Preseason Rankings
Harvard
Ivy League
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#182
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.5#173
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#239
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#136
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.7% 11.2% 6.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.3 14.0
.500 or above 50.0% 58.2% 30.1%
.500 or above in Conference 55.2% 59.9% 43.8%
Conference Champion 10.7% 12.5% 6.3%
Last Place in Conference 11.1% 9.0% 16.1%
First Four0.5% 0.3% 0.7%
First Round9.5% 11.0% 6.0%
Second Round1.2% 1.5% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marist (Home) - 70.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 34 - 55 - 10
Quad 48 - 313 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 235   Marist W 67-61 71%    
  Nov 08, 2024 258   @ Navy W 67-66 54%    
  Nov 10, 2024 252   @ American W 66-65 53%    
  Nov 13, 2024 220   @ Northeastern L 67-68 47%    
  Nov 17, 2024 79   @ Colorado L 64-75 16%    
  Nov 22, 2024 171   Colgate W 69-66 59%    
  Nov 27, 2024 116   Massachusetts L 70-71 48%    
  Nov 30, 2024 18   @ St. John's L 64-81 7%    
  Dec 04, 2024 348   @ Holy Cross W 73-65 76%    
  Dec 08, 2024 305   @ New Hampshire W 74-70 62%    
  Dec 21, 2024 165   Furman W 73-71 58%    
  Dec 29, 2024 210   @ Iona L 69-70 45%    
  Jan 11, 2025 104   Princeton L 67-70 41%    
  Jan 18, 2025 181   @ Brown L 68-71 40%    
  Jan 20, 2025 166   Penn W 71-69 57%    
  Jan 25, 2025 113   @ Yale L 63-70 28%    
  Jan 31, 2025 230   @ Columbia L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 01, 2025 172   @ Cornell L 75-78 38%    
  Feb 08, 2025 313   @ Dartmouth W 67-63 64%    
  Feb 14, 2025 172   Cornell W 78-75 59%    
  Feb 15, 2025 230   Columbia W 76-70 68%    
  Feb 21, 2025 104   @ Princeton L 64-73 24%    
  Feb 22, 2025 166   @ Penn L 68-72 38%    
  Feb 28, 2025 181   Brown W 71-68 60%    
  Mar 01, 2025 113   Yale L 66-67 46%    
  Mar 08, 2025 313   Dartmouth W 70-60 80%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 2.5 3.5 2.6 1.2 0.3 10.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 4.8 4.8 1.8 0.2 13.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 6.6 4.7 1.0 0.0 14.8 3rd
4th 0.1 2.7 7.0 4.5 0.6 0.0 15.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.1 7.1 3.9 0.4 14.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.3 6.5 3.3 0.3 13.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 3.4 4.5 2.1 0.2 11.4 7th
8th 0.4 1.2 2.1 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.3 8th
Total 0.4 1.3 3.2 5.9 8.8 11.8 13.5 13.6 13.1 10.8 8.3 5.3 2.8 1.2 0.3 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
13-1 100.0% 1.2    1.1 0.0
12-2 93.1% 2.6    2.0 0.5 0.0
11-3 66.0% 3.5    1.9 1.4 0.2
10-4 29.9% 2.5    0.7 1.2 0.5 0.1
9-5 6.2% 0.7    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 10.7% 10.7 6.1 3.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.3% 63.6% 56.7% 6.9% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 15.9%
13-1 1.2% 50.8% 47.5% 3.3% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 6.3%
12-2 2.8% 38.0% 37.7% 0.3% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7 0.5%
11-3 5.3% 30.1% 30.1% 0.0% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.7 0.1%
10-4 8.3% 23.0% 23.0% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 6.4 0.0%
9-5 10.8% 17.8% 17.8% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.1 8.9
8-6 13.1% 12.1% 12.1% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 11.5
7-7 13.6% 5.6% 5.6% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 12.8
6-8 13.5% 1.0% 1.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.3
5-9 11.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.8
4-10 8.8% 8.8
3-11 5.9% 5.9
2-12 3.2% 3.2
1-13 1.3% 1.3
0-14 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 9.7% 9.7% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 2.7 2.3 1.7 0.8 90.3 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%