 61%    
  Dec 08, 2024 220   @ Northeastern L 67-68 49%    
  Dec 11, 2024 16   @ Kentucky L 68-85 7%    
  Dec 15, 2024 111   Vermont L 63-64 47%    
  Dec 22, 2024 210   Iona W 71-66 67%    
  Jan 02, 2025 321   Army W 68-56 84%    
  Jan 05, 2025 268   @ Bucknell W 66-64 56%    
  Jan 08, 2025 264   Lehigh W 75-67 74%    
  Jan 11, 2025 266   Boston University W 70-62 74%    
  Jan 15, 2025 258   @ Navy W 67-65 55%    
  Jan 18, 2025 199   @ Lafayette L 63-65 45%    
  Jan 20, 2025 268   Bucknell W 69-61 75%    
  Jan 25, 2025 252   @ American W 65-64 54%    
  Jan 29, 2025 321   @ Army W 65-59 68%    
  Feb 01, 2025 199   Lafayette W 66-62 63%    
  Feb 03, 2025 264   @ Lehigh W 72-70 55%    
  Feb 08, 2025 350   Loyola Maryland W 73-58 90%    
  Feb 12, 2025 348   @ Holy Cross W 73-64 76%    
  Feb 15, 2025 266   @ Boston University W 67-65 56%    
  Feb 19, 2025 258   Navy W 70-62 74%    
  Feb 22, 2025 350   @ Loyola Maryland W 70-61 78%    
  Feb 26, 2025 348   Holy Cross W 76-61 89%    
  Mar 01, 2025 252   American W 68-61 72%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 3.5 6.9 8.9 8.4 5.0 1.8 35.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.6 6.8 5.0 1.9 0.3 20.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.5 5.3 2.5 0.5 0.0 14.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 3.7 3.8 1.4 0.1 10.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 2.8 2.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 7.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.3 1.9 0.4 0.0 5.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 3.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.7 2.9 4.8 6.3 8.3 10.4 12.2 12.9 12.4 10.9 8.7 5.0 1.8 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.8    1.8
17-1 100.0% 5.0    4.9 0.1
16-2 96.4% 8.4    7.5 0.9 0.0
15-3 82.2% 8.9    6.7 2.1 0.1
14-4 55.7% 6.9    3.7 2.7 0.4 0.0
13-5 26.8% 3.5    1.1 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0
12-6 6.7% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 35.4% 35.4 25.9 7.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.8% 67.0% 66.7% 0.3% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.0%
17-1 5.0% 59.2% 59.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.0 0.1%
16-2 8.7% 51.9% 51.9% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.4 1.6 0.8 0.1 4.2 0.0%
15-3 10.9% 40.4% 40.4% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.6 1.3 0.3 6.5
14-4 12.4% 33.9% 33.9% 14.7 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.7 0.9 8.2
13-5 12.9% 25.2% 25.2% 15.2 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.2 9.7
12-6 12.2% 19.4% 19.4% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.4 9.8
11-7 10.4% 14.3% 14.3% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 8.9
10-8 8.3% 10.5% 10.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.8 7.5
9-9 6.3% 7.6% 7.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.8
8-10 4.8% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 4.5
7-11 2.9% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.1 2.8
6-12 1.7% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 1.7
5-13 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.0
4-14 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.6
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 26.1% 26.1% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.9 4.4 6.0 6.6 6.7 73.9 0.0%